College Football Bowl Projections for Week 10: Brett McMurphy’s Predictions with Projected Spreads

College Football Bowl Projections for Week 10: Brett McMurphy’s Predictions with Projected Spreads article feature image
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Adam Davis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Bijan Robinson (left) and Roschon Johnson (right).

College Football Bowl Projections for Week 10

With the calendar hitting November, there are only five more weeks of college football remaining.

There are currently 36 bowl-eligible teams (82 bowl teams are needed) with 12 teams mathematically unable to get to six wins, while the remaining 82 FBS teams are still alive to reach bowl eligibility.

Based on my projections, I believe there will be enough six-win teams to fill all 82 bowl spots.

On Tuesday night, the first College Football Playoff rankings of the season will be revealed, providing some insight on which teams the selection committee values regarding the playoff.

Each College Football projection includes the point spread for each game based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.

For additional information, check out our college football odds, futures, and expert NCAAF picks.

College Football Betting Power Ratings

Updated College Football Bowl Game Predictions

college football playoff-cfp-national championship

College Football Playoff National Championship

Monday, Jan. 10 ⋅ Indianapolis, IN

Projection: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 3 Georgia

Action Spread: Georgia -2.5


College Football Playoff Semifinals

college football-orange bowl

Capital One Orange Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Miami Gardens, FL

Projection: No. 2 Oklahoma vs. No. 3 Georgia

Action Spread: Georgia – 11


college football-cotton bowl

Goodyear Cotton Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Arlington, TX

Projection: No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Ohio State

Action Spread: Alabama -4


New Year's Six Bowls

college football-sugar bowl

Allstate Sugar Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ New Orleans, LA

Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M

Action Spread: Texas A&M -2


college football-rose bowl-game

Rose Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Pasadena, CA

Projection: Michigan State vs. Oregon

Action Spread: Oregon -4.5


college football-fiesta bowl

PlayStation Fiesta Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Glendale, AZ

Projection: Iowa vs. Cincinnati*

Action Spread: Cincinnati -4.5


college football-chick fil a-peach bowl

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Atlanta, GA

Projection: Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest

Action Spread: Notre Dame -5



Other Bowls

college football-texas bowl

Texas Bowl

Tuesday, Jan. 4 ⋅ Houston, TX

Projection: Kansas State vs. Mississippi State

Action Spread: Kansas State -0.5


college football-citrus bowl

Vrbo Citrus Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Orlando, FL

Projection: Michigan vs. Kentucky

Action Spread: Michigan -2.5


college football-outback bowl

Outback Bowl

Saturday, Jan. 1 ⋅ Tampa, FL

Projection: Wisconsin vs. Arkansas

Action Spread: Wisconsin -2


college football-arizona bowl

Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Tucson, AZ

Projection: Kent State vs. San Diego State

Action Spread: San Diego State -7.5


college football-gator bowl

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ Jacksonville, FL

Projection: Pitt vs. Auburn

Action Spread: Auburn -2.5


college football-sun bowl

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

Friday, Dec. 31 ⋅ El Paso, TX

Projection: Miami vs. Washington

Action Spread: Miami -4.5


college football-music city bowl

TransPerfect Music City Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Nashville, TN

Projection: Minnesota vs. Florida

Action Spread: Florida -7.5


college football-dukes mayo bowl

Duke's Mayo Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Charlotte, NC

Projection: Louisville vs. Ole Miss

Action Spread: Ole Miss -8


college football-las vegas bowl

Las Vegas Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 30 ⋅ Las Vegas, NV

Projection: Penn State vs. Oregon State

Action Spread: Penn State -5


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college football-alamo bowl

Valero Alamo Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ San Antonio, TX

