A week from Tuesday will be a life-altering event impacting every single American. No, silly, not the Presidential election. The initial College Football Playoff rankings will be released on Nov. 5 at 7 p.m. ET.
It will be the first glimpse at the committee’s seedings for the new 12-team playoff, including how much the committee values teams with more losses and a tougher schedule compared with teams with fewer losses and an easier schedule.
Based on what I think they’ll do — and projecting the final weeks remaining — here are my updated playoff projections. Georgia (SEC champs), Oregon (Big Ten), Miami (ACC), Iowa State (Big 12) and Boise State (Group of Five) receive the automatic bids.
The rest of the field is filled in by at-large teams: Ohio State, Texas A&M, Penn State, Texas, Clemson, Notre Dame and BYU.
With five regular-season games remaining, there are now 33 bowl-eligible teams for 82 spots. Welcome to the club, Colorado. Nice to have you join us. It’s been a few years.
Onto my Week 10 bowl projections.
Included in my bowl projections is the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
Also, click on the link to download the free Action Network app. It's the perfect place to check scores, track bets, and read analysis and news.
*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids
Projected College Football Playoff Field
1 | ![]() Oregon* | Big Ten | ||||
2 | ![]() Georgia* | SEC | ||||
3 | ![]() Miami* | ACC | ||||
4 | ![]() Iowa State* | Big 12 | ||||
5 | ![]() Ohio State | Big Ten | ||||
6 | ![]() Texas A&M | SEC |
7 | ![]() Penn State | Big Ten | ||||
8 | ![]() Texas | SEC | ||||
9 | ![]() Clemson | ACC | ||||
10 | ![]() Notre Dame | Independent | ||||
11 | ![]() BYU | Big 12 | ||||
12 | ![]() Boise State* | MWC |
College Football Playoff First Round
![]() CFP First Round Dec. 20 • Austin, TX ![]() Clemson ![]() Texas -7.5 | ![]() CFP First Round Dec. 21 • Columbus, OH ![]() Boise State ![]() Ohio State -14.5 |
![]() CFP First Round Dec. 21 • College Station, TX ![]() BYU ![]() Texas A&M -10 | ![]() CFP First Round Dec. 21 • State College, PA ![]() Notre Dame ![]() Penn State -4.5 |
College Football Playoff Quarterfinals
![]() Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Dec. 31 • Glendale, AZ ![]() Iowa State ![]() Ohio State -9 | ![]() Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Jan. 1 • Atlanta, GA ![]() Miami -2.5 ![]() Texas A&M |
![]() Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA ![]() Oregon -1.5 ![]() Texas | ![]() Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA ![]() Georgia -4 ![]() Penn State |
College Football Playoff Semifinals
![]() Capital One Orange Bowl Jan. 9 • Miami, FL ![]() Georgia -6 ![]() Miami | ![]() Goodyear Cotton Bowl Jan. 10 • Arlington, TX ![]() Oregon -2 ![]() Ohio State |
CFP National Championship Prediction
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Projections for All Other Bowl Games
![]() Bahamas Bowl Jan. 4 • Nassau, Bahamas ![]() Ohio ![]() Sam Houston -4.5 | ![]() Duke's Mayo Bowl Jan. 3 • Charlotte, NC ![]() Louisville -3 ![]() Illinois | ![]() First Responder Bowl Jan. 3 • Dallas, TX ![]() Georgia Southern ![]() Liberty -3 | ![]() TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Jan. 2 • Jacksonville, FL ![]() Missouri -12 ![]() Duke | ![]() Texas Bowl Dec. 31 • Houston, TX ![]() Texas Tech ![]() Arkansas -8.5 | ![]() Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Dec. 31 • Orlando, FL ![]() Alabama -6.5 ![]() Indiana | ![]() Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 31 • El Paso, TX ![]() Virginia Tech ![]() USC -5.5 | ![]() ReliaQuest Bowl Dec. 31 • Tampa, FL ![]() Tennessee -13.5 ![]() Michigan | ![]() Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN ![]() LSU -6.5 ![]() Nebraska | ![]() Independence Bowl Dec. 28 • Shreveport, LA ![]() Army -11 ![]() Oregon State | ![]() Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX ![]() Washington St. ![]() Kansas State -10.5 | ![]() Military Bowl Dec. 28 • Annapolis, MD ![]() Virginia -0.5 ![]() Navy | ![]() Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl Dec. 28 • Tucson, AZ ![]() E. Michigan ![]() San Jose St. -8 | ![]() Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL ![]() Pittsburgh ![]() TCU -1 | ![]() New Mexico Bowl Dec. 28 • Albuquerque, NM ![]() North Texas ![]() Texas State -6 | ![]() Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY ![]() NC State ![]() Wisconsin -7.5 | ![]() Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA ![]() Syracuse -2 ![]() Memphis | ![]() Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA ![]() SMU -2.5 ![]() Washington | ![]() Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 27 • Las Vegas, NV ![]() Ole Miss -9 ![]() Colorado | ![]() AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 27 • Memphis, TN ![]() Vanderbilt -3 ![]() Cincinnati | ![]() Birmingham Bowl Dec. 27 • Birmingham, AL ![]() S. Carolina -9 ![]() Georgia Tech | ![]() Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 27 • Fort Worth, TX ![]() West Virginia -2 ![]() California | ![]() 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 26 • Mobile, AL ![]() ODU -2.5 ![]() Miami OH | ![]() Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ ![]() Baylor ![]() Iowa -6.5 | ![]() Detroit Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI ![]() Minnesota -15.5 ![]() NIU | ![]() Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 24 • Honolulu, HI ![]() Colorado St. ![]() Tulane -11 | ![]() Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID ![]() Toledo ![]() Fresno State -6 | ![]() Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 23 • Conway, SC ![]() WKU -2 ![]() East Carolina | ![]() Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 20 • Tampa, FL ![]() Florida -6 ![]() Michigan St. | ![]() StaffDNA Cure Bowl Dec. 20 • Orlando, FL ![]() ULM ![]() Bowling Green -7 | ![]() New Orleans Bowl Dec. 19 • New Orleans, LA ![]() Jacksonville St. ![]() Louisiana -3.5 | ![]() LA Bowl Hosted by Gronk Dec. 18 • Inglewood, CA ![]() Arizona State ![]() UNLV -2.5 | ![]() Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 18 • Boca Raton, FL ![]() Marshall ![]() West Virginia -12 | ![]() Frisco Bowl Dec. 17 • Frisco, TX ![]() Arkansas St. ![]() UConn -2 | ![]() Camellia Bowl Dec. 14 • Montgomery, AL ![]() JMU -9 ![]() South Florida |