Heat vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - March 9, 2024

Heat at Thunder

1:00 am • KSBI
100 - 107

Heat at Thunder Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
13-13
+8
+8.5-106
o226.5-110
+295
Thunder
22-5
u225.5
-8.5-114
u226.5-110
-375
location pinSaturday 1:00 a.m.
March 09, 2024
Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Heat vs. Thunder Expert Picks
Milly Props
Milly Props
289d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Ast+100
1u
2+ 1Q AST
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
289d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
C.Martin o9.5 Pts-115
0.57u
#Tailing @TheBMatt
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
289d ago
Last 30d: 6-11-0 (+0.4u)
C.Martin o9.5 Pts-117
1.17u
Getting the exact same number as last night (9.5) where Martin scored 13 pts while playing 32 minutes. Josh Richardson, Tyler Herro, and Kevin Love have all been ruled out again, so I’m going to continue to back Martin points. In the four games this season w/o those three players, Martin has scored 13, 18, 15, and 13 pts, so I like Martin to go over this line again tonight.
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
289d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA +8.5-108
0.93u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
289d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-113
0.57u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
289d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-113
1u
Via Matty Chucks
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
289d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-5 (+0.5u)
C.Holmgren o27.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
289d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander u30.5 Pts-120
$60.00
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
289d ago
Last 30d: 9-8-0 (-0.4u)
J.Williams u19.5 Pts-125
1u
Selling high here. Jalen Williams has scored 22+ points in five of his last six games vs. inferior opponents that cannot contain primary BH drivers (HOU, PHX, LAL). Jalen should get his toughest test against the Miami Heat. 33% of his FGM come from using the Pick & Roll w/ Chet at top of the key, following with a drive or pull-up but MIA defends this playtype at the 3rd best rate. The other 22% of his PTS come from transition (MIA defends 2nd best) & 44.7 of FGM at the rim where MIA allows 2nd fewest PITP since All Star Break. Jalen Williams averages 17.2 PPG going under 20 points in 11 of the 15 games where he faced a top-10 pick & roll ball handler defense. He scored 19 PTS vs. MIA in last meeting including 4 Q2 MIN for SGA & Chet being foul trouble. MIA ranks the best in limiting PPG to drivers. And there could be a blowout potential here. #PlayerProps
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
289d ago
Last 30d: 89-78-2 (+22.6u)
OKC -8.5-110
3u
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
289d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 223.5-110
0.91u

PRO Insights

Heat logo

Heat

MIA Insights
  • Heat logo The Heat have allowed 13.0 second chance points per game on the road this season -- T-8th-best in the NBA; the Thunder have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game at home this season -- 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
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Thunder logo

Thunder

OKC Insights
  • Thunder logo The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 52% at home this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Heat have an eFG% of 53% on the road this season -- T-8th-worst in the NBA.
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Prop Odds Comparison

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No props found

Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages

45%

Bets%

55%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder
17-10-18-69-4-116-10-11-0
Heat
11-156-75-87-94-6

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Thunder
11-176-85-911-160-1
Heat
15-117-68-58-87-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder
22-5N/AN/A21-61-0
Heat
13-13N/AN/A10-63-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 7th@PORW 128-120-13 LO 225OKC -784
Mar 5th@LALL 104-116-1 LU 240.5LAL -112
Mar 4th@PHXW 118-110-4.5 WU 233OKC -185
Mar 1st@SASL 118-132-11 LO 239SAS -547
Feb 28thHOUW 112-95-10 WU 234OKC -429

Thunder vs. Heat Injury Updates

Thunder Injuries

  • Jaylin Williams
    SF

    Williams is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Chet Holmgren
    C

    Holmgren is out with hip

    Out

  • Ousmane Dieng
    SF

    Dieng is out with finger

    Out

  • Adam Flagler
    PG

    Flagler is out with hand

    Out

  • Nikola Topic
    PG

    Topić is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

  • Alex Ducas
    PG

    Ducas is out with back

    Out

Heat Injuries

  • Josh Richardson
    PG

    Richardson is out with heel

    Out

  • Kevin Love
    SF

    Kevin Love (back) probable Wednesday.

    Probable

  • Jimmy Butler
    SF

    Jimmy Butler (illness) doubtful Saturday.

    Doubtful

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    37
    ppg
  • rebounding
    player logo
    -
    9
    rpg
  • assists
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    6
    apg
  • shooting
    Jaylin Williams logo
    Jaylin Williams
    66.7
    fg%
Team Stats
38-82 (46%)
Field Goals
42-89 (47%)
13-18 (72%)
Free Throws
11-13 (85%)
11-29 (38%)
3P
12-38 (32%)
43
Rebounds
45
24
Assists
28
Turnovers
6
Steals
5
5
Blocks
8
16
Fouls
16

Heat vs. Thunder Odds Comparison

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Heat at Thunder Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Heat
13-13
o108.5-112
u108.5-112
Thunder
22-5
o117.5-113
u117.5-112