Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Odds & Betting Predictions - March 15, 2023
Pittsburgh at Mississippi St
1:34 am • truTVPittsburgh at Mississippi St Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pittsburgh 17-15 | +2.5-115 | o133.5-110 | +115 | |
 Mississippi St 21-12 | -2.5-105 | u133.5-105 | -140 | |
UD ArenaDayton
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 60-51-2 (+3.9u)
PITT +120
2.4u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MSST +2.5 (Live)-115
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 13-21-2 (-17.0u)
Over 133-105
1.05u
MSST -2.5-105
2.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
MSST -140
1.5u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 67-78-2 (-25.9u)
MSST -2-113
$100.00
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-34-0 (+12.4u)
G.Elliott u1.5 Ast-125
1u
BetMGM: MSU plays at a slow pace and allows one of the lowest effective FG% in the nation. They also force a high rate of turnovers. So even though they allow a high assist rate, the other rate stats more than make up for it. Projecting Elliott for an average of 1 assist.
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 9-12-1 (-1.5u)
G.Elliott u1.5 Ast-130
1u
He’s only cleared this in 3 of his last 11 games and that was with Pitt averaging 79.8 points a game over that stretch. They face a Miss St. team that plays at a snails pace and plays suffocating defense which is why Pitt’s team total is just 65.5 here. Projecting him closer to 1.0 assists with a 70% chance to stay under 1.5
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MSST -140
1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-34-0 (+12.4u)
MSST -140
0.25u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Hinson o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
1.05u
DK - I have this projected at 23.2. For more, check out BettingPros.
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MSST -142
1.42u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
PITT +2.5-110
0.91u
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 1-12-0 (-3.9u)
Over 61 (1H)-120
1.5u
Anders
Last 30d: 8-7-0 (-1.1u)
MSST -125
1.25u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
PITT +2.5-110
1u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PITT +120
1.2u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 32-28-2 (+2.4u)
PITT +2-110
0.36u
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Previews & Analysis
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Notes
Bracket Predictions
As of the start of the First Four, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod is No. 3 Xavier, with 54.0% odds.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, two No. 11 seeds like Mississippi State and Pittsburgh have faced off in the First Four 16 previous times. The betting favorites in those games have gone 9-7 straight up (56.2% win rate, breakeven moneyline -129).
The underdogs have the better record against the spread, going 9-7 ATS (56.2% cover rate, average spread +2.4).
No. 11 Mississippi State has played in seven of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 4-7 straight up and 6-5 against the spread in 11 total games.
First Four games between No. 11 seeds have gone under the full game total 68.8% of the time (11-5, average over/under line 141.6).
No. 11 Pittsburgh has played in 13 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 16-13 straight up and 11-18 against the spread in 29 total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Mississippi St are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Mississippi St are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mississippi St are 6-6 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi St' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Mississippi St' 21 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-17 | 10-11 | 6-6 | 13-13 | 3-4 |
| 13-18-1 | 9-7-1 | 4-11 | 10-14-1 | 3-4 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19-14 | 12-9 | 7-5 | 14-12 | 5-2 |
| 16-15-1 | 10-6-1 | 6-9 | 14-10-1 | 2-5 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-12 | N/A | N/A | 19-7 | 2-5 |
| 17-15 | N/A | N/A | 16-9 | 1-6 |
Last 5 Matchups
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Injury Updates
Pittsburgh Injuries
- Damian DunnG
Dunn is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Mississippi St Injuries
- Brandon WalkerF
Walker is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Team Stats
21-54 (39%)
Field Goals
24-63 (38%)
9-15 (60%)
Free Throws
5-7 (71%)
9-19 (47%)
3P
6-23 (26%)
25
Rebounds
42
10
Assists
14
6
Turnovers
14
7
Steals
1
4
Blocks
4
12
Fouls
18
Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Odds Comparison
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Pittsburgh at Mississippi St Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh 17-15 | N/A | N/A |
Mississippi St 21-12 | N/A | N/A |