It's the final game of the regular season for two bowl-eligible teams, but it's clear which side has the edge as the Missouri Tigers host the Arkansas Razorbacks in the Battle Line Rivalry.
Missouri has bounced back nicely since its blowout loss to Alabama, winning two of its last three. However, the same can be said about Arkansas, which comes into this matchup after routing Louisiana Tech and challenging the Texas Longhorns the week prior.
Both teams are trending up, but the Tigers have the edge in the all-time series, having won 10 of 15 meetings. While trends are nice, a closer look reveals which side you should be on.
Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction
- Arkansas vs. Missouri Pick: Missouri -3
My Arkansas vs. Missouri best bet is on the Tigers to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at bet365, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
Arkansas vs. Missouri Odds
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 54.5 -110 / -110 | -150 |
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 54.5 -110 / -110 | +130 |
- Arkansas vs. Missouri Point Spread: Arkansas +3 (-110) · Missouri -3 (-110)
- Arkansas vs. Missouri Total: Over/Under 54.5
- Arkansas vs. Missouri Moneyline: Arkansas -150 · Missouri +130
Arkansas vs Missouri Preview
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview: Green Leads the Razorbacks
The Razorbacks' offense has been fun to watch, bringing an up-tempo brand of football led by dual-threat quarterback Taylen Green. His mobility in the pocket has created big play opportunities, ranking 24th in yards per pass. Green may have more downfield opportunities, as the Tigers' defense is 86th in yards per pass allowed.
While their quarterback's creativity in the pocket is a threat, this Arkansas team relies on the ground game with Green's legs and running back Ja'Quinden Jackson. They have led the Razorbacks to the sixth-best rushing offense in terms of Rush Success Rate.
However, Missouri can match them on the ground. The Tigers will hold the edge in Line Yards as they outrank the Razorbacks 17 to 28. They also rank 21st in Rush Success Rate allowed, which is much more telling than their rank of 70th in yards per rush.
If the Razorbacks are to win in this matchup, Green will need to stretch the field with his arm. Missouri has been tremendous on late downs, ranking fourth in opponent third-down conversion rate; if Arkansas can't run the ball effectively on early downs, it will inhibit Green's ability to succeed through the air.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview: Cook's Return Fires up Missouri
Brady Cook's return has sparked this Missouri offense, which has looked like the team many thought would be in the mix for the College Football Playoff. Since his return, Cook has led the Tigers to 73 points while completing 71 percent of his passes, and we should see his success continue against this Arkansas secondary.
The Razorbacks rank 105th in Pass Success Rate and 125th in PFF's coverage grades. Their secondary is susceptible and will struggle to contain Luther Burden III and Theo Wease Jr.
It doesn't stop there. Cook's return has also opened things up for Nate Noel on the ground, as he's rushed for 245 yards on 42 carries in the last two weeks.
The Razorbacks rank seventh in Rush Success Rate Allowed and 20th in defensive Line Yards, but Missouri's offensive line is not significantly outgunned, and Noel could see some light boxes to attack.
Arkansas vs Missouri
Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arkansas and Missouri match up statistically:
Arkansas Offense vs. Missouri Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 6 | 21 | |
| Line Yards | 28 | 17 | |
| Pass Success | 33 | 75 | |
| Havoc | 114 | 39 | |
| Finishing Drives | 62 | 21 | |
| Quality Drives | 42 | 29 | |
Missouri Offense vs. Arkansas Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 27 | 7 | |
| Line Yards | 54 | 20 | |
| Pass Success | 90 | 105 | |
| Havoc | 19 | 77 | |
| Finishing Drives | 80 | 22 | |
| Quality Drives | 42 | 53 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 31 | 78 |
| PFF Coverage | 125 | 86 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 68 | 98 |
| Middle 8 | 79 | 110 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.2 (46) | 27.7 (84) |
| Rush Rate | 54% (77) | 56% (52) |
Arkansas vs Missouri Pick & Prediction
The market has taken two clear stances on this matchup. Bettors rushed to back the Razorbacks at the opening number of +4.5, but the market has yet to move through the key number of three.
Missouri is the side to back here, as their offense has its groove. They are also at home on Senior Day in this rivalry matchup.
Back the Tigers to get the job done and end their regular season on a high note.
Pick: Missouri -3
Arkansas vs Missouri Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How To Watch
| Location: | Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 30 |
| Kickoff Time: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | SEC Network |
Arkansas vs Missouri will be played at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 30 at 3:30 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on SEC Network.
Arkansas vs Missouri Betting Trends
Arkansas vs Missouri Weather
