Following Tuesday’s penultimate College Football Playoff rankings, I have updated my bowl projections from Monday.
There are a few tweaks in this version, and I shuffled some teams around. Four days remain until college football’s version of Selection Sunday, but nothing is certain.
Expect more changes as bowl officials, teams and conferences continue to negotiate and horse-trade for potential matchups.
Like Monday’s edition, these projections are based on Georgia, Michigan, Florida State and Oregon winning their conference title games to advance to the College Football Playoff.
I’m projecting Oregon as the No. 3 seed ahead of unbeaten Florida State. However, there's no way an undefeated Power 5 conference champion doesn't make the playoff.
My projections will be updated again late Saturday night following the conference championship games. All the official pairings will be announced on Sunday.
Here are my latest projections along with the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Michigan Oregon -1 | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -11.5 Florida State |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Washington Alabama -4 | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Penn State -13.5 Tulane |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL Ohio State -14 Louisville | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Texas -3 Missouri |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL Ole Miss -13.5 Iowa | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL Notre Dame LSU PK | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ Fresno State -3 Miami OH | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Auburn -3 Wisconsin | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Iowa State -9 Memphis | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Miami Oregon State -5 | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Tennessee -6.5 UNC | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Oklahoma -2.5 Arizona | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL NC State Kansas State -9 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY Georgia Tech -1 Rutgers | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Boston College UTSA -10.5 | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Texas A&M -2.5 Oklahoma St. | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Clemson -4 USC | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Virginia Tech Kentucky -3 | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Syracuse SMU -12.5 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Kansas -4 Maryland | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX Rice Bowling Green -1 | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -1.5 Ohio | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI San Jose St. -10.5 Coastal Carolina | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV Utah -10.5 Northwestern | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL S. Alabama -13.5 E. Michigan | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Utah State Marshall -4.5 | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX West Virginia -6.5 Air Force | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL NIU Arkansas St. PK | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL Troy -3 Liberty | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL UCF -6.5 Duke | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL South Florida Georgia Southern -1 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX Wyoming -7 Georgia St. | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC Toledo JMU -6 | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA Texas Tech -2 California | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA UCLA -10.5 UNLV | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM New Mexico St. Texas State -1 | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL App State Boise State -1.5 | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA Louisiana -2.5 Jacksonville St. | Famous Toastery Bowl Dec. 18 • Charlotte, NC WKU -2 ODU |