Buffalo at Kent State Odds
- Spread: Buffalo -6
- Over/Under: 56.5
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
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Buffalo at Kent State Line Movement
Kent State has struggled to attract bettors this year (and pretty much every recent year for that matter). The only two games in which the Golden Flashes have generated a majority of bets have come against Akron and Kennesaw State, and Wednesday’s matchup looks to be another case of the norm. Seventy-five percent of bets accounting for 79% of money have hit Buffalo, sending the Bulls from -3.5 to -6.
The total has actually seen different sides attracting the majority of bets and majority of money. While 67% of bets are on the under, 61% of dollars have hit the over, and the number has risen from 55 to 56.5. — Danny Donahue
Collin Wilson: Kent State's Offense Can Run with the Bulls
On the surface it may look like Buffalo, with its two conference losses, can contend for the MAC East Division crown. The reality is that the Bulls' two losses came against Miami and Ohio, so they would lose head-to-head tiebreakers against both of those teams.
This is a must-win game for Kent State. The Golden Flashes come into this game with a 3-6 record, so they will need to win out to make a bowl game. Second-year head coach Sean Lewis has implemented plenty of changes at Dix Stadium, but the Flashes still have a long way to go if they want to win their first-ever bowl game.
Kent State will need to improve its rush defense to have a shot in this game. Toledo ran for almost 300 yards in the first half against the Flashes. Kent State did come back in the second half to cover the number, but avoiding a first-half slide against Buffalo's rushing attack, which ranks 52nd in success rate, will go a long way in keeping this game close.
That will be easier said than done for a Kent State defense that ranks 123rd in opponent rushing success rate.
The Golden Flashes will rely on their capable offense to do the heavy lifting in this one. The Flashes have been explosive on the ground and have enjoyed moderate success through the air this season.
Last week, quarterback Dustin Crum led the Flashes back in the second half against Toledo, falling just short thanks to a missed two-point conversion. Crum should also have wide receiver Isaiah McKoy back in the huddle which would be a boost to an improving offense.
The Action Network's projected spread for this game is Kent State -2, which is a stark contrast to the Buffalo steam that has moved this number to -6. As long as there are no injuries to Crum or suspensions looming for Kent State, I will look to back the Flashes in a must-win game.
The Bet: Kent State +6