My College Football Playoff and New Year’s Six bowl projections didn’t change from last week, but don’t worry — they should be jostled around next week with six matchups between AP Top 25 teams on Saturday.
The projections for the remaining 29 bowls saw a lot of movement from last week. Four new teams joined my projections this week: Army, FIU, Georgia State and West Virginia. They replace the four teams that dropped out: Cincinnati, Louisiana Tech, Purdue and UTSA.
Below are my Week 4 projections, and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
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CFP National Championship Prediction
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College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
![]() Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA ![]() Michigan -0.5 ![]() Florida State | ![]() Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA ![]() Georgia -2.5 ![]() Texas |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
![]() Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ ![]() Oregon -23.5 ![]() Fresno State | ![]() Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA ![]() Washington ![]() Ohio State -1 |
![]() Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL ![]() UNC ![]() Penn State -8.5 | ![]() Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX ![]() Oklahoma ![]() USC -1 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
![]() Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL ![]() LSU -13.5 ![]() Maryland | ![]() ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL ![]() Notre Dame -1.5 ![]() Texas A&M | ![]() Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ ![]() San Diego St. -2.5 ![]() NIU | ![]() Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN ![]() Florida -6 ![]() Minnesota | ![]() AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN ![]() Tennessee -12 ![]() BYU | ![]() Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX ![]() Syracuse -6.5 ![]() Colorado | ![]() TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL ![]() Alabama -1 ![]() Clemson | ![]() Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX ![]() Kansas State ![]() Utah -4 | ![]() Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL ![]() Louisville ![]() UCF -5 | ![]() Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY ![]() NC State ![]() Wisconsin -7.5 | ![]() Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA ![]() Wake Forest ![]() Tulane -9.5 | ![]() TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX ![]() Kentucky -4 ![]() Kansas | ![]() Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA ![]() Miami ![]() Oregon State -2.5 | ![]() Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC ![]() Ole Miss -9.5 ![]() Duke | ![]() Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD ![]() Pittsburgh ![]() Memphis -1.5 | ![]() Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ ![]() Rutgers ![]() Texas Tech -10.5 | ![]() First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX ![