Thunder vs. Spurs Odds & Betting Predictions - November 20, 2024

Thunder at Spurs

2:30 am • TNT

Oklahoma City Thunder

53-12

104

104 - 110

San Antonio Spurs

26-37

110

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Thunder 53-12	-6.5	-10-112	o222.5-110	-515
Spurs 26-37	u220.5	+10-108	u222.5-114	+390

Wednesday 2:30 a.m.

November 20, 2024

Frost Bank CenterSan Antonio

T.Jones u15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.5u

No Wemby or Vassell which isn’t ideal, but that moved this from 14.5 this morning to 15.5 just now. Played 19 minutes last game coming off an ankle sprain and even with no Vassell, I think 20 minutes is a reasonable expectation. Assuming 20 mins, have this projected closer to 13.5 PRA. Will take a shot against the league’s top ranked defense. Helps that Alex Caruso is also back to anchor the second unit defense, which is when Jones should be playing. Playing for half a unit on Underdog but logging as Sleeper since Underdog isn’t a listed book.

Z.Collins o11.5 Pts-115

Z.Collins o14.5 Pts+Ast-110

J.Williams o6.5 Rebs-105

1.5u

H.Barnes u11.5 Pts-152

Z.Collins o18.5 Pts+Rebs-120

S.Gilgeous-Alexander Double-Double (Yes)+375

0.25u

(+290) on FD - last double double in October

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o29.5 Pts-115

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o12.5 Rebs+Ast-105

Under this line in L7 - no Wemby or Chet

C.Paul o16.5 Pts+Ast-120

0.83u

The Spurs take on the Thunder in a game where Wemby is doubtful. However, this should open up some more opportunities for his teammates.  Chris Paul has been a leader this season and is averaging 10.4 points and 8.4 assists per game. While we all expected the CP3-Wemby Pick and Roll to feed families, because of the way Wemby wants to play we simply have not seen as much of this as we would have thought. When Wemby is off the floor, CP3 sees his Usage nearly double, he scores 7 more points per 100 possessions and while his assists per 100 drop, it’s a bit skewed from last game without Wemby where his teammates converted on just 3 of 11 potential assists. This 16.5 PA mark is one that Paul has exceeded in 57% of games this season, but in 9/11 against the Thunder over the last few seasons including their matchup back in October. Couple that with the fact that the Thunder are highly exploitable on the interior without a Center, and I think CP3 will have no issues finding his teammates to score. I’ll grab CP3 to exceed 16.5 points and play some double double which is best built out as 10 points/10 assists (+700 Bet365).

Z.Collins o12.5 Pts+100

Z.Collins To Score 20+ Points Yes+600

0.25u

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NBA Public Betting

Spurs are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Spurs are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Spurs are 13-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Spurs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Spurs' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Spurs	27-36	14-17	13-19	9-11	18-25
Thunder	39-24-3	22-12-1	17-12-2	37-23-3	2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Spurs	35-27-1	17-14	18-13-1	14-6	21-21-1
Thunder	37-29	20-15	17-14	36-27	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Spurs	26-37	N/A	N/A	14-6	12-31
Thunder	53-12	N/A	N/A	51-12	2-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 17th	@DAL	L 93-110	+13.5 L	U 228.5	DAL +585
Nov 16th	LAL	L 115-120	+2.5 L	O 228	LAL +116
Nov 14th	WAS	W 139-130	-9.5 L	O 225	SAS -445
Nov 12th	SAC	W 116-96	+2.5 W	U 222.5	SAS +124
Nov 9th	UTA	L 110-111	-7 L	U 223.5	UTA -290