Kings vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2023

Kings at Warriors

12:00 am • ESPN

Sacramento Kings

3-4

118

118 - 99

Golden State Warriors

4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Kings 3-4	+7-112	o236.5-110	+215
Warriors 4-3	-7-108	u236.5-110	-260

Saturday 12:00 a.m.

April 29, 2023

Chase CenterSan Francisco

D.Green o0.5 Stl-135

0.37u

GSW -2.5 (3Q)+105

0.25u

Take Me Home

A.Wiggins o2.5 Ast+120

Wiggins has only cleared this in 2 of 5 games this series, but he was eased back off the bench in Game 1. It’s a good time to buy low because his pass rate is actually up from .8/min to .9/min but he’s only converted on 27% of his potential assists (48% on the season). Last game he was shutout on 6 potential assists. Think of this as a way to also invest in Steph having a bounce back game, at home. Projecting this closer to -135 so getting this at +120 is nice

A.Wiggins o24.5 Pts+Rebs-115

1.15u

D.Green o9.5 Pts-113

1.13u

Surprising, right? SAC giving him the paint & are fine with him scoring over Splash Bros. Since coming off the bench & staggering w/ Looney, he’s had 10 & 14 FGA on 5.5 drives L2. This is +3.6 higher than reg szn avg. #PlayerProps

Over 236.5-105

2.1u

GSW -1 (3Q)-110

You already know: Take Me Home. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/andersons-friday-game-6-picks-kings-warriors-grizzlies-lakers-april-28

D.Green o14.5 Pts+550

0.25u

bet365 escalator nibble

D.Green o9.5 Pts+104

1.5u

Aggressive since return from suspension, attacking space and getting to rim and line. 33 pts last 2g, 14 FTA. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/andersons-friday-game-6-picks-kings-warriors-grizzlies-lakers-april-28

K.Looney o6.5 Ast+675

0.5u

escalator. 9-6-7 dimes last 3 games.

K.Looney o16.5 Rebs+Ast-105

20/14/22 reb last 3g with 9/6/7 ast. Single big lineup has opened up the offense and let him dominate oreb and on the short roll. He's at 26.0 RA/g these last 3g and has become a huge key to the series. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/andersons-friday-game-6-picks-kings-warriors-grizzlies-lakers-april-28

K.Looney o4.5 Ast+165

9-6-7 dimes last 3 games killing Kings on short roll. 9.3 pot apg and they're mostly at the rim or open 3s.

D.Green o14.5 Pts+425

0.25u

Via @wheatonbrando

K.Thompson o4.5 3pt M-110

@GDAWG5000

S.Curry o4.5 3pt M-133

0.75u

K.Thompson o4.5 3pt M-110

1.1u

Bet at DraftKings. Huge line but one of 3 players in NBA where you’d actually bet OVER. Averaged 4.9 3PT per home game in regular season and hit in 3/5 games in series. Game 6 Klay is upon us. Watch @GreenDotDaily at 3pm ET for more analysis.

D.Fox o5.5 Rebs+104

$50.00

D.Sabonis u37.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-today-bet-domantas-sabonis-in-kings-vs-warriors-april-28?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

K.Looney o3.5 Ast-145

1.45u

7, 6, & 9 AST on a 25.3 AST% L3 games. Kerr doing his best in separating Dray & his MIN in order to maximize spacing vs SAC. In doing so, it allows for more playmaking by him as a “hub” on P&R, DHO, & empty-corner S&R. #PlayerProps

K.Looney o16.5 Rebs+Ast-115

D.Fox o38.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130

0.77u

J.Poole u16.5 Pts-125

Ceiling is low & min keep shrinking. GSW closing w/ Looney over him + GPII played more in Game 5. Curry playing 41+ MIN now, meaning very little playing time w/ him off court. Poole avg. 14.0 PPG Per-25 MIN w/ Curry ON. #PlayerProps

GSW -7.5-110

1.1u

D.Fox o38.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113

0.88u

GSW -1 (3Q)-120

0.5u

K.Looney o16.5 Rebs+Ast-115

GSW -1.5 (3Q)-120

2.4u

GSW -7-115

1.15u

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 26-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Warriors' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	40-38-3	14-24-3	26-14	24-29-1	16-9-2
Kings	42-39-1	18-23	24-16-1	25-29-1	17-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	40-41	24-17	16-24	25-29	15-12
Kings	36-45-1	22-19	14-26-1	27-28	9-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	12-3	21-20	24-16	36-18	9-18
Kings	8-8	24-17	22-19	34-21	12-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	@SAC	W 123-116	-2 W	O 234	GSW -134
Apr 23rd	SAC	W 126-125	-7 L	O 235	GSW -325
Apr 21st	SAC	W 114-97	-6 W	U 241	GSW -255
Apr 18th	@SAC	L 106-114	-2 L	U 239	SAC -130
Apr 16th	@SAC	L 123-126	+1 L	O 237	SAC -102