Projection: Baylor vs. Utah

Action Spread: Utah -3


college football-cheez it bowl

Cheez-It Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Orlando, FL

Projection: Clemson vs. Iowa State

Action Spread: Iowa State -3.5


college football-pinstripe bowl-new york

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Bronx, NY

Projection: Virginia vs. Rutgers

Action Spread: Virginia -8.5


college football-fenway bowl-boston

Fenway Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 29 ⋅ Boston, MA

Projection: North Carolina vs. SMU

Action Spread: North Carolina -3


college football-holiday bowl

SDCCU Holiday Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ San Diego, CA

Projection: NC State vs. UCLA

Action Spread: NC State -2.5


college football-guaranteed rate bowl

Guaranteed Rate Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Phoenix, AZ

Projection: Purdue vs. West Virginia

Action Spread: West Virginia -4.5


college football-liberty bowl

AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Memphis, TN

Projection: Texas vs. Tennessee

Action Spread: Texas -1


college football-first responder bowl

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Dallas, TX

Projection: Boston College vs. Arizona State

Action Spread: Arizona State -10


college football-birmingham bowl-alabama

TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 28 ⋅ Birmingham, AL

Projection: Air Force vs. UAB

Action Spread: Air Force -3.5


college football-military bowl

Military Bowl

Monday, Dec. 27 ⋅ Annapolis, MD

Projection: Syracuse vs. Houston

Action Spread: Houston -2


college football-quick lane bowl-detroit

Quick Lane Bowl

Monday, Dec. 27 ⋅ Detroit, MI

Projection: Maryland vs. Northern Illinois

Action Spread: Maryland -14.5


college football-camellia bowl

Camellia Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 25 ⋅ Montgomery, AL

Projection: Western Michigan vs. Middle Tennessee

Action Spread: Western Michigan -8.5


college football-hawaii bowl

EasyPost Hawaii Bowl

Friday, Dec. 24 ⋅ Honolulu, HI

Projection: Utah State vs. UCF

Action Spread: UCF -13.5


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college football-gasparilla bowl

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl

Thursday, Dec. 23 ⋅ Tampa, FL

Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Liberty

Action Spread: Liberty -2.5


college football-armed forces bowl

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Wednesday, Dec. 22 ⋅ Fort Worth, TX

Projection: Army vs. Wyoming

Action Spread: Army -1.5


college football-frisco bowl

Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 21 ⋅ Frisco, TX

Projection: Appalachian State vs. Nevada

Action Spread: Appalachian State -5.5


college football-famous idaho-potato bowl-boise

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Tuesday, Dec. 21 ⋅ Boise, ID

Projection: Eastern Michigan vs. Boise State

Action Spread: Boise State -10


college football-myrtle beach bowl

Myrtle Beach Bowl

Monday, Dec. 20 ⋅ Myrtle Beach, SC

Projection: East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina

Action Spread: Coastal Carolina -11.5


college football-new orleans bowl

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ New Orleans, LA

Projection: Memphis vs. Louisiana

Action Spread: Louisiana -5


college football-la bowl-jimmy kimmel

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Inglewood, CA

Projection: USC vs. Fresno State

Action Spread: USC -3


college football-independence bowl

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Shreveport, LA

Projection: BYU vs. UTSA

Action Spread: BYU -4


college football-lendingtree bowl

LendingTree Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Mobile, AL

Projection: South Alabama vs. Central Michigan

Action Spread: South Alabama -0.5


college football-new mexico bowl

New Mexico Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Albuquerque, NM

Projection: San Jose State vs. UTEP

Action Spread: San Jose State -4.5


college football-boca raton bowl

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

Saturday, Dec. 18 ⋅ Boca Raton, FL

Projection: Western Kentucky vs. Toledo

Action Spread: Western Kentucky -4


college football-cure bowl-orlando

Cure Bowl

Friday, Dec. 17 ⋅ Orlando, FL

Projection: Charlotte vs. UL-Monroe

Action Spread: Charlotte -3


college football-bahamas bowl

Bahamas Bowl

Friday, Dec. 17 ⋅ Nassau, Bahamas

Projection: Florida Atlantic vs. Miami (OH)

Action Spread: Florida Atlantic -6.5


* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Fiesta Bowl.

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About the Author
Brett is "America's College Football Insider" for The Action Network. Brett was nominated twice for a Pulitzer Prize in investigative reporting, but wasn’t a nominee finalist. A long-time voter in the AP Top 25 poll and for the Heisman Trophy, Brett was named the 2019 Beat Writer of the Year by the Football Writers Association of America. Before joining The Action Network, Brett’s previous stops included ESPN, CBS Sports, the New York Times, Stadium, AOL Fanhouse and the Tampa Tribune.

Follow Brett McMurphy @Brett_McMurphy on Twitter/X.

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