Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

11:00 pm • TNT

Minnesota Timberwolves

4-3

106

106 - 99

Denver Nuggets

3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves 4-3	+4.5-113	o209.5-110	+153
Nuggets 3-4	-4.5-106	u209.5-110	-182

Saturday 11:00 p.m.

May 04, 2024

Ball ArenaDenver

DEN +136 (Live)

0.25u

DEN -3.5 (Live)-118

0.29u

DEN -2 (1H)-115

0.87u

Forgot to post the double dip nice I’m a retard

N.Reid o13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

A.Gordon o3.5 Ast-129

0.78u

N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-110

0.91u

N.Jokic o29.5 Pts+125

0.25u

N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114

0.44u

Over 209.5-105

N.Reid o13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -130 giving value to this number

Under 209-110

0.91u

MIN +4.5-105

DEN -4.5-110

2.2u

Over 208.5-110

M.Porter o25.5 Pts+Rebs-105

Over 208-110

DEN -4-110

BettingWithBush x Mjaybrod

N.Reid o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130

0.77u

DEN -4.5-110

N.Alexander-Walker o7.5 Pts-130

0.65u

DEN -4.5-110

1.1u

Under 207.5-110

A.Gordon u7.5 Rebs-125

0.8u

My Props Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/denver-nuggets-vs-minnesota-timberwolves-player-prop-forecast

N.Reid o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

New series. As stated multiple times vs. PHX, it didn’t make sense logically to place him in on the court. The Suns are not very big and are guard-heavy. As a result, Naz’s PRA line moved from 16.5 to 13.5 as the series went on and rotations tightened. Wolves didn’t need to go double-big and NAW took his 4th quarter run being the new 6th man. However, that won’t be the case vs. the Nuggets. Naz saw 16-20 MPG in the Suns series but averages 22.9 MPG in the regular season with KAT healthy. I’d move the minutes sliders up to 18-22 MIN. In games where he sees these minutes and played vs. a top-15 defense a bottom-15 paced offense, he averaged 15.1 PRA, going over 12.5 PRA in 12/15 games. The Wolves will certainly place KCP on Edwards and use Aaron Gordon on Karl Anthony Towns. Naz should have some exploitable matchups at periods and can even start attacking the paint in the non-Jokic minutes. #PlayerProps

N.Reid o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

The bounceback spot. Last series wasn’t a good matchup for Reid. This line is an overreaction to how he was used vs PHX.

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Featured Insight
The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves has a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5
Timberwolves	40-40-2	18-22-1	22-18-1	29-31-2	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6
Timberwolves	41-40-1	18-22-1	23-18	29-32-1	12-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6
Timberwolves	9-7	N/A	N/A	47-15	9-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	LAL	W 108-106	-6.5 L	U 217.5	DEN -247
Apr 28th	@LAL	L 108-119	-3.5 L	O 219.5	LAL -163
Apr 26th	@LAL	W 112-105	+1.5 W	U 217.5	DEN +102
Apr 23rd	LAL	W 101-99	-7 L	U 223	DEN -285
Apr 21st	LAL	W 114-103	-6.5 W	U 227	DEN -259

Vlatko Cancar
SF
Vlatko Cancar out Saturday.
Out

Mike Conley
PG
Mike Conley (rest) out Wednesday.
Out

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scoring
Nikola Jokic
32
ppg
rebounding
Nikola Jokic
8
rpg
assists
Nikola Jokic
9
apg
shooting
Aaron Gordon
66.7
fg%

Timberwolves

Nuggets

43-82 (52%)

Field Goals

35-75 (47%)

9-12 (75%)

Free Throws

16-20 (80%)

11-27 (41%)

13-31 (42%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Timberwolves 4-3	o102.5-120	u102.5-110
Nuggets 3-4	o106.5-115	u106.5-115

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Spread Fits 59% Trend

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: How to Bet Game 1

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