A week from Tuesday will be a life-altering event impacting every single American. No, silly, not the Presidential election. The initial College Football Playoff rankings will be released on Nov. 5 at 7 p.m. ET.
It will be the first glimpse at the committee’s seedings for the new 12-team playoff, including how much the committee values teams with more losses and a tougher schedule compared with teams with fewer losses and an easier schedule.
Based on what I think they’ll do — and projecting the final weeks remaining — here are my updated playoff projections. Georgia (SEC champs), Oregon (Big Ten), Miami (ACC), Iowa State (Big 12) and Boise State (Group of Five) receive the automatic bids.
The rest of the field is filled in by at-large teams: Ohio State, Texas A&M, Penn State, Texas, Clemson, Notre Dame and BYU.
With five regular-season games remaining, there are now 33 bowl-eligible teams for 82 spots. Welcome to the club, Colorado. Nice to have you join us. It’s been a few years.
Onto my Week 10 bowl projections.
Included in my bowl projections is the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
Also, click on the link to download the free Action Network app. It's the perfect place to check scores, track bets, and read analysis and news.
*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids
Projected College Football Playoff Field
1 | Oregon* | Big Ten | ||||
2 | Georgia* | SEC | ||||
3 | Miami* | ACC | ||||
4 | Iowa State* | Big 12 | ||||
5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | ||||
6 | Texas A&M | SEC |
7 | Penn State | Big Ten | ||||
8 | Texas | SEC | ||||
9 | Clemson | ACC | ||||
10 | Notre Dame | Independent | ||||
11 | BYU | Big 12 | ||||
12 | Boise State* | MWC |
College Football Playoff First Round
CFP First Round Dec. 20 • Austin, TX Clemson Texas -7.5 | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • Columbus, OH Boise State Ohio State -14.5 |
CFP First Round Dec. 21 • College Station, TX BYU Texas A&M -10 | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • State College, PA Notre Dame Penn State -4.5 |
College Football Playoff Quarterfinals
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Dec. 31 • Glendale, AZ Iowa State Ohio State -9 | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Jan. 1 • Atlanta, GA Miami -2.5 Texas A&M |
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Oregon -1.5 Texas | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -4 Penn State |
College Football Playoff Semifinals
Capital One Orange Bowl Jan. 9 • Miami, FL Georgia -6 Miami | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Jan. 10 • Arlington, TX Oregon -2 Ohio State |
CFP National Championship Prediction
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Bahamas Bowl Jan. 4 • Nassau, Bahamas Ohio Sam Houston -4.5 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Jan. 3 • Charlotte, NC Louisville -3 Illinois | First Responder Bowl Jan. 3 • Dallas, TX Georgia Southern Liberty -3 | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Jan. 2 • Jacksonville, FL Missouri -12 Duke | Texas Bowl Dec. 31 • Houston, TX Texas Tech Arkansas -8.5 | Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Dec. 31 • Orlando, FL Alabama -6.5 Indiana | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 31 • El Paso, TX Virginia Tech USC -5.5 | ReliaQuest Bowl Dec. 31 • Tampa, FL Tennessee -13.5 Michigan | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN LSU -6.5 Nebraska | Independence Bowl Dec. 28 • Shreveport, LA Army -11 Oregon State | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Washington St. Kansas State -10.5 | Military Bowl Dec. 28 • Annapolis, MD Virginia -0.5 Navy | Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl Dec. 28 • Tucson, AZ E. Michigan San Jose St. -8 | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL Pittsburgh TCU -1 | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 28 • Albuquerque, NM North Texas Texas State -6 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY NC State Wisconsin -7.5 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Syracuse -2 Memphis | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA SMU -2.5 Washington | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 27 • Las Vegas, NV Ole Miss -9 Colorado | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 27 • Memphis, TN Vanderbilt -3 Cincinnati | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 27 • Birmingham, AL S. Carolina -9 Georgia Tech | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 27 • Fort Worth, TX West Virginia -2 California | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 26 • Mobile, AL ODU -2.5 Miami OH | Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Baylor Iowa -6.5 | Detroit Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -15.5 NIU | Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 24 • Honolulu, HI Colorado St. Tulane -11 | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Toledo Fresno State -6 | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 23 • Conway, SC WKU -2 East Carolina | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 20 • Tampa, FL Florida -6 Michigan St. | StaffDNA Cure Bowl Dec. 20 • Orlando, FL ULM Bowling Green -7 | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 19 • New Orleans, LA Jacksonville St. Louisiana -3.5 | LA Bowl Hosted by Gronk Dec. 18 • Inglewood, CA Arizona State UNLV -2.5 | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 18 • Boca Raton, FL Marshall West Virginia -12 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 17 • Frisco, TX Arkansas St. UConn -2 | Camellia Bowl Dec. 14 • Montgomery, AL JMU -9 South Florida |