Clippers vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Clippers at Mavericks

12:00 am • ESPN

Los Angeles Clippers

2-4

90 - 101

Dallas Mavericks

4-2

101

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Clippers 2-4	+4.5-109	o214.5-110	+157
Mavericks 4-2	-4.5-111	u214.5-110	-187

Saturday 12:00 a.m.

April 27, 2024

American Airlines CenterDallas

DAL -4.5-111

P.Washington o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-102

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-125

0.63u

#Tailing @ChrisRaybon

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-125

R.Westbrook o3.5 Ast+124

LAC +4.5-110

1.75u

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-125

0.5u

Over 213.5-105

D.Gafford o4.5 Rebs-102

0.5u

@JayMoneyIsMoney23

DAL o109 Team Total-110

0.5u

@JayMoneyIsMoney23

J.Harden u17.5 Pts-120

0.5u

@ChicagoFlow

DAL -4.5-110

0.45u

@ChicagoFlow

K.Irving o25.5 Pts-108

0.5u

@gneiffer07

K.Leonard o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104

0.5u

@gneiffer07

Over 211.5-110

1.1u

L.Doncic Triple-Double Yes+300

0.1u

Obligatory

P.George o4.5 Rebs-115

0.43u

Courtside pal gives a boost to this over and +ev bet with devig odds of -143 giving value to this number

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-130

@ChrisRaybon

J.Harden u17.5 Pts-115

@ChicagoFlow

N.Powell o8.5 Pts-130

0.77u

L.Doncic o34.5 Pts-102

0.5u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -129 giving value to this number

DAL -4.5-110

1.27u

R.Westbrook o14.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-135

R.Westbrook o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-122

1.22u

Russ is 33/48 on this line when playing between 15-26 minutes - he played 23 and 24 in the first two games. 5/5 on this line vs DAL (all between 20-25 mins). And qualitatively, I trust a guy like Russ to perform in the playoffs. Mavs going with more Kleber minutes also really hurts their rim protection.

K.Leonard u25.5 Pts+Ast-115

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-playoffs-player-props-picks-kawhi-leonard-obi-toppin-friday-april-26?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=PropBetGuy

D.Jones To Make 1+ Threes Yes-125

DAL -4.5-112

0.89u

Over 212.5-115

Splooge fest

N.Powell o8.5 Pts-130

N.Powell o9.5 Pts-106

DAL -4.5-110

$50.00

Luka in the home barn

DAL -4.5-109

2.75u

R.Westbrook o11.5 Pts+Rebs-108

1.08u

The Clippers and Mavericks are tied 1-1 in a thrilling Western Conference series. Kawhi Leonard returned last game but still didn’t appear to be 100% in the flow of the game. One player that always is THE flow is Russell Westbrook. He is his own motor and can kickstart any fastbreak opportunity. In the two games he’s averaged 9.5 rebound chances; however, last game he was second on the team with 14 behind only Zubac. With Kawhi a little less aggressive on the glass this has opened up more opportunities for Westbrook. This matchup has also been one Westbrook has thrived in with his engine. He has averaged 19 PR in 3 H2H spots against the Mavericks with Harden, Kawhi, and Paul George. Further, he has a 100% hit rate on this prop against Dallas over the last few seasons even with a 25 mins cap. Westbrook can be leaned upon for some bench production and his motor will open up rebounding and fast break opportunities. I expect Westbrook to exceed 11.5 PR.

N.Powell o8.5 Pts-125

P.George o25.5 Pts+Rebs-115

1.15u

L.Doncic o42.5 Pts+Ast-122

1.22u

R.Westbrook o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-103

1.03u

Featured Insight
The Clippers has a TS% of 51% in close and late situations this season -- T-9th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Mavericks have averaged 12.5 turnovers/game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- lowest in the NBA; the Clippers have forced 12.5 turnovers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Mavericks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mavericks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mavericks are 27-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mavericks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Mavericks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mavericks	48-34	21-20	27-14	32-18	15-16
Clippers	38-44	18-23	20-21	32-31	6-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mavericks	36-45-1	16-25	20-20-1	22-28	13-17-1
Clippers	36-44-2	18-22-1	18-22-1	28-34-1	8-10-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mavericks	13-9	N/A	N/A	37-13	12-19
Clippers	2-4	N/A	N/A	46-17	5-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	@LAC	W 96-93	+1 W	U 216.5	DAL -105
Apr 21st	@LAC	L 97-109	-3.5 L	U 223.5	LAC -160
Apr 14th	@OKC	L 86-135	+19.5 L	U 226	OKC +1000
Apr 13th	DET	L 84-102	-11 L	U 218	DET -600
Apr 10th	@MIA	W 111-92	-2.5 W	U 218.5	DAL -142

Dante Exum
PG
Exum is out with wrist
Out
Luka Doncic
SG
Doncic is out with calf
Out
Dereck Lively
C
Lively is out with ankle
Out

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scoring
Luka Doncic
22
ppg
rebounding
Luka Doncic
10
rpg
assists
Luka Doncic
9
apg
shooting
-
100
fg%

Clippers

Mavericks

32-70 (46%)

Field Goals

39-86 (45%)

16-20 (80%)

Free Throws

14-19 (74%)

10-29 (34%)

9-34 (26%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Clippers 2-4	o105.5-110	u105.5-120
Mavericks 4-2	o109.5-110	u109.5-120

Clippers vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Clippers at Mavericks

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Dallas Mavericks

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Clippers vs. Mavericks Public Betting Percentages

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Mavericks

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Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Mavericks vs. Clippers Injury Updates

Mavericks Injuries

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Clippers vs. Mavericks Odds Comparison

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