Saturday's Northwestern vs. Nebraska college football matchup is interesting from a handful of different angles. First, the difference in number of bets and actual money suggests that the bigger wagers are landing on one side of the spread.
In addition, weather forecasts are calling for windy conditions at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln. In fact, steady breezes are already having an effect on the over/under.
But for those looking to get ahead of any line moves, our College Football Pro Systems are already lighting up this game as one offering betting value right now.
Let's look at what the data says, and which of these teams is in a historically profitable spot.
Northwestern vs. Nebraska Betting Systems
Both Pro Systems like the value with Northwestern, which is a 7.5-point underdog as of Wednesday morning.
Scoring Streak Fade Pro System
This system is very simple, yet effective. Home favorites coming off poor offensive performances are overvalued by the betting market.
Based on this data, poor offensive performances carry over into the next game, especially in situations where a team may be overvalued because it's returning home and bettors "expect" a bounceback in scoring.
As a result, these teams are ripe for fading.
Bettors backing this trend have gone 258-177-4 (59.3%) ATS since 2005.
PRO Systems are data-driven betting strategies that turn winning long-term trends into easy-to-follow picks, all handpicked and monitored by our team of analysts. Try Action PRO now and instantly access real-time game matches for every PRO System.
Road Streak Pro System
In heavily bet games expected to be lower scoring (totals of 54 or below), teams playing at least two consecutive road games are undervalued when playing conference opponents.
As we've seen across multiple sports, division or conference opponents are more familiar, and therefore result in closer games.
We've also noticed that home teams are overvalued in many spots as well, providing some reasoning to why this system has hit at almost a 62% rate.
