2022 College Football Bowl Projections
Following one of the craziest Saturdays in recent college football history, my new bowl projections this week have a much, much different look than last week.
Marshall’s upset win at Notre Dame and Houston’s overtime loss at Texas Tech vaults the Thundering Herd into the Cotton Bowl as my projection for the Group of Five’s New Year’s Six bowl representative.
Also, losses by Pitt, Baylor, Wisconsin and Florida — all projected among the New Year’s Six bowls last week — have resulted in all four of those major bowls having different matchups this week. Say hello to Michigan State, USC, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Arkansas and Kentucky.
Did I mention I’m also now projecting an SEC vs. Big Ten showdown in each of the College Football Playoff semifinals in the Fiesta and Peach bowls? That, my friends, is called burying the lede.
This week, my semifinals feature my projected No. 1 seed Georgia vs. No. 4 seed Michigan in the Peach Bowl and No. 2 seed Ohio State vs. No. 3 seed Alabama in the Fiesta Bowl.
Keep reading to see all the changes. Each matchup includes the projected point spread based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
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Georgia
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Alabama
-2.5![]()
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
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Georgia
-7![]()
Michigan
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Ohio State
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Alabama
-1![]()
New Year's Six Bowl Games
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USC
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Michigan State
-1.5![]()
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Oklahoma
-11.5![]()
Marshall
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Oklahoma State
-2![]()
Kentucky
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Miami
-2.5![]()
Arkansas
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Projections for All Other Bowls
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Penn State
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Tennessee
-0.5![]()
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Texas A&M
-2.5![]()
Wisconsin
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Maryland
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Florida
-1.5![]()
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Ohio
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Fresno State
-14.5![]()
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Clemson
-7.5![]()
LSU
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Wake Forest
PK![]()
UCLA
PK![]()
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NC State
-7![]()
Iowa
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Baylor
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Utah
-2.5![]()
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Notre Dame
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Texas
-1.5![]()
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North Carolina
-2![]()
Minnesota
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TCU
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Mississippi State
-1![]()
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Florida State
-10.5![]()
Oregon State
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Iowa State
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Auburn
-0.5![]()
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Pittsburgh
-7![]()
UCF
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Illinois
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Kansas State
-3![]()
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Toledo
-2![]()
Louisiana
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Purdue
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BYU
-4![]()
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Washington State
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Texas Tech
-10.5![]()
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Indiana
-13.5![]()
Ball State
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Boise State
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UTSA
-1.5![]()
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Duke
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Rutgers
-4![]()
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Army
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Tulane
-6.5![]()
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Arizona State
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SMU
-1.5![]()
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Western Kentucky
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Appalachian State
-6.5![]()
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Memphis
-2.5![]()
San Diego State
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Eastern Michigan
-4![]()
Utah State
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Coastal Carolina
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East Carolina
-6.5![]()
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Syracuse
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Houston
-1![]()
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Ole Miss
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Oregon
-1![]()
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UAB
-13![]()
Georgia Southern
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Washington
-2.5![]()
Air Force
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San Jose State
-5.5![]()
Liberty
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Virginia Tech
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Cincinnati
-8.5![]()
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North Texas
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Old Dominion
-2![]()
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Florida Atlantic
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Northern Illinois
-3![]()
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Georgia State
-15![]()
UTEP
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* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.
**ESPN will create a bowl this fall to replace the San Francisco Bowl if it is not played.
