Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Predictions, Picks, Odds, How to Watch for College Football Saturday

Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Predictions, Picks, Odds, How to Watch for College Football Saturday article feature image
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Credit: Getty Images. Pictured: Bowling Green Falcons QB Connor Bazelak.

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Bowling Green Falcons (1-1) travel to College Station to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) at 7:30 p.m. ET on SECN+ on Saturday.

This matchup is an interesting spot for the Aggies, as they're coming home off a big win at Florida but have the rest of their SEC schedule ahead of them.

As for the Falcons, it feels like we haven't seen them in a while, as they got to take advantage of an early bye week. The last time we saw Bowling Green, it was giving Penn State all it could handle in Happy Valley.

The Falcons were double-digit underdogs in that matchup, but only lost by seven.

Are the Falcons being undervalued again? Let's find out in my Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Predictions, Picks, Odds, How to Watch for College Football Saturday.


Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Lines

Bowling Green Logo
Saturday, Sept. 21
7:30 p.m. ET
SECN+
Texas A&M Logo
Bowling Green Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+22.5
-110
51
-110o / -110u
+950
Texas A&M Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-22.5
-110
51
-110o / -110u
-1700
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Point Spread: Bowling Green +22.5 · Texas A&M -22.5
  • Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Total: Over/Under 51
  • Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Moneyline: Bowling Green ML +950 · Texas A&M ML -1700

My Bowling Green vs Texas A&M best bet is on the Falcons spread with the best line currently available at bet365, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Spread

My bet is on a spread for this game: Bowling Green +22.5 or the road against Texas A&M.

Moneyline

I'm passing on this game's moneyline.

Over/Under

I am not betting the total for Saturday's nonconference college football game.

Prediction

Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Pick: Bowling Green +22.5


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Bowling Green Football vs Texas A&M Football Preview

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview: Offense is Rolling

For Bowling Green, it all starts with quarterback Connor Bazelak. The former Missouri Tiger has been tremendous for the Falcons since transferring last year.

Bazelak leads a pass-heavy offense that throws the ball at the 11th-highest rate in the country and ranks 57th in completion percentage.

While Bazelak gets the credit, the offensive line deserves its fair share of praise too. The big boys up front have played exceptionally well, propelling the offense to 4.7 yards per rush and not allowing a sack through two games.

The Aggies' defense has yet to live up to preseason expectations. They are 82nd in sack rate and 76th in passingsuccess rate allowed. We could also see even worse numbers from the Texas A&M secondary, which ranks 107th in PFF's coverage grading.

With two weeks to prepare for the environment, expect the Falcons to move the ball through the air and test the Aggies' defense, just as they did against the Nittany Lions.


Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview: Quarterback Controversy?

Bowling Green's quarterback will be highlighted in this matchup, but the Texas A&M Aggies will also have a spotlight on the man under center. The Aggies have a bit of a quarterback controversy after Marcel Reed dazzled in his first collegiate start against Florida last week.

Reed filled in for Conner Weigman, who was ruled out late due to a shoulder injury. However, after Reed showed what he could do, many are calling for him to be the starter after Weigman made a poor first impression against Notre Dame.

Regardless of who is under center, the Aggies should have success on offense. The Falcons haven't shown they can string together defensive stops and will be overmatched in the trenches.

The Aggies should be able to run the ball and control the clock as they outrank Bowling Green nine to 125 in line yards.

As for the passing attack, the Aggies will have an opportunity to throw the ball with more success than we've seen this season. Thus far, they've thrown the ball just 34% of the time and rank 124th in completion percentage and 101st in yards per pass.

However, getting success from either quarterback remains a question mark, despite the great matchup against Bowling Green's secondary.

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Texas A&M vs Bowling Green Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Bowling Green and Texas A&M match up statistically:

Bowling Green Offense vs. Texas A&M Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success7242
Line Yards3223
Pass Success3576
Havoc2181
Finishing Drives1598
Quality Drives3970
Texas A&M Offense vs. Bowling Green Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success1793
Line Yards9125
Pass Success8683
Havoc3101
Finishing Drives8558
Quality Drives30108
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling4652
PFF Coverage106107
Special Teams SP+4138
Middle 810841
Seconds per Play29.2 (103)28.3 (77)
Rush Rate48% (81)65% (13)

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How to Make College Football Week 4 Picks For My Bowling Green vs. Texas A&M Prediction

This game has the potential to look a lot like the one we saw between Bowling Green and Penn State. The Falcons offense will have to try to match the Aggies score for score, but the Aggies have questions surrounding their passing attack.

If Texas A&M is unable to covert through the air, that'll open up opportunities for the Falcons to compete.

With the spread sitting at just over three touchdowns, it's hard to trust the Aggies.

Take the points and back Bowling Green.

Pick: Bowling Green +22.5 (Play to +21.5)


How to Watch Texas A&M vs Bowling Green

Location:Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Date:Saturday, Sept. 21
Kickoff Time:7:30 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:SECN+

College Football Betting Trends for BGSU vs Texas A&M

  • 52% of the bets are on Texas A&M to cover the spread against Bowling Green.
  • 75% of the money is on Bowling Green to cover the spread against Texas A&M.

Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Weather

Get the latest coverage on NCAAF Weather.

About the Author
Doug is a college football, college basketball and MLB contributor at the Action Network. He produces content centered around actionable advice with the goal of helping readers become better bettors. He studied journalism at Rutgers and has previously covered the New York Mets, Indianapolis Colts, and Mid-Atlantic region for Perfect Game.

Follow Doug Ziefel @DougZiefel on Twitter/X.

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