Thunder vs. Lakers Odds & Betting Predictions - March 5, 2024

Thunder at Lakers

3:30 am • NBA TV

Oklahoma City Thunder

12-4

104

104 - 116

Los Angeles Lakers

10-5

116

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Thunder 12-4	-1	-1-110	o240.5-112	-112
Lakers 10-5	u240.5	+1-110	u240.5-107	-106

Tuesday 3:30 a.m.

March 05, 2024

Crypto.com ArenaLos Angeles

Under 239.5-108

$60.19

J.Williams o20.5 Pts-110

1.1u

C.Holmgren u28.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

Under in 2/3 vs LAL this season - will have the most difficult matchup on the floor for OKC vs AD. Much better spot for SGA/Jalen. Also under in 8/10 on zero days rest (overs versus WSH and SAS - smash spots for centers).

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Ast-135

2+ 1Q

A.Reaves o1.5 3pt M-115

0.5u

LAL +106

1.06u

@HPBasketball

A.Reaves o1.5 3pt M-115

0.87u

@GDAWG5000

J.Williams o1.5 3pt M-115

@GDAWG5000

J.Williams o1.5 3pt M-115

0.57u

OKC +1-110

1.1u

L.James o39.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

$57.00

LAL -1-110

OKC -102

L.James o31.5 Pts+Ast-115

1.15u

The Lakers take on the Oklahoma City Thunder who had to make a late game comeback against the Phoenix Suns last night. Although they are young team, the back-to-back should negatively impact their defense. One player I’m targeting is LeBron James. James just passed the 40,000 point threshold in his last game against the Nuggets and now gets an opportunity to continue adding to that total. This season, LeBron has averaged 25.2 ppg and 7.9 assists per game. The scoring numbers jump against OKC over the last two years. In those 5 games he has averaged 31.4 points and 5.6 assists per game. While the assists are down against OKC, I think looking at his recent form this is a bit of an overreaction to his H2H history. He has exceeded 31.5 Points + Assists in 9 straight games and in 23 of his last 30 games when playing alongside Anthony Davis while averaging 34.3 PA per game. This should be a fast Paced game with both the Thunder (8th) and the Lakers (6th) having top 10 Pace marks in the league. I expect LeBron James to exceed 31.5 PR tonight.

Featured Insight
The Thunder has a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season -- T-2nd-best in the NBA; the Lakers have allowed a TS% of 51% in close and late situations this season -- 10th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Lakers have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds/game this season -- T-5th-best in the NBA; the Thunder have averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds/game this season -- worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Lakers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Lakers are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lakers are 2-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lakers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Lakers' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lakers	7-8	5-3	2-5	5-6	2-2
Thunder	9-7	5-5	4-2	8-7	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lakers	9-6	5-3	4-3	7-4	2-2
Thunder	7-9	5-5	2-4	7-8	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lakers	10-5	N/A	N/A	9-2	1-3
Thunder	12-4	N/A	N/A	11-4	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 3rd	DEN	L 114-124	+1 L	O 230.5	DEN -106
Mar 1st	WAS	W 134-131	-11 L	O 244.5	LAL -542
Feb 29th	@LAC	W 116-112	+1.5 W	U 236.5	LAL +100
Feb 25th	@PHX	L 113-123	+3.5 L	U 241	PHX +130
Feb 24th	SAS	W 123-118	-11 L	U 241.5	LAL -550