Arizona vs UCF Prediction, Pick, Odds for November 2

Arizona vs UCF Prediction, Pick, Odds for November 2 article feature image
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(Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) Pictured: RJ Harvey

If there was ever a game to buy low on a Big 12 team, it's this one.

However, the challenge is figuring out which side to back as the Arizona Wildcats (3-5) take on the UCF Knights (3-5) at the "Bounce House." Kickoff is 3:30 p.m. ET on FS1.

Arizona comes into this matchup having lost four straight. Its talent on paper just hasn't resulted in success on the field. Despite recent results, the Wildcats' offensive talent can't be discounted in the right matchup.

The Knights have faced similar results, having lost their past five games. The KJ Jefferson experience hasn't panned out and Gus Malzahn has been searching for an answer at quarterback.

So, which side will get back on track in this one? Let's dig into my Arizona vs. UCF predictions.


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Arizona vs UCF Prediction

  • Arizona vs UCF Pick: UCF-6

My Arizona vs UCF best bet is on the Knights spread, with the best line currently available on FanDuel, according to our live NCAAF odds page.


Arizona vs. UCF Odds

Arizona Logo
Saturday, Nov. 2
3:30 p.m. ET
FS1
UCF Logo
Arizona Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+6
-110
56
-110 / -110
+190
UCF Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-6
-110
56
-110 / -110
-225
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Arizona vs UCF Point Spread: Arizona +6 (-110) · UCF -6 (-110)
  • Arizona vs. UCF Total: Over/Under 56
  • Arizona vs. UCF Moneyline: Arizona +190 · UCF -225


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Arizona vs UCF Preview


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Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview: Can Offense Get Going?

This rough run for the Arizona Wildcats has been disappointing. Their passing attack has been forced to play with little margin for error, and the defense hasn't held up its end of the bargain.

On paper, it's not like Noah Fifita has played horribly. He's been great at getting the ball to one of the nation's best wideouts in Tetairoa McMillan, but when it's not gone to McMillan, it's been going to the defense. Fifita is sporting an 11:10 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The Wildcats' offense has become one-dimensional. The offensive line can't get a push up front to run the ball and the team's trailing game scripts have made its attack predictable for opposing defenses.

That will be the case again against UCF. The Knights will hold a big edge in the trenches, and their secondary is not as bad as their 116th rank in completion percentage allowed shows.

UFC ranks 57th in PFF's coverage grades and 89th in Pass Success Rate allowed, which is on par with Arizona's rank of 88 in Pass Success Rate. While we will likely see flashes from the Wildcats, consistency and urgency will once again lead to overall struggles offensively.

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UCF Knights Betting Preview: Quarterback Position Needs Stability

I touched on the Knights' quarterback hunt in the open, and we may not know who will be under center until the first series. We've seen Malzahn trust freshman Jacurri Brown over the past few weeks, but he hit the bench when last week's game against was out of reach and Dylan Rizk looked good in his limited snaps.

Brown is the more mobile of the two, but Rizk has more pocket presence and looks to be the more effective through the air, while also displaying some scrambling ability. Regardless, the Knights will control this game because of their rushing attack, which is led by RJ Harvey.

Harvey has been feasting on opposing defenses this season, averaging 6.8 yards per carry and racking up 13 touchdowns. He has been supported by the great effort of the UCF offensive line.

The Knights rank fifth in Offensive Line Yards and will push around an Arizona defense that ranks 92nd in yards per rush allowed. Look for UCF to motor its way down the field on the ground, while potentially getting a boost through the air if Rizk is under center.


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Arizona vs UCF

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arizona and UCF match up statistically:

Arizona Offense vs. UCF Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success11817
Line Yards10320
Pass Success8889
Havoc7485
Finishing Drives88105
Quality Drives9189
UCF Offense vs. Arizona Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success457
Line Yards587
Pass Success10679
Havoc7190
Finishing Drives92113
Quality Drives6193
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling10070
PFF Coverage7857
Special Teams SP+1861
Middle 88268
Seconds per Play27.9 (83)24.4 (20)
Rush Rate44% (123)65% (9)

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Arizona vs UCF Pick & Prediction

The spread for this matchup has held firm throughout the week, and every move off of six has been quickly bet back into place. Arizona clearly has the potential offensively, but the Wildcats are severely outmatched on the defensive end, and UCF's high-powered ground game will allow it to control the clock and put together multiple methodical drives.

That will create a game script in which Arizona has struggled, and UCF's secondary can sit back and make Fifita beat them. Back the Knights to get back on track.

Pick: UCF -6 (Play to -6.5)


Arizona vs UCF Live: Start Time, TV Channel, Location, How to Watch

Location:FBC Mortgage Stadium
Date:Saturday, Nov. 2
Kickoff Time:3:30 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:FS1

Arizona takes on UCF on Saturday, Nov. 2, at 3:30 p.m. ET on FS1.


Arizona vs UCF Betting Trends

  • Arizona is 1-4 in its last five games against the spread.
  • The totals have gone over in two of Arizona's last five games.
  • UCF is 4-1 in its last five games against the spread.
  • The total has gone over in four of UCF's last five games.

Arizona vs UCF Weather

Get the latest coverage on NCAAF Weather.

About the Author
Doug is a college football, college basketball and MLB contributor at the Action Network. He produces content centered around actionable advice with the goal of helping readers become better bettors. He studied journalism at Rutgers and has previously covered the New York Mets, Indianapolis Colts, and Mid-Atlantic region for Perfect Game.

Follow Doug Ziefel @DougZiefel on Twitter/X.

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