Alabama at Ole Miss Betting Odds & Pick: Rebels Can Keep Pace With the Tide (Saturday, Oct. 10)

Alabama at Ole Miss Odds

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There are too many narratives for this game, which should win honors as the most entertaining of Week 6. Lane Kiffin faces his former boss, Nick Saban, in Oxford, where Hurricane Delta is scheduled to pass through. There's so much to unpack with that statement. Nick Saban hates trips to Oxford ever since an embarrassing 2014 loss. That Ole Miss squad came to Tuscaloosa in 2015 and produced the same result. Since 2017, Nick Saban has gone full scorched Earth on Ole Miss, tallying a combined score of 187-41.

Lane Kiffin was a rebuilding project after falling short of expectations as a head coach at Tennessee and USC. As Alabama offensive coordinator, Kiffin took on the RPO to change the way the Crimson Tide schemed offense. After multiple trips to the College Football Playoff, Kiffin and Saban are close on a personal level. Kiffin is now reborn after a wildly successful stint at Florida Atlantic and a now-rejuvenated Ole Miss offense.

Just because Saban and Kiffin have a close personal relationship doesn't mean they're not going to try and show each other up on Saturday. By all indications, this game should fly over the total. Ole Miss ranks fourth in seconds per play, while Alabama may have a collection of skill positions that are the most talented in the country. As the world sees Jerry Jeudy depart for the Denver Broncos, the Crimson Tide introduce John Metchie III to college football consumers.

Both Ole Miss and Alabama are 2-0 to the over in their respective games. The Crimson Tide scored 52 against Texas A&M in a game with a total set at 54, while the Rebels allowed 51 to Florida in a game with a total of 59.5. The ultimate equalizer is Hurricane Delta, as remnants of the center of the eye will be over the state of Mississippi on Saturday.

This storm will affect numerous games, as The Action Network's Danny Donahue explains. Winds are variable right now, estimated anywhere from 10 to 35 mph with precipitation.

Alabama has gone pass in 65% of plays from 11 personnel, while Ole Miss has been 56% pass. The more the weather deteriorates, this becomes more favorable for a ground game and the team with the better defense.

Ole Miss is having historic issues on the defensive side of the ball, but the Alabama pace and method of attack must be questioned. Monitor the weather, specifically the amount of wind and precipitation that could limit both passing attacks. In a slower paced game reliant on the rush, Ole Miss has plenty of value on the spread. A first-half under bet may be warranted as well, based upon pace, weather and the Alabama defense thriving in wet turf conditions.

The Bet: Ole Miss +24; First Half Under 37

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