Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Odds & Betting Predictions - March 15, 2023

Pittsburgh at Mississippi St

1:34 am • truTV

Pittsburgh Panthers

17-15

60 - 59

Mississippi State Bulldogs

21-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pittsburgh 17-15	+2.5-115	o133.5-110	+115
Mississippi St 21-12	-2.5-105	u133.5-105	-140

Wednesday 1:34 a.m.

March 15, 2023

UD ArenaDayton

PITT +120

2.4u

MSST +2.5 (Live)-115

Over 133-105

1.05u

MSST -2.5-105

2.1u

MSST -140

1.5u

MSST -2-113

$100.00

MSST -2.5-110

$55.00

G.Elliott u1.5 Ast-125

BetMGM: MSU plays at a slow pace and allows one of the lowest effective FG% in the nation. They also force a high rate of turnovers. So even though they allow a high assist rate, the other rate stats more than make up for it. Projecting Elliott for an average of 1 assist.

G.Elliott u1.5 Ast-130

He’s only cleared this in 3 of his last 11 games and that was with Pitt averaging 79.8 points a game over that stretch. They face a Miss St. team that plays at a snails pace and plays suffocating defense which is why Pitt’s team total is just 65.5 here. Projecting him closer to 1.0 assists with a 70% chance to stay under 1.5

MSST -140

0.25u

#KeepRollingItUp Audio: https://myaction.app/WMaLaruxayb Written: https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/ncaa-tournament-moneyline-rollover-strategy-dr-giffen-guide-betting-2023-march-madness/embed

PITT +120

1.2u

#mikecalabrese @eastbreese

B.Hinson o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105

1.05u

DK - I have this projected at 23.2. For more, check out BettingPros.

J.Burton u22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

This is a play on the matchup, which should be brutal for Burton. Miss St packs the paint and doesn’t allow much around the basket - they allow the 7th fewest pts from 2P in the nation. Burton doesn’t shoot well from the outside (only 18/58 from 3P this season), with 78% of his points coming via the 2P. And Miss St plays really slow (334/363 in tempo) - it’s hard to see him racking up both points AND assists, with limited possessions.

MSST -142

1.42u

PITT +2.5-110

0.91u

Over 61 (1H)-120

1.5u

MSST -125

1.25u

PITT +2.5-110

PITT +120

1.2u

MSST -1.5-110

0.44u

Koerner's March Madness Projections: Each Team's Final Four Chances
Sean Koerner•
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The 14% ROI Pick for Pitt vs. Mississippi State
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See more NCAAB Coverage

As of the start of the First Four, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod is No. 3 Xavier, with 54.0% odds.

Since 2002, two No. 11 seeds like Mississippi State and Pittsburgh have faced off in the First Four 16 previous times. The betting favorites in those games have gone 9-7 straight up (56.2% win rate, breakeven moneyline -129).

The underdogs have the better record against the spread, going 9-7 ATS (56.2% cover rate, average spread +2.4).

First Four games between No. 11 seeds have gone under the full game total 68.8% of the time (11-5, average over/under line 141.6).

No. 11 Mississippi State has played in seven of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 4-7 straight up and 6-5 against the spread in 11 total games.

No. 11 Pittsburgh has played in 13 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 16-13 straight up and 11-18 against the spread in 29 total games.

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Mississippi St are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mississippi St are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mississippi St are 6-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi St' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Mississippi St' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mississippi St	16-17	10-11	6-6	13-13	3-4
Pittsburgh	13-18-1	9-7-1	4-11	10-14-1	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mississippi St	19-14	12-9	7-5	14-12	5-2
Pittsburgh	16-15-1	10-6-1	6-9	14-10-1	2-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mississippi St	21-12	N/A	N/A	19-7	2-5
Pittsburgh	17-15	N/A	N/A	16-9	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 10th	@ALA	L 49-72	+8 L	U 140	ALA +280
Mar 9th	@FLA	W 69-68	-5 L	O 131.5	MSST -210
Mar 5th	@VAN	L 72-77	-3.5 L	O 132.5	VAN -165
Mar 1st	SCAR	W 74-68	-15.5 L	O 125	MSST -2247
Feb 25th	TXAM	W 69-62	-2 W	O 126.5	MSST -132

Damian Dunn
G
Dunn is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Kanye Clary
G
Clary is out with leg
Out

See more NCAAB Injuries

Pittsburgh

Mississippi St

21-54 (39%)

Field Goals

24-63 (38%)

9-15 (60%)

Free Throws

5-7 (71%)

9-19 (47%)

6-23 (26%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Pittsburgh 17-15	N/A	N/A
Mississippi St 21-12	N/A	N/A

Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Odds & Betting Predictions - March 15, 2023

Pittsburgh at Mississippi St

Pittsburgh Panthers

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Pittsburgh at Mississippi St Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Previews & Analysis

Koerner's March Madness Projections: Each Team's Final Four Chances

Pitt vs. Mississippi State: Target Total in First Four

The 14% ROI Pick for Pitt vs. Mississippi State

Dr. Giffen’s NCAA Tournament ML Rollover Strategy

Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Public Betting Percentages

Pittsburgh

Public

Mississippi St

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Injury Updates

Pittsburgh Injuries

Mississippi St Injuries

Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi St Odds Comparison

Pittsburgh at Mississippi St Team Totals