The Bowling Green Falcons (1-1) travel to College Station to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) at 7:30 p.m. ET on SECN+ on Saturday.
This matchup is an interesting spot for the Aggies, as they're coming home off a big win at Florida but have the rest of their SEC schedule ahead of them.
As for the Falcons, it feels like we haven't seen them in a while, as they got to take advantage of an early bye week. The last time we saw Bowling Green, it was giving Penn State all it could handle in Happy Valley.
The Falcons were double-digit underdogs in that matchup, but only lost by seven.
Are the Falcons being undervalued again? Let's find out in my Bowling Green vs. Texas A&M prediction.
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Prediction
- Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Pick: Bowling Green +22.5
My Bowling Green vs Texas A&M best bet is on the Falcons spread with the best line currently available at BetMGM, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Odds
| Bowling Green Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+22.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 / -115 | +1000 |
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-22.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 / -115 | -1800 |
- Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Point Spread: Bowling Green +22.5 (-110) · Texas A&M -22.5 (-110)
- Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Total: Over/Under 52.5
- Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Moneyline: Bowling Green +1000 · Texas A&M -1800
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Preview
Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview: Offense is Rolling
For Bowling Green, it all starts with quarterback Connor Bazelak. The former Missouri Tiger has been tremendous for the Falcons since transferring last year.
Bazelak leads a pass-heavy offense that throws the ball at the 11th-highest rate in the country and ranks 57th in completion percentage.
While Bazelak gets the credit, the offensive line deserves its fair share of praise too. The big boys up front have played exceptionally well, propelling the offense to 4.7 yards per rush and not allowing a sack through two games.
The Aggies' defense has yet to live up to preseason expectations. They are 82nd in sack rate and 76th in passingsuccess rate allowed. We could also see even worse numbers from the Texas A&M secondary, which ranks 107th in PFF's coverage grading.
With two weeks to prepare for the environment, expect the Falcons to move the ball through the air and test the Aggies' defense, just as they did against the Nittany Lions.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview: Quarterback Controversy?
Bowling Green's quarterback will be highlighted in this matchup, but the Texas A&M Aggies will also have a spotlight on the man under center. The Aggies have a bit of a quarterback controversy after Marcel Reed dazzled in his first collegiate start against Florida last week.
Reed filled in for Conner Weigman, who was ruled out late due to a shoulder injury. However, after Reed showed what he could do, many are calling for him to be the starter after Weigman made a poor first impression against Notre Dame.
Regardless of who is under center, the Aggies should have success on offense. The Falcons haven't shown they can string together defensive stops and will be overmatched in the trenches.
The Aggies should be able to run the ball and control the clock as they outrank Bowling Green nine to 125 in line yards.
As for the passing attack, the Aggies will have an opportunity to throw the ball with more success than we've seen this season. Thus far, they've thrown the ball just 34% of the time and rank 124th in completion percentage and 101st in yards per pass.
However, getting success from either quarterback remains a question mark, despite the great matchup against Bowling Green's secondary.
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M
Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Bowling Green and Texas A&M match up statistically:
Bowling Green Offense vs. Texas A&M Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 72 | 42 | |
| Line Yards | 32 | 23 | |
| Pass Success | 35 | 76 | |
| Havoc | 21 | 81 | |
| Finishing Drives | 15 | 98 | |
| Quality Drives | 39 | 70 | |
Texas A&M Offense vs. Bowling Green Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 17 | 93 | |
| Line Yards | 9 | 125 | |
| Pass Success | 86 | 83 |  |
| Havoc | 3 | 101 | |
| Finishing Drives | 85 | 58 | |
| Quality Drives | 30 | 108 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 46 | 52 |
| PFF Coverage | 106 | 107 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 41 | 38 |
| Middle 8 | 108 | 41 |
| Seconds per Play | 29.2 (103) | 28.3 (77) |
| Rush Rate | 48% (81) | 65% (13) |
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Pick & Prediction
This game has the potential to look a lot like the one we saw between Bowling Green and Penn State. The Falcons offense will have to try to match the Aggies score for score, but the Aggies have questions surrounding their passing attack.
If Texas A&M is unable to covert through the air, that'll open up opportunities for the Falcons to compete.
With the spread sitting at just over three touchdowns, it's hard to trust the Aggies.
Take the points and back Bowling Green.
Pick: Bowling Green +22.5 (Play to +21.5)
How to Watch Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Live: Start Time, TV Channel, Location
| Location: | Kyle Field |
| Date: | Saturday, Sept. 21 |
| Kickoff Time: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | SECN+ |
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Betting Trends
- 52% of the bets are on Texas A&M to cover the spread against Bowling Green.
- 75% of the money is on Bowling Green to cover the spread against Texas A&M.
