VCU vs. Saint Mary's Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023
VCU at Saint Mary's
6:00 pm • TBSVCU at Saint Mary's Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() VCU 28-6 | +4.5-114 | o123.5-110 | +156 | |
![]() Saint Mary's 28-5 | -4.5-107 | u123.5-110 | -187 |

MVP ArenaAlbany
VCU vs. Saint Mary's Expert Picks

The Degenerates
744d ago
Last 30d: 78-87-1 (-20.6u)
VCU +162
0.5u
VCU +4.5-110
2.2u

Anders
745d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-4.0u)
SMC -3.5 (Live)-115
1u

Matthew Vincenzi
745d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
SMC -4.5-107
1u

The Degenerate
745d ago
Last 30d: 69-141-1 (-38.8u)
SMC -179
0.56u

Mjaybrod
745d ago
Last 30d: 83-108-0 (-23.8u)
Under 123.5-110
0.91u
YBK Picks.com
745d ago
Last 30d: 36-46-0 (-18.9u)
SMC -4-105
2u

Prop Bet Guy
745d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Baldwin u19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
1u
Just a brutal matchup for a point guard reliant on volume (his eFG% of 49% is well below the national avg). SMC has the 30th best eFG% defense, and the third lowest assists per possessions allowed. Coupled with the fact they play at a snails pace (VCU implied at ~59 points, compared to their season avg of 72).
Baldwin averages 21.5 PRA this season, but has not faced nearly as good of a defense as SMC.

Greg DiNardo
745d ago
Last 30d: 77-70-0 (+11.0u)
SMC -4-110
1u

Mjaybrod
745d ago
Last 30d: 83-108-0 (-23.8u)
SMC -4-110
0.91u

Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
745d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
VCU +4-112
1u
#mattcox @threemandweave

Sandy Plashkes
745d ago
Last 30d: 122-129-5 (-18.1u)
SMC -4-110
$50.00

Nick Giffen
745d ago
Last 30d: 43-87-0 (-26.6u)
J.Watkins u9.5 Pts+100
1u
At FD: Watkins is on a bit of a "hot streak" scoring, but it should end here. For the year, he's averaged 9.6 ppg in 23.6 minutes played, and in conference play that dips to 9.0 in 22.2 minutes played. However, over his last eight he's averaged 10.4 in 24.3 minutes played. But there's a catch...VCU has scored an average of 77.9 points in those games. Against St. Mary's, their implied team total is just 59.3! That's in no small part thanks to the massive tempo-down and incredibly strong defense from St. Mary's. What's more, St. Mary's allows a MUCH lower than average rate of points to be score on them via the 3-pointer, and Watkins' scores higher than nat'l average points from 3. Have 7.9 points projected in 24 minutes played.

Steak Friend
745d ago
Last 30d: 260-321-6 (-52.7u)
SMC -190
1u
SMC -4.5-107
1u

Shady Biev
745d ago
Last 30d: 179-176-0 (-1.0u)
SMC -4.5-107
1u

Matthew Freedman
745d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
L.Johnson u17.5 Pts-125
1u
Projection - 13.9: For more, check out BettingPros.

Anders
745d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-4.0u)
Under 56.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
it actually might be 22-20 at half

Brandon Anderson
745d ago
Last 30d: 9-33-0 (-7.1u)
Under 57 (1H)-115
0.5u
1h unders usually a great play for these early tips. Mary's plays super slow and is tipping early, will feel like 11am local. Both great D but VCU relies on TOs and Mary's handles pressure so VCU may struggle to score.
ncaa-history-purdue-kansas-alabama-houston-duke-ucla-texas-uconn-9cd5ddfea2e

Collin Wilson
746d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SMC -1.5 (1H)-122
0.61u

Anders
746d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-4.0u)
VCU u59.5-110
1u

Nick Giffen
747d ago
Last 30d: 43-87-0 (-26.6u)
L.Johnson u17.5 Pts-120
1u
Given out on pod
The Great Foosini
747d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SMC -4.5-107
0.93u

Nico Terpak
748d ago
Last 30d: 9-29-0 (-23.3u)
VCU +4.5-120
$110.00

Chad Millman
748d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
VCU +146
1u

Mike Calabrese
749d ago
Last 30d: 52-84-0 (-40.1u)
VCU +4.5-112
1.12u
VCU vs. Saint Mary's Previews & Analysis
VCU vs. Saint Mary's Notes
Bracket Predictions
VCU is the public's trendiest No. 12 seed upset pick, showing up in 35% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 5 seeds like Saint Mary's are 47-33 against No. 12 seeds like VCU in the First Round (58.8% win rate, breakeven moneyline -142).
No. 12 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 45-33-2 ATS (57.5% cover rate, average spread +5.3).
The No. 5 vs. No. 12 matchup has gone over the full game total 57.5% of the time (45-33-2, average over/under line 135.8).
No. 5 Saint Mary's has played in eight of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 5-8 straight up and 5-8 against the spread in 13 total games.
No. 12 VCU has played in 11 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 9-11 straight up and 15-5 against the spread in 20 total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
VCU vs. Saint Mary's Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Saint Mary's are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Saint Mary's are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Saint Mary's are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Saint Mary's' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Saint Mary's' 19 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 14-18 | 7-12 | 7-6 | 11-17 | 3-1 |
![]() | 20-13 | 14-7 | 6-6 | 20-11 | 0-2 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 12-19-1 | 8-10-1 | 4-9 | 12-15-1 | 0-4 |
![]() | 19-14 | 11-10 | 8-4 | 19-12 | 0-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 28-5 | N/A | N/A | 24-4 | 3-1 |
![]() | 28-6 | N/A | N/A | 27-4 | 0-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
VCU vs. Saint Mary's Injury Updates

VCU Injuries
- Phillip RussellG
Russell is questionable with ankle
Questionable

Saint Mary's Injuries
Team Stats
18-49 (37%)
Field Goals
20-49 (41%)
10-16 (63%)
Free Throws
20-27 (74%)
5-14 (36%)
3P
3-17 (18%)
24
Rebounds
33
7
Assists
13
14
Turnovers
8
7
Steals
8
5
Blocks
6
20
Fouls
19
VCU vs. Saint Mary's Odds Comparison
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VCU at Saint Mary's Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() VCU 28-6 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Saint Mary's 28-5 | N/A | N/A |