USC vs. Michigan St Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023
USC at Michigan St
4:15 pm • CBSUSC at Michigan St Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USC 16-17 | +2.5-109 | o136.5-107 | +123 | |
 Michigan St 27-6 | -2.5-111 | u136.5-112 | -145 | |
Nationwide ArenaColumbus
USC vs. Michigan St Expert Picks
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
USC +5.5 (Live)-112
1.12u
Under 144.5 (Live)-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 89-82-5 (+4.9u)
USC +2.5-108
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 42-33-3 (+9.4u)
MSU -2.5-105
2u
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 135-140
1.75u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 110-124-16 (-4.2u)
USC +2-110
$55.00
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 225-253-5 (-12.1u)
USC +2-110
1.1u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-2.8u)
USC +110
2u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Johnson o1.5 Ast-149
1u
Projection - 2.7: For more, check out BettingPros.
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Hoggard u12.5 Pts-106
1u
Under in 8/L12, taking more of a facilitator role. 85 of his 127 made baskets are in the paint, and USC is elite at protecting the interior (2nd lowest opp 2P % in nation - even better numbers in the paint).
Reads more of a drive and dish game, and a bigger spot for Tyson Walker and Joey Hauser.
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 80-97-3 (+8.3u)
MSU -1.5-112
1u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 69-86-2 (+2.1u)
MSU -0.5 (1H)-112
0.15u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 34-67-0 (+14.7u)
MSU -0.5 (1H)-112
0.5u
Columbus is effectively a home game for MSU so fans will be loud and USC is tipping off at what will feel like 9:15am local to them. Pretty even profiles but slow USC start makes sense.
https://medium.com/sportsraid/march-madness-2023-perfect-bracket-ncaa-history-purdue-kansas-alabama-houston-duke-ucla-texas-uconn-9cd5ddfea2e
Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
USC +1.5-107
1.07u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 188-184-20 (+2.0u)
USC +2.5-115
0.29u
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.4u)
MSU -2.5-105
$104.76
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 15-48-0 (-7.1u)
USC +112
0.25u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
USC +1.5-110
1.1u
USC vs. Michigan St Previews & Analysis
USC vs. Michigan St Notes
Bracket Predictions
Southern California is the public's least favorite No. 10 seed upset pick, showing up in 40% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 7 seeds like Michigan St. are 49-30 against No. 10 seeds like Southern California in the First Round (62.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -163).
The No. 7 vs. No. 10 matchup has gone over the full game total 52.5% of the time (41-37-1, average over/under line 136.6).
No. 7 Michigan St. has played in all of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 37-20 straight up and 30-26-1 against the spread in 57 total games.
No. 10 Southern California has played in nine of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 8-9 straight up and 10-7 against the spread in 17 total games.
No. 7 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 45-34 ATS (57.0% cover rate, average spread -1.5).
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
USC vs. Michigan St Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Michigan St are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Michigan St are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Michigan St are 8-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Michigan St' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Michigan St' 22 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22-10-1 | 14-8 | 8-2-1 | 17-9 | 5-1-1 |
| 14-19 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 8-7 | 6-12 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-22 | 6-16 | 5-6 | 10-16 | 1-6 |
| 24-9 | 13-6 | 11-3 | 11-4 | 13-5 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27-6 | N/A | N/A | 22-4 | 5-2 |
| 16-17 | N/A | N/A | 12-3 | 4-14 |
Last 5 Matchups
USC vs. Michigan St Injury Updates
USC Injuries
- Chibuzo AgboG
Agbo is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Terrance WilliamsF
Williams is questionable with wrist
Questionable
- Ezra AusarF
Ausar is probable with knee
Probable
- Kallai PattonG
Patton is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Michigan St Injuries
- Nick SandersG
Sanders is questionable with foot
Questionable
- Colin WaltonF
Walton is out for season with redshirt
Out for Season
Team Stats
24-58 (41%)
Field Goals
26-54 (48%)
7-8 (88%)
Free Throws
15-25 (60%)
7-20 (35%)
3P
5-14 (36%)
35
Rebounds
34
15
Assists
11
11
Turnovers
7
2
Steals
7
2
Blocks
3
18
Fouls
10
USC vs. Michigan St Odds Comparison
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USC at Michigan St Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
USC 16-17 | N/A | N/A |
Michigan St 27-6 | N/A | N/A |