With the penultimate College Football Playoff rankings released tonight, here are my latest updated bowl projections. Yes, updated from the projections from Monday.
Why new projections only 24 hours since the last ones? Why not? Selection Sunday is a mere five days away.
Like Monday’s projections, these updated College Football Playoff and bowl projections are based on these teams winning their respective conference championships: Oregon (Big Ten), Texas (SEC), SMU (ACC), Arizona State (Big 12) and UNLV (Mountain West).
If those teams all win, then 11 of the 12 teams should be locked in: Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State and Penn State (Big Ten); Texas, Georgia and Tennessee (SEC); SMU (ACC); Arizona State (Big 12); UNLV (highest rated Group of Five champion) and independent Notre Dame.
I’m projecting Alabama gets the final spot over Miami and South Carolina. Don’t agree? Well, after Tuesday’s College Football Playoff rankings, I’ll have even more updated projections, based on those rankings.
Here are my latest Week 15 bowl projections, including the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
Projected College Football Playoff Field
*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids
| 1 |  Oregon* | Big Ten | ||||
| 2 |  Texas* | SEC | ||||
| 3 |  SMU* | ACC | ||||
| 4 |  Arizona State* | Big 12 | ||||
| 5 |  Notre Dame | Independent | ||||
| 6 |  Penn State | Big Ten | ||||
| 7 |  Georgia | SEC | ||||
| 8 |  Ohio State | Big Ten | ||||
| 9 |  Tennessee | SEC | ||||
| 10 |  Indiana | Big Ten | ||||
| 11 |  Alabama | SEC | ||||
| 12 |  UNLV* | MWC | ||||
College Football Playoff First Round
 CFP First Round Dec. 20 • Columbus, OH Tennessee Ohio State -3  | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • South Bend, IN  UNLV Notre Dame -15.5 |
CFP First Round Dec. 21 • State College, PA  Alabama -1.5 Penn State | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • Athens, GA Indiana Georgia -6.5 |
College Football Playoff Quarterfinals
 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Dec. 31 • Glendale, AZ Arizona State Notre Dame -11.5 |  Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Jan. 1 • Atlanta, GA SMU Penn State -4.5 |
 Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Oregon -1.5 Ohio State |  Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Texas -3.5 Georgia |
College Football Playoff Semifinals
 Capital One Orange Bowl Jan. 9 • Miami, FL Georgia -2.5 Penn State |  Goodyear Cotton Bowl Jan. 10 • Arlington, TX Oregon -3 Notre Dame |
CFP National Championship Prediction
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
 Bahamas Bowl Jan. 4 • Nassau, Bahamas  NIU  Liberty -2 |  Duke's Mayo Bowl Jan. 3 • Charlotte, NC  Louisville -2.5  Iowa |  First Responder Bowl Jan. 3 • Dallas, TX  Pittsburgh -7  East Carolina |  TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Jan. 2 • Jacksonville, FL  Oklahoma -4  Syracuse |  Texas Bowl Dec. 31 • Houston, TX  LSU -4.5  Baylor |  Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Dec. 31 • Orlando, FL  S. Carolina -8.5  Illinois |  Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 31 • El Paso, TX  Georgia Tech -0.5  Washington |  ReliaQuest Bowl Dec. 31 • Tampa, FL  Florida -3  Michigan |  Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN  Missouri -2  Nebraska |  Independence Bowl Dec. 28 • Shreveport, LA  UTSA -6.5  Coastal Carolina |  Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX  BYU  Colorado -4 |  Military Bowl Dec. 28 • Annapolis, MD  NC State  Army PK |  Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl Dec. 28 • Tucson, AZ  Miami OH -3.5  Colorado St. |  Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL  Miami -7.5  Iowa State |  New Mexico Bowl Dec. 28 • Albuquerque, NM  Louisiana -10  Toledo |  Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY  Boston College  Minnesota -7 |  Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA  Duke -0.5  Tulane |  Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA  Clemson -14.5  Washington St. |  Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 27 • Las Vegas, NV  Texas A&M -4  USC |  AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 27 • Memphis, TN  Ole Miss -6.5  Kansas State |  Birmingham Bowl Dec. 27 • Birmingham, AL  Arkansas -4.5  West Virginia |  Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 27 • Fort Worth, TX  Navy  Texas Tech -11 |  68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 26 • Mobile, AL  Arkansas St.  Sam Houston -3.5 |  Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ  TCU -6.5  Rutgers |  GameAbove Sports Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI  Buffalo  Georgia Southern -1.5 |  Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 24 • Honolulu, HI  South Florida -2  San Jose St. |  Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID  Bowling Green  Fresno State PK |  Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 23 • Conway, SC  Memphis  UNC -3.5 |  Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 20 • Tampa, FL  Vanderbilt  Virginia Tech -3.5 |  StaffDNA Cure Bowl Dec. 20 • Orlando, FL  Jacksonville St.  Marshall -3.5 |  New Orleans Bowl Dec. 19 • New Orleans, LA  JMU -5.5  WKU |  LA Bowl Hosted by Gronk Dec. 18 • Inglewood, CA  California  Boise State -4.5 |  Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 18 • Boca Raton, FL  UConn  Ohio -0.5 |  Frisco Bowl Dec. 17 • Frisco, TX  Texas State -8.5  North Texas |  Salute to Veterans Bowl Dec. 14 • Montgomery, AL  W. Michigan  S. Alabama -12 |
