It. Is. Here.
Finally!
Not the start of the college football season — that’s still five days away. And certainly not the end of conference realignment (sorry, that will continue until the Big Ten and SEC have at least 20 schools each).
What has finally arrived is the first of my weekly bowl projections for Action Network.
To recap: in my preseason bowl projections last year, I correctly picked nine teams in their correct bowl and nailed two bowl matchups (a Georgia-Ohio State semifinal and East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina).
Although I'm again projecting a Georgia-Ohio State semifinal matchup among my 82 bowl teams, there are some changes in this year’s bowl lineup.
The College Football Playoff semifinals will take place Jan. 1, 2024, at the Rose and Sugar Bowls. The highest-ranked Group of Five champion, if not in the playoff, will play in either the Peach or Fiesta Bowl.
There are also new pairings for the Las Vegas (Big Ten vs. Pac-12), Music City (SEC vs. Big Ten), Duke’s Mayo (SEC vs. ACC) and Independence (Big 12 vs. Pac-12) Bowls.
So, let’s embark on our 16-week journey of bowl projections leading up to the final season of the four-team College Football Playoff.
Each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
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CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Michigan -4 Florida State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -5.5 Ohio State |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Washington -0.5 Alabama | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Oregon -11 Tulane |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL Clemson PK Penn State | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Texas Tech LSU -4.5 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL Tennessee Wisconsin -6 | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL Notre Dame -1.5 Texas A&M | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ San Diego St. -1 NIU | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Arkansas -3 Illinois | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Kentucky -7 TCU | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Duke -6.5 Arizona | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Auburn PK Louisville | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Texas -6 USC | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL UNC -7 Kansas State | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY NC State Iowa -1 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Wake Forest Memphis -4 | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Mississippi St. Oklahoma -6 | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Pittsburgh Oregon State -12 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Ole Miss -11.5 Miami | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Syracuse -3.5 Navy | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Maryland Baylor PK | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX Oklahoma St. -6.5 Michigan St. | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -16 C. Michigan | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI UNLV SMU -7.5 | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV Utah -17.5 Nebraska | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL S. Alabama -15 San Jose St. | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Air Force -9 Miami OH | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX MTSU Fresno State -12.5 | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL App State Rice -4.5 | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL Kansas Florida -2.5 | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL S. Carolina BYU -1 | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL Marshall North Texas -3 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX Colorado St. -4.5 UTEP | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC FAU -10.5 Ohio | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA UCF -1 Arizona State | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA UCLA -9 Boise State | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM Wyoming -1 UTSA | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL ODU Toledo -21 | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA WKU Troy -9 | Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Nassau, Bahamas Liberty -6 Ball State |