Heat vs. Trail Blazers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2022

Ref that Bets

Caeser’s. Under in 2/4, with his overs versus SAC and DEN (poor defenses). MIA profiles significantly better defensively, and Grant struggled against them last season (14/37 shooting). While he’s 7/14 from three so far this season, he’s due for regression (he’s 1/9 on 2 point jump shots). MIA shuts off the paint really well (third fewest points in the paint allowed this season, fewest last season) - so I will take my chances here with Grant as a jump shooter. Lillard and Simons are on fire right now, and I expect them to continue to carry the offensive load. I don’t see Grant getting the volume he needs.

#NBABRATS

-107 on PointsBet 9:10pm Tuesday Everything is difficult for Miami on O right now. 27th in overall efficiency, 29th in fast break points at 8.3 & only averaging 87 possessions a game. Bam hasn’t even scored 20 points yet. Blazers are improved on D ranked 9th overall in defensive rating & have only given up 20 free throw attempts. Impressed with how they slowed Denver in the 2nd half Monday. Blazers have been white hot shooting the pill. True shooting percentage is 6th in the NBA at 59.7%, Dame is 15/32 from deep in his last 3. Simons looked like Curry against Denver in the 3rd. Regression is coming against a physical defensive first team in Miami who will compete & focus on slowing Dame/Simons/Grant. More on BUCKETS pod

Woof. Talk about getting the worst of the number. Was not expecting a 3-point swing overnight. I get it, but I just have this power rated much closer to the original line. Will likely wait for the steam to settle and bet small on Portland ML.