College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Week 6 Predictions With Projected Spreads

Brett McMurphy

Updated:

Oct 03, 2022, 08:58 AM EDT

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Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Penn State’s Kevin Winston.

Week 6 College Football Bowl Projections

In my August preseason bowl projections, I joked it’s become tricky because not only do I have to project which teams will play in a bowl, but which bowls actually will be played.

Because of cancellations due to COVID-19 and the San Francisco Bowl folding last year, forcing ESPN to literally create a bowl game out of thin air, the bowl lineup has been — let’s just say — fluid in recent years.

Now, there’s even more uncertainty about a bowl. Unfortunately, this isn’t a joke but rather a power play by a joke of an NFL franchise — the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Las Vegas Bowl, between the SEC and Pac-12, is scheduled for Dec. 17 at 7:30 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium (televised on ABC). The Raiders approved that date and kickoff time after their schedule was released since the stadium also hosts UNLV home games and the Las Vegas Bowl.

On Dec. 18 at 8:20 p.m. ET, the Raiders are scheduled to play the New England Patriots on NBC’s “Sunday Night Football,” which provides nearly 24 hours to transition the stadium from the bowl game, played on artificial turf, to the NFL’s natural grass turf used for Raiders’ games. The problem is because of the Raiders' 1-3 start, there’s a chance the NFL could “flex” the game off of “Sunday Night Football” and move the kickoff up to a 4:30 p.m. ET start.

Mark Anderson of the Las Vegas Review-Journal broke the news last week about this potential conflict between the Raiders and the bowl. Las Vegas Bowl executive director John Saccenti did not respond to Action Network seeking comment.

The Raiders are asking the bowl to move their kickoff earlier in the day or to another date to provide the grounds crew more time to flip the stadium from a college to NFL venue. Neither option is realistic for the bowl for a number of logistical and contractual reasons.

The Raiders, which received about $750 million of public money to build the stadium, have a joint-use agreement with UNLV. It requires only 12 hours of prep time from the end of a Rebels game or the Las Vegas Bowl to the start of an NFL game, which it easily would have even if the Raiders’ Dec. 18 kickoff gets moved up.

Currently, the situation has not been resolved between the bowl and the Raiders, who are one of the most incompetent NFL franchises trying to bully a bowl game. Who wins? Stay tuned. As far as the Raiders’ Commitment to Excellence? What a joke.

What’s no laughing matter are my updated bowl projections. Each matchup includes the projected point spread based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.

Updated 2022 College Football Betting Power Ratings

CFP National Championship Prediction

CFP National Championship
Monday, Jan. 9
⋅
Los Angeles, CA
Ohio State
-1
Alabama

College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 31
⋅
Atlanta, GA
Alabama
-10.5
Michigan
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 31
⋅
Glendale, AZ
Ohio State
-2.5
Georgia

New Year's Six Bowl Games

Rose Bowl
Monday, Jan. 2
⋅
Pasadena, CA
USC
Penn State
-1.5
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Monday, Jan. 2
⋅
Arlington, TX
Utah
-2.5
Cincinnati

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 31
⋅
New Orleans, LA
Oklahoma State
PK
Tennessee
PK
Capital One Orange Bowl
Friday, Dec. 30
⋅
Miami, FL
Clemson
-5.5
Ole Miss

Projections for All Other Bowls

Citrus Bowl
Monday, Jan. 2
⋅
Orlando, FL
Maryland
Mississippi State
-2
ReliaQuest Bowl
Monday, Jan. 2
⋅
Tampa, FL
Kentucky
-6.5
Illinois
Music City Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 31
⋅
Nashville, TN
Minnesota
-1
Florida

Arizona Bowl
Friday, Dec. 30
⋅
Tucson, AZ
Eastern Michigan
San Diego State
-8
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Friday, Dec. 30
⋅
Jacksonville, FL
NC State
-1.5
Arkansas
Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Friday, Dec. 30
⋅
El Paso, TX
Syracuse
UCLA
-5

Duke's Mayo Bowl
Friday, Dec. 30
⋅
Charlotte, NC
Iowa
Florida State
-7.5
Valero Alamo Bowl
Thursday, Dec. 29
⋅
San Antonio, TX
TCU
-1.5
Oregon
Cheez-It Bowl
Thursday, Dec. 29
⋅
Orlando, FL
Notre Dame
Texas
-3

Pinstripe Bowl
Thursday, Dec. 29
⋅
Bronx, NY
Purdue
-2.5
North Carolina
TaxAct Texas Bowl
Wednesday, Dec. 28
⋅
Houston, TX
Kansas
Texas A&M
-9
Holiday Bowl
Wednesday, Dec. 28
⋅
San Diego, CA
Wake Forest
-6.5
Washington State

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Wednesday, Dec. 28
⋅
Memphis, TN
Oklahoma
-9.5
Auburn
Military Bowl
Wednesday, Dec. 28
⋅
Annapolis, MD
Duke
UCF
-8
Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Tuesday, Dec. 27
⋅
Phoenix, AZ
Wisconsin
Kansas State
-3

Camellia Bowl
Tuesday, Dec. 27
⋅
Montgomery, AL
Troy
-13
Ohio
Birmingham Bowl
Tuesday, Dec. 27
⋅
Birmingham, AL
UAB
PK
Marshall
PK
First Responder Bowl
Tuesday, Dec. 27
⋅
Dallas, TX
Texas Tech
-3
Boise State

Quick Lane Bowl
Monday, Dec. 26
⋅
Detroit, MI
Rutgers
-2
Central Michigan
EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 24
⋅
Honolulu, HI
UNLV
Western Kentucky
-5
Gasparilla Bowl
Friday, Dec. 23
⋅
Tampa, FL
Miami
PK
Michigan State
PK

Independence Bowl
Friday, Dec. 23
⋅
Shreveport, LA
Tulane
-12.5
Middle Tennessee
Armed Forces Bowl
Thursday, Dec. 22
⋅
Fort Worth, TX
Baylor
-4.5
SMU
New Orleans Bowl
Wednesday, Dec. 21
⋅
New Orleans, LA
UTSA
-1.5
Coastal Carolina

Boca Raton Bowl
Tuesday, Dec. 20
⋅
Boca Raton, FL
BYU
-13
Liberty
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Tuesday, Dec. 20
⋅
Boise, ID
Miami (OH)
San Jose State
-10
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Monday, Dec. 19
⋅
Conway, SC
East Carolina
-4
South Alabama

Frisco Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 17
⋅
Frisco, TX
Oregon State
-2
Houston
Las Vegas Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 17
⋅
Las Vegas, NV
LSU
-3
Washington
LendingTree Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 17
⋅
Mobile, AL
Appalachian State
-2.5
Toledo

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 17
⋅
Los Angeles, CA
Arizona
Air Force
-7.5
New Mexico Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 17
⋅
Albuquerque, NM
Wyoming
Rice
-1
Wasabi Fenway Bowl
Saturday, Dec. 17
⋅
Boston, MA
Pittsburgh
-11.5
Memphis

Duluth Trading Cure Bowl
Friday, Dec. 16
⋅
Orlando, FL
Georgia Southern
-1.5
North Texas
Bahamas Bowl
Friday, Dec. 16
⋅
Nassau, Bahamas
Florida Atlantic
Northern Illinois
-3.5
TBA Bowl**
TBD
⋅
TBD
UTEP
Southern Miss
-10

* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**ESPN will create a bowl this fall to replace the San Francisco Bowl if it is not played.

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Brett McMurphy

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About the Author

Brett is "America's College Football Insider" for The Action Network. Brett was nominated twice for a Pulitzer Prize in investigative reporting, but wasn’t a nominee finalist. A long-time voter in the AP Top 25 poll and for the Heisman Trophy, Brett was named the 2019 Beat Writer of the Year by the Football Writers Association of America. Before joining The Action Network, Brett’s previous stops included ESPN, CBS Sports, the New York Times, Stadium, AOL Fanhouse and the Tampa Tribune.

Follow Brett McMurphy @Brett_McMurphy on Twitter/X.

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