College Football Bowl Projections | Updated Week 14 Matchup Predictions

College Football Bowl Projections | Updated Week 14 Matchup Predictions article feature image
Credit:

Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images. Pictured: Missouri Tigers wide receiver Luther Burden III.

Week 14 College Football Bowl Game Projections

The Border War between Missouri and Kansas has been dormant since 2011, but there was an opportunity for the iconic rivalry to resume in the Liberty Bowl this month.

There was just one problem: Missouri didn’t want to play Kansas, so the matchup will not happen, industry sources told Action Network.

The Jayhawks, who are making their first bowl appearance since 2008, were not opposed to playing the Tigers in a bowl, sources said.

Schools provide their bowl preferences and the conferences, bowls and schools usually come to an agreement whenever possible. It’s not unusual for schools to request not playing certain opponents in the postseason, sources said.

The Liberty Bowl is one of three that matches SEC vs. Big 12 opponents. The other two are the Sugar and Texas bowls. Missouri and Kansas are both 6-6.

"A 6-6 team dictating who they don't want to play in a bowl?" an industry source said. "What a world. What a world."

Dating back to 1907, the Kansas-Missouri rivalry was the second-longest in FBS when it ended after the 2011 season when the Tigers left the Big 12 for the SEC. In 2020, the schools announced they would resume the series, scheduling four games starting in 2025.

A Kansas-Missouri matchup would have been one of the most highly anticipated of the postseason, but fans of each school now will have to wait until 2025.

2022-Gasparilla Bowl-Preview
2022 Gasparilla Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Missouri Preview

The official bowl pairings will be announced on Sunday. I'm projecting Kansas will play Arkansas in the Liberty Bowl and Missouri will play East Carolina in the Gasparilla Bowl.

In other bowl news, the NCAA Oversight Committee approved New Mexico State’s bowl waiver on Thursday, and in turn, Auburn was officially eliminated from bowl contention.

The oversight committee also denied a waiver to Army, which was hoping to count two wins vs. FSC opponents toward bowl eligibility. Earlier in the season, the committee denied a similar waiver request by Marshall and Appalachian State. Marshall did reach bowl eligibility, but Appalachian State fell a win shy.

Meanwhile, Buffalo survived an upset bid by Akron on Friday afternoon to become the 82nd — and final — bowl team. That leaves UNLV (5-7) on the outside looking in.

Entering this weekend’s conference championship games, these will be my final projections until after Saturday’s games. Enjoy the weekend.

The must-have app for college football bettors

The best NCAAF betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

CFP National Championship Prediction

  • CFP National Championship

    Monday, Jan. 9
    Los Angeles, CA

    Georgia

    -4.5

    Michigan


College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Atlanta, GA

    Georgia

    -5

    Ohio State

  • Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Glendale, AZ

    Michigan

    -5.5

    TCU


New Year's Six Bowl Games

  • Rose Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Pasadena, CA

    Utah

    Penn State

    -2.5
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Arlington, TX

    USC

    -6

    Tulane

  • Allstate Sugar Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    New Orleans, LA

    Kansas State

    Alabama

    -6.5
  • Capital One Orange Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Miami, FL

    Clemson

    -1

    Tennessee


Projections for All Other Bowls

  • Cheez-It Citrus Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Orlando, FL

    LSU

    -6.5

    Purdue

  • ReliaQuest Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Tampa, FL

    South Carolina

    Notre Dame

    -3.5
  • Music City Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Nashville, TN

    Kentucky

    PK

    Illinois

    PK
  • Arizona Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Tucson, AZ

    Ohio

    -2

    Wyoming

  • TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Jacksonville, FL

    Mississippi State

    -4

    NC State

  • Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    El Paso, TX

    Pitt

    UCLA

    -2.5
  • Duke's Mayo Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Charlotte, NC

    Duke

    Iowa

    -4.5
  • Valero Alamo Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    San Antonio, TX

    Texas

    -5.5

    Washington

  • Cheez-It Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Orlando, FL

    Florida State

    -1

    Oklahoma

  • Pinstripe Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Bronx, NY

    Syracuse

    Minnesota

    -6.5
  • TaxAct Texas Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Houston, TX

    Ole Miss

    PK

    Texas Tech

    PK
  • Holiday Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    San Diego, CA

    North Carolina

    Oregon

    -7
  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Memphis, TN

    Arkansas

    -7

    Kansas

  • Military Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Annapolis, MD

    Wake Forest

    UCF

    -1
  • Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Phoenix, AZ

    Wisconsin

    Baylor

    -1.5
  • Camellia Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Montgomery, AL

    Georgia Southern

    -4.5

    Buffalo

  • Birmingham Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Birmingham, AL

    Memphis

    -5.5

    Coastal Carolina

  • First Responder Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Dallas, TX

    Oklahoma State

    -5

    Fresno State

  • Quick Lane Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 26
    Detroit, MI

    Maryland

    -22

    Bowling Green

  • EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 24
    Honolulu, HI

    San Diego State

    -4.5

    Middle Tennessee

  • Gasparilla Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Tampa, FL

    Missouri

    -1

    East Carolina

  • Independence Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Shreveport, LA

    Houston

    -4

    Louisiana

  • Armed Forces Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 22
    Fort Worth, TX

    Air Force

    -8.5

    North Texas

  • New Orleans Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 21
    New Orleans, LA

    Western Kentucky

    South Alabama

    -3.5
  • Boca Raton Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boca Raton, FL

    Liberty

    -2.5

    San Jose State

  • Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boise, ID

    Eastern Michigan

    Utah State

    -1
  • Myrtle Beach Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 19
    Conway, SC

    Marshall

    -4

    Toledo

  • Frisco Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Frisco, TX

    New Mexico State

    UConn

    -8
  • Las Vegas Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Las Vegas, NV

    Florida

    Oregon State

    -1
  • LendingTree Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Mobile, AL

    Southern Miss

    -7.5

    Rice

  • Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Los Angeles, CA

    Washington State

    Boise State

    -2
  • New Mexico Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Albuquerque, NM

    BYU

    SMU

    -2.5
  • Wasabi Fenway Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Boston, MA

    Cincinnati

    Louisville

    -2
    • Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

      Friday, Dec. 16
      Orlando, FL

      UTSA

      PK

      Troy

      PK
    • Bahamas Bowl

      Friday, Dec. 16
      Nassau, Bahamas

      UAB

      -12

      Miami (OH)


* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**Highlighted teams are confirmed to have earned a spot in their respective bowls.

The ultimate CFB betting cheat code

Best bets for every game

Collin Wilson's biggest weekly edges

Profitable data-driven system picks
About the Author
Brett is "America's College Football Insider" for The Action Network. Brett was nominated twice for a Pulitzer Prize in investigative reporting, but wasn’t a nominee finalist. A long-time voter in the AP Top 25 poll and for the Heisman Trophy, Brett was named the 2019 Beat Writer of the Year by the Football Writers Association of America. Before joining The Action Network, Brett’s previous stops included ESPN, CBS Sports, the New York Times, Stadium, AOL Fanhouse and the Tampa Tribune.

Follow Brett McMurphy @Brett_McMurphy on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.