Down the stretch they come: two weeks remain, and there are 64 bowl-eligible teams for the 82 available spots. There are 40 teams still mathematically alive to reach six wins: 24 five-win teams and 16 four-win teams.
It’s impossible to exactly project if there will be enough six-win teams — believe me, I’ve tried — but if there aren’t enough six-win teams, then some teams with five wins will go bowling.
If any teams with 5-7 records are needed to fill any spots, they will be selected based on the program’s Academic Progress Rate (APR) rankings for the 2022-23 school years, the latest data available.
Here’s how the teams rank if they get to five wins and there aren’t enough six-win teams to fill all 82 bowl spots. Teams that are already bowl-eligible or can’t reach five wins are not listed. Records are through Monday.
| APR Ranking | Record |
|---|---|
| 1. Northwestern | 4-6 |
| 2. Cincinnati | 5-5 |
| 3. Michigan | 5-5 |
| T-3. Wisconsin | 5-5 |
| 5. Air Force | 3-7 |
| 6. Wake Forest | 4-6 |
| 7. Rice | 3-7 |
| 8. Stanford | 3-7 |
| T-8. Auburn | 4-6 |
| 10. Virginia | 5-5 |
| T-10. UCF | 4-6 |
| 12. Boston College | 5-5 |
| T-12. NC State | 5-5 |
| T-12. Utah | 4-6 |
| 15. Coastal Carolina | 5-5 |
| 16. West Vrginia | 5-5 |
| T-16. Florida | 5-5 |
| 18. Ball State | 3-7 |
| T-18. Arkansas | 5-5 |
Here are my Week 13 bowl projections, including the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
Also, click on the link to download the free Action Network app. It's the perfect place to check scores, track bets, and read analysis and news.
Projected College Football Playoff Field
*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids
| 1 |  Oregon* | Big Ten | ||||
| 2 |  Texas* | SEC | ||||
| 3 |  Miami* | ACC | ||||
| 4 |  Colorado* | Big 12 | ||||
| 5 |  Ohio State | Big Ten | ||||
| 6 |  Penn State | Big Ten | ||||
| 7 |  Notre Dame | Independent | ||||
| 8 |  Alabama | SEC | ||||
| 9 |  Ole Miss | SEC | ||||
| 10 |  Georgia | SEC | ||||
| 11 |  Indiana | Big Ten | ||||
| 12 |  Boise State* | MWC | ||||
In my projected College Football Playoff field, I have Oregon coming in as the top overall seed as the Big Ten champion, followed by Texas as the SEC champion, Miami as the ACC champion and Colorado as the Big 12 champion.
My No. 12 seed is the highest-ranked remaining conference champion, the Boise State Broncos out of the Mountain West.
In my projected field, the Big Ten and SEC each get three at-large selections: Ohio State, Penn State and Indiana for the Big Ten and Alabama, Ole Miss and Georgia for the SEC.
Independent Notre Dame also cracked the field as my No. 7 seed.
College Football Playoff First Round
 CFP First Round Dec. 20 • Tuscaloosa, AL Ole Miss -0.5  Alabama  | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • Columbus, OH Boise State Ohio State -16 |
CFP First Round Dec. 21 • State College, PA Indiana Penn State -5 | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • South Bend, IN Georgia -5 Notre Dame |
College Football Playoff Quarterfinals
 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Dec. 31 • Glendale, AZ Colorado Ohio State -13 |  Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Jan. 1 • Atlanta, GA Miami Penn State -2.5 |
 Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Oregon -1 Alabama |  Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Texas -0.5 Georgia |
College Football Playoff Semifinals
 Capital One Orange Bowl Jan. 9 • Miami, FL Texas -7 Miami |  Goodyear Cotton Bowl Jan. 10 • Arlington, TX Oregon Ohio State -2.5 |
CFP National Championship Prediction
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
 Bahamas Bowl Jan. 4 • Nassau, Bahamas  NIU -3.5  Sam Houston |  Duke's Mayo Bowl Jan. 3 • Charlotte, NC  Duke  Michigan -5 |  First Responder Bowl Jan. 3 • Dallas, TX  WKU  JMU -7.5 |  TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Jan. 2 • Jacksonville, FL  Missouri -9.5  Syracuse |  Texas Bowl Dec. 31 • Houston, TX  Baylor  Arkansas -1.5 |  Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Dec. 31 • Orlando, FL  Tennessee -12.5  Illinois |  Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 31 • El Paso, TX  UNC  USC -10 |  ReliaQuest Bowl Dec. 31 • Tampa, FL  S. Carolina -3  Iowa |  Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN  LSU -5  Minnesota |  Independence Bowl Dec. 28 • Shreveport, LA  Army -0.5  West Virginia |  Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX  BYU -6  Washington St. |  Military Bowl Dec. 28 • Annapolis, MD  Louisville -16  Navy |  Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl Dec. 28 • Tucson, AZ  Ohio  San Jose St. -2 |  Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL  SMU -2  Iowa State |  New Mexico Bowl Dec. 28 • Albuquerque, NM  New Mexico  UTSA -1.5 |  Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY  Pittsburgh  Wisconsin -4 |  Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA  Georgia Tech -3.5  Tulane |  Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA  Clemson -8  Arizona State |  Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 27 • Las Vegas, NV  Texas A&M -8.5  Washington |  AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 27 • Memphis, TN  Vanderbilt  Kansas State -3.5 |  Birmingham Bowl Dec. 27 • Birmingham, AL  Cincinnati -12  East Carolina |  Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 27 • Fort Worth, TX  Texas Tech -3  Texas State |  68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 26 • Mobile, AL  Arkansas St. -1.5  W. Michigan |  Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ  TCU -4  Rutgers |  Detroit Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI  Michigan St. -18.5  Buffalo |  Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 24 • Honolulu, HI  Colorado St.  Memphis -4 |  Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID  Miami OH -3.5  Georgia Southern |  Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 23 • Conway, SC  Louisiana -6.5  Toledo |  Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 20 • Tampa, FL  Florida -4  Virginia Tech |  StaffDNA Cure Bowl Dec. 20 • Orlando, FL  South Florida  UConn -3 |  New Orleans Bowl Dec. 19 • New Orleans, LA  Jacksonville St.  Marshall -1.5 |  LA Bowl Hosted by Gronk Dec. 18 • Inglewood, CA  California  UNLV -1 |  Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 18 • Boca Raton, FL  Liberty -4  Coastal Carolina |  Frisco Bowl Dec. 17 • Frisco, TX  North Texas  Bowling Green -2.5 |  Camellia Bowl Dec. 14 • Montgomery, AL  E. Michigan  S. Alabama -15.5 |
