Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2024

Thunder at Pelicans

12:30 am • NBA TV

Oklahoma City Thunder

4-0

97 - 89

New Orleans Pelicans

0-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Thunder 4-0	-5	-5-108	o208.5-111	-194
Pelicans 0-4	u207	+5-112	u208.5-110	+162

Tuesday 12:30 a.m.

April 30, 2024

Smoothie King CenterNew Orleans

T.Murphy o2.5 3pt M-120

0.6u

NOP +114 (1Q)

NOP +1 (1Q)-110

NOP +2.5 (1H)-122

0.82u

… 1H at home off loss playoffs Overall: 222-142-15,61% (ROI:16%) Season:7-3-0,70% (ROI:33%)

C.Holmgren o1.5 3pt M-120

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u27.5 Pts-104

0.96u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -127 giving value to this number

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o33.5 Pts+Ast-105

T.Murphy o23.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

1.25u

Over 208-105

C.McCollum o19.5 Pts-109

0.92u

J.Williams o30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-108

B.Ingram o4.5 Ast-115

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

B.Ingram o4.5 Ast-118

C.McCollum o3.5 3pt M+175

0.25u

Under alt 3PM

C.McCollum o2.5 3pt M-120

0.75u

Career 40% shooter that’s just 22.7% from 3 in the opening 3 games. Should see 35+ minutes again here and a positive regression spot. McCollum continues to shoot high volume and vs. OKC in regular season had 4/2/5 in 3 games

J.Williams o29.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-118

0.85u

OKC -4.5-111

0.9u

@HPBasketball

Under 207.5-110

0.91u

This game will be won in the trenches

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o27.5 Pts-110

1.1u

C.Holmgren o25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

Love this look for someone who rarely touches props

OKC -4.5-112

S.Gilgeous-Alexander u27.5 Pts-104

0.96u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -126 giving value to this number

C.Holmgren o1.5 3pt M-104

Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -127 giving value to this number

NOP +5-110

$55.00

I’ll pay to see if the Pels can avoid the sweep

J.Williams o24.5 Pts+Rebs-115

Over in 3/3 this series, and 5/6 overall vs NO. Has been aggressive with 13.7 drives per game, and has been torching the Pels when they inevitably switch on the PnR (or rotate off of SGA’s action). 35+ mins each game - he plays the first shift in the 4Q, so less of a blowout risk (and will play 40 mins if the game stays close). Averaged 25.8 P+R per 35 mins in the regular season too.

J.Williams o9.5 Rebs+Ast-130

0.77u

OKC -4.5-120

0.83u

Sharps are nuking the Pelicans

C.Holmgren o8.5 Rebs-105

0.95u

The Thunder look to punch their ticket to the Western Conference Semifinals tonight as the Pelicans hope to force a Game 5 and return to Oklahoma City. In Game 3, Jonas Valanciunas was removed from the rotation in the 2H and Chet pulled down 5 rebounds with Larry Nance getting run at the 5. In a win or go home Game 5, I could see New Orleans continuing that as the defense was more effective in the 2H than the 1H. Chet has not needed to play expanded minutes in this series, but he has recorded 11, 7, and 8 rebounds. When he’s played 28+ minutes (the fewest he’s played in this series) he has averaged 8.4 rebounds per game including 9.4 over his last 10. In a game where the Thunder can send the Pelicans to Cancun, I like Chet to exceed 8.5 rebounds.

OKC -5-109

2.75u

B.Ingram u21.5 Pts-112

0.89u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -134 giving value to this number.

OKC -4.5-110

Featured Insight
The Thunder have shot 50% (436/868) in close and late situations this season -- best in the NBA; the Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 49% in close and late situations this season -- T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Pelicans have allowed 15.6 offensive rebounds/game this season -- 7th-best in the NBA; the Thunder has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game this season -- worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Pelicans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Pelicans are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pelicans are 23-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pelicans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pelicans' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pelicans	43-37-2	20-20	23-17-2	23-26-1	20-11-1
Thunder	46-35-1	27-14	19-21-1	35-26	11-9-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pelicans	36-46	20-20	16-26	25-25	11-21
Thunder	43-35-4	19-19-3	24-16-1	31-26-4	12-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pelicans	0-4	N/A	N/A	31-19	18-14
Thunder	6-4	N/A	N/A	47-14	10-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	OKC	L 85-106	+2 L	U 209.5	OKC +105
Apr 25th	@OKC	L 92-124	+7.5 L	O 210.5	OKC +247
Apr 22nd	@OKC	L 92-94	+9 W	U 216.5	OKC +302
Apr 20th	SAC	W 105-98	-1.5 W	U 211.5	NOP -121
Apr 16th	LAL	L 106-110	-1 L	U 224.5	LAL -116