Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2024

Timberwolves at Nuggets

2:00 am • TNT

Minnesota Timberwolves

4-3

106

106 - 80

Denver Nuggets

3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Timberwolves 4-3	+5.5	+7-110	o209.5-110	+235
Nuggets 3-4	u206.5	-7-110	u209.5-110	-292

Tuesday 2:00 a.m.

May 07, 2024

Ball ArenaDenver

MIN -10.5 (Live)-117

K.Towns o30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

A.Gordon o12.5 Pts-125

Too much of an overreaction. Scored 9 points on just 6 FGA in Game 1 because he was staying at the dunker spot and was covered by Rudy Gobert’s rim protection. Now Gobert is OUT (personal reasons) so the paint should get opened up while Jamal Murray and Micheal Porter Jr. get tougher matchups from NAW/Ant/McDaniels. Aaron Gordon averages 15.9 PPG when playing 31+ minutes at home against bottom-15 rim defenses. He scores 13+ points in 79% of these games (11 of 14 hit rate). #PlayerProps

N.Jokic o30.5 Pts-108

1.08u

K.Caldwell-Pope u9.5 Pts-110

MIN +6.5-110

1.5u

DEN -4.5 (1H)-105

… 1H at home off loss playoffs Overall: 223-143-15,61% (ROI:16%) Season:8-4-0,67% (ROI:27%)

J.McDaniels o13.5 Pts+Rebs-118

1.18u

Put up an 0fer points wise last game, but I see him as the beneficiary of coverage the nuggets should employ on Edwards, especially now with Gobert. Nuggets will not help off Towns or Naz, and will leave McDaniels open, similarly how they did in the regular season (20, 32, 15 P+R in the regular season). And had two big bounce back games offensively vs the Suns after his duds.

K.Caldwell-Pope u9.5 Pts-136

0.74u

DEN -6.5-110

1.1u

A.Gordon u4.5 Ast-125

DEN -6.5-105

DEN -6.5-110

C.Braun o4.5 Pts-110

0.5u

@ChicagoFlow

DEN -6.5-110

0.5u

@HPBasketball

N.Jokic To Make 2+ Threes Yes+115

0.5u

@HPBasketball

K.Caldwell-Pope u8.5 Pts-115

0.43u

@gneiffer07

N.Jokic o12.5 Rebs-113

0.44u

@gneiffer07

J.Murray Triple-Double Yes+6500

0.25u

J.Murray Double-Double (Yes)+525

0.25u

DEN -4 (1H)-112

2.24u

DEN -6.5-110

#NBA

M.Porter o25.5 Pts+Rebs-110

1.1u

DEN -5.5-110

@HPBasketball

A.Edwards u2.5 3pt M-105

0.95u

@GDAWG5000

Under 208-109

2.75u

DEN -2 (1Q)-115

1.15u

N.Reid o14.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

Under 208.5-110

0.91u

#NBA

Over 208-110

DEN -6.5-105

J.McDaniels o8.5 Pts-125

0.5u

#PROPS

M.Porter u18.5 Pts-125

0.4u

#PROPS

A.Gordon u4.5 Ast-130

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

A.Gordon u4.5 Ast-130

Over 206.5-110

J.Murray u6.5 Ast-122

0.82u

Courtside pal gives a boost to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -149 giving value to this number

J.Murray o10.5 Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

11.5 on offshores - 9.5 on DK?

MIN +6-113

0.88u

MIN u101 Team Total-110

50% & 40% - Naz Reid comes down to Earth

A.Edwards u2.5 3pt M-102

0.5u

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE…. ELSE!! Regression spot for Edwards who hit in G1 but most of damage was done in 1H. Nuggets adjusted and Ant did too by going to the basket. Only went over this prop in 1 of 4 games vs Denver during regular season. Nuggets also rank top 3 in opponent 3PT makes in regular season and playoffs.

DEN -5.5-110

2.2u

DEN -5.5-110

$110.00

Under 207.5-110

2.73u

DEN -5.5-110

N.Jokic o1.5 3pt M+136

N.Jokic u29.5 Pts-112

$50.00

DEN -5-120

The Nuggets get back

DEN -5.5-109

2.5u

DEN -218

1.75u

DEN -5.5-110

1.1u

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Featured Insight
The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-best in the NBA; the Timberwolves has a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-worst in the NBA.

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 17-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	38-42-2	21-19-1	17-23-1	33-37-2	5-5
Timberwolves	40-40-2	18-22-1	22-18-1	29-31-2	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	34-47-1	19-22	15-25-1	30-41-1	4-6
Timberwolves	41-40-1	18-22-1	23-18	29-32-1	12-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	7-5	N/A	N/A	53-19	4-6
Timberwolves	9-7	N/A	N/A	47-15	9-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	MIN	L 99-106	-4.5 L	U 209.5	MIN -182
Apr 30th	LAL	W 108-106	-6.5 L	U 217.5	DEN -247
Apr 28th	@LAL	L 108-119	-3.5 L	O 219.5	LAL -163
Apr 26th	@LAL	W 112-105	+1.5 W	U 217.5	DEN +102
Apr 23rd	LAL	W 101-99	-7 L	U 223	DEN -285