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Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2023

Heat at Celtics

12:30 am • TNT

Miami Heat

4-3
123
123 - 116

Boston Celtics

3-4
116

Heat at Celtics Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
4-3
+8.5-109
o212.5-110
+305
Celtics
3-4
-8.5-111
u212.5-110
-377
location pinThursday 12:30 a.m.
May 18, 2023
TD GardenBoston
Heat vs. Celtics Expert Picks
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+1.6u)
A.Horford o5.5 Rebs+220
1.1u
D.White o2.5 3pt M+500
1.25u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 63-68-1 (-14.5u)
MIA +8.5-109
1u
MIA +300
0.75u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-128-16 (-5.5u)
BOS +256 (Live)
$25.00
For the vibes
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 5-12-1 (+0.3u)
MIA +320
0.32u
MIA +9-120
0.33u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 2-1-0 (+0.8u)
M.Strus o11.5 Pts-120
0.83u
Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 42-25-3 (+24.2u)
Over 213-105
3u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 95-81-5 (+11.1u)
Over 213-110
0.91u
BOS -8-110
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 132-85-13 (+34.3u)
BOS -8-110
$175.00
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 211.5-110
0.5u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 79-85-1 (+20.1u)
Over 211-110
1u
Joe Metz
Joe Metz
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Tatum o28.5 Pts-114
1u
K.Lowry o4.5 Ast+120
1u
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+1.6u)
C.Martin o12.5 Pts+Rebs-130
0.77u
D.White o1.5 3pt M+130
0.65u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 71-41-1 (+26.9u)
MIA +290
1.45u
MIA +8.5-110
1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 6-7-0 (-2.2u)
D.White o7.5 Pts-125
1u
Gave this out earlier. Hits 4/4 vs MIA. Same PTS line he had in Game 7 vs. PHI in repressed role. This is a new series. I see 23+ MIN. Expect MIA to go more small-ball in 2nd half, & White to benefit off zone coverage. #PlayerProps
J.Tatum u29.5 Pts-114
1.14u
28.3 PPG in Playoffs. Spo’s the best at scheming to slow down #1 weapons. Tatum avg. 20.7 drives/g L3 vs PHI & was aggressive, but MIA rank 4th best in PITP allowed. 36.8 eFG% on jumpshots. Tough vs. zone coverage. #PlayerProps
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
G.Vincent u3.5 Ast+106
1.06u
@The_Oddsmaker
J.Tatum u29.5 Pts-125
1u
Via Prop Bomb
D.White o7.5 Pts-125
0.8u
Via Prop Bomb
D.White o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
0.87u
@ChrisRaybon
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Adebayo o17.5 Pts-125
1.04u
Over-reaction to the tougher matchups vs the Knicks and Bucks. Bam put up 19, 23, 28 and 30 vs the Celtics this season. Bam has played well vs Horford, and RobWill is a better help defender than he is on-ball. I think 20+ is worth a sprinkle - can also use 16+ as a solid SGP piece.
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 31-25-0 (+4.0u)
G.Vincent u3.5 Ast+105
1.05u
Gave out on Green Dot Daily
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 38-45-1 (-8.5u)
D.White o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110
0.91u
Joe Metz
Joe Metz
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +290
1.45u
MIA +8-105
1u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 224-250-7 (-11.4u)
Over 211.5-110
1u
BOS -8-110
1.1u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-4-0 (-3.0u)
D.White o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-117
0.85u
Good buy-low. Will have a write up and will also break it down on today's GDD ep.
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 95-81-5 (+11.1u)
MIA o101.5-108
0.93u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 38-45-1 (-8.5u)
A.Horford o6.5 Rebs-125
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-128-16 (-5.5u)
G.Vincent o3.5 Ast-115
$57.50
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 66-81-2 (+2.6u)
MIA +8.5-110
0.45u
MIA +300
0.45u
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 210.5-110
1u
Check hundreds ringer gambling pod
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-128-16 (-5.5u)
J.Brown o24.5 Pts-113
$56.50
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 66-81-2 (+2.6u)
A.Horford o6.5 Rebs-124
0.5u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 50-33-1 (+10.4u)
J.Tatum u29.5 Pts-113
1.13u
Bet at FanDuel. Large spread (-8) and lower total than regular season meetings. Less points to go around. Expect Heat to key in on Tatum defensively and try to reduce possessions. Blowout potential could also see Tatum play less in 4Q. Bit of a risky bet here but after scoring 51 in last game, Tatum in prime letdown spot.
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+1.6u)
J.Tatum o4.5 Ast-145
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 79-85-1 (+20.1u)
Over 210.5-110
1u
MIA +300
3u
MIA +8.5-110
1u
MIA +8.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 66-81-2 (+2.6u)
J.Tatum o4.5 Ast-139
1u
A.Horford Double-Double (Yes)+1025
0.2u
Number is too high. Averages 9.1 and 9 against Miami the last 2 seasons.

Heat vs. Celtics Previews & Analysis

  • Sharps, Squares Divided on Heat-Celtics Spread article feature image

    Sharps, Squares Divided on Heat-Celtics Spread

    PJ Walsh•
    May 17, 2023 UTC
  • I've Won Over $15,000 On Same-Game Parlays This Month. Here's How. article feature image

    I've Won Over $15,000 On Same-Game Parlays This Month. Here's How.

    Charlie Disturco•
    May 17, 2023 UTC
  • The X-Factor to Bet in the Eastern Conference Finals article feature image

    The X-Factor to Bet in the Eastern Conference Finals

    Bryan Fonseca•
    May 17, 2023 UTC
  • Anderson's ECF Game 1 Betting Card: The Heat Won't Go Away article feature image

    Anderson's ECF Game 1 Betting Card: The Heat Won't Go Away

    Brandon Anderson•
    May 17, 2023 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Celtics Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Heat

Public

Home Logo

Celtics

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Celtics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Celtics are 20-18 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Celtics' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics		38-41-318-2320-18-337-39-31-2
Heat		39-42-122-1917-23-121-2418-18-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Celtics		37-4521-2016-2537-420-3
Heat		44-3825-1619-2226-1918-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics		3-1N/AN/A60-191-2
Heat		0-4N/AN/A26-1911-26

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 14thPHIW 112-88-6 WU 201.5BOS -245
May 11th@PHIW 95-86-2.5 WU 210.5BOS -140
May 9thPHIL 103-115-8 LO 213.5PHI -330
May 7th@PHIL 115-116-O 214PHI -110
May 5th@PHIW 114-102-2.5 WO 214BOS -138

Celtics vs. Heat Injury Updates

Celtics Injuries

  • Jrue Holiday
    PG

    Jrue Holiday (hamstring) out Friday.

    Out

  • Torrey Craig
    SF

    Craig is questionable with leg

    Questionable

Heat Injuries

  • Dru Smith
    PG

    Smith is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jaime Jaquez
    PG

    Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) probable Friday.

    Probable

See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
Player Stats
  • scoring
    Jayson Tatum logo
    Jayson Tatum
    30
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Jaylen Brown logo
    Jaylen Brown
    9
    rpg
  • assists
    player logo
    -
    11
    apg
  • shooting
    player logo
    -
    100
    fg%
Team Stats

46-85 (54%)
Field Goals
42-81 (52%)
15-19 (79%)
Free Throws
22-29 (76%)
16-31 (52%)
3P
10-29 (34%)
35
Rebounds
34
20
Assists
22
12
Turnovers
15
12
Steals
6
3
Blocks
3
22
Fouls
18

Heat vs. Celtics Odds Comparison

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Heat at Celtics Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Heat
4-3
N/A
N/A
Celtics
3-4
N/A
N/A