Providence vs. Kentucky Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023

Providence at Kentucky

11:13 pm • CBS

Providence Friars

12-15

53 - 61

Kentucky Wildcats

18-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Providence 12-15	+4.5-110	o142.5-110	+165
Kentucky 18-9	-4.5-110	u142.5-110	-200

Friday 11:13 p.m.

March 17, 2023

First Horizon ColiseumGreensboro

UK -4.5-110

Over 133.5 (Live)-110

1.1u

Under 143.5-120

0.83u

Resorts World

UK -4.5-110

B.Hopkins o14.5 Pts-135

1.35u

The juice sucks, but it’s a great spot for Hopkins, even without the “revenge” narrative. Averaged 16.1 ppg (16.7 ppg in conference) and gets a UK team that isn’t too threatening defensively. Over in 7/L9.

UK -4-110

$100.00

UK -4.5-105

N.Locke u11.5 Pts-105

DK/BetMGM: Locke has been extremely consistent this year with his playing time and usage. Even the most generous splits I can give him I get exactly 11.5 as his projection, but in reality the projection we have is 9.6 points. That's in no small part to kentucky's solid defense overall, lowering Providence's team totaly by at least 10% from any relevant split we can use. In addition, Kentucky is in the top third nationally in fewest percentage of points allowed via the 3-ball, and Locke scores nearly 60% of his points from downtown. This can definitely lose if he's hot from 3.

UK -4.5-107

0.93u

PROV +4.5-110

UK -4-110

0.91u

Feels like overreaction to recent Kentucky struggles. They're really a better version of Prov and should easily negate their reb advantage. Calipari 18-8-1 ATS as a seed favorite but not a 10+ pt favorite.

J.Toppin u0.5 3pt M+158

1.58u

Projection - 0.6: For more, check out BettingPros.

PROV +4.5-110

#kymckeon @threemanweave

UK -4.5-110

PROV +158

0.25u

#KeepRollingItUp Audio: https://myaction.app/WMaLaruxayb Written: https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/ncaa-tournament-moneyline-rollover-strategy-dr-giffen-guide-betting-2023-march-madness/embed

PROV +3.5-110

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See more NCAAB Coverage

Providence is the public's second favorite No. 11 seed upset pick, showing up in 30% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Since 2002, No. 6 seeds like Kentucky are 44-36 against No. 11 seeds like Providence in the First Round (55.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -122).

The No. 6 vs. No. 11 matchup has gone under the full game total 57.5% of the time (46-34, average over/under line 136.1).

No. 6 Kentucky has played in 17 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 42-16 straight up and 30-25-3 against the spread in 58 total games.

No. 11 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 44-35-1 ATS (55.6% cover rate, average spread +3.4).

No. 11 Providence has played in seven of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 3-7 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in 10 total games.

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Kentucky are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Kentucky are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Kentucky are 5-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Kentucky' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Kentucky' 17 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kentucky	15-12	10-7	5-5	9-10	6-2
Providence	13-14	8-9	5-5	3-8	10-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Kentucky	14-13	9-8	5-5	9-10	5-3
Providence	15-11-1	9-7-1	6-4	4-6-1	11-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kentucky	18-9	N/A	N/A	13-6	5-3
Providence	12-15	N/A	N/A	8-3	4-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 11th	VAN	L 73-80	-8.5 L	O 144.5	VAN -417
Mar 4th	@ARK	W 88-79	+5 W	O 141.5	UK +168
Mar 2nd	VAN	L 66-68	-9.5 L	U 145.5	VAN -520
Feb 25th	AUB	W 86-54	-5 W	U 140.5	UK -225
Feb 23rd	@FLA	W 82-74	-2.5 W	O 139.5	UK -150

Kerr Kriisa
G
Kriisa is out with foot
Out

Lamont Butler
G
Butler is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Jaxson Robinson
G
Robinson is out with wrist
Out

Jabri Abdur-Rahim
G
Abdur-Rahim is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Bryce Hopkins
F/G
Hopkins is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Corey Floyd
G
Floyd is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Wesley Cardet
G
Cardet is questionable with knee
Questionable
Christ Essandoko
F
Essandoko is questionable with illness
Questionable

See more NCAAB Injuries

Providence

Kentucky

21-58 (36%)

Field Goals

23-63 (37%)

6-11 (55%)

Free Throws

10-13 (77%)

5-24 (21%)

5-16 (31%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

See more NCAAB Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Providence 12-15	N/A	N/A
Kentucky 18-9	N/A	N/A

Providence vs. Kentucky Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023

Providence at Kentucky

Providence Friars

Kentucky Wildcats

Providence at Kentucky Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Expert Betting System's Top 11 Picks for Friday

The 2nd Half Trend for Gonzaga, Kentucky, Michigan State & More

Koerner's March Madness Projections: Each Team's Final Four Chances

Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Providence vs. Kentucky Public Betting Percentages

Providence

Public

Kentucky

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Kentucky vs. Providence Injury Updates

Kentucky Injuries

Providence Injuries

Providence vs. Kentucky Odds Comparison

Providence at Kentucky Team Totals