Clippers vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

@HPBasketball

@ChrisRaybon

Running this back. Almost everything that could have went wrong in Game 5 did: waited a few minutes for a whistle to check in during the 1Q, shot poorly (1-6 from three) and had his 4Q mins cut due to a blowout… and he still had 14. Westbrook continues to look terrible, and the Coffey minutes are almost pointless. The Clippers need more scoring, with Harden and PG way too inconsistent - Powell should see 30 mins tonight, and I have him at 15 pts.

This is the worst bet of all time

As teams delve further and further into series we see them make adjustments and tweaks to the rotation. On that we have seen from the Clippers is an uptick in Mason Plumlee’s playing time. Plumlee has seen his minutes go from 12, 10, 10, 14 and 16 in this series and he’s a different offensive and defensive option for them than Ivica Zubac. He’s by no means a great player on either side of the court, but he’s a bit more switchable and malleable for their offensive gameplan. When Plumlee has played between 10 and 20 minutes this season, he has averaged 5.3 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. His PR prop is set at 7.5, a number he’s exceeded in 71% of those games. Considering the uptick in his minutes as the Mavericks have played a bit more Maxi Kleber, I can see the Clippers continuing to give him this run. Zubac is not really a player who would be able to go for a full 48 anyway, so Plumlee’s floor for playing time remains high while there is a bit more ceiling as well. I’ll grab Plumlee to exceed 7.5 PR.

Hasn’t cleared this line in any game of the series. (52, 47, 41, 49, 52 PRA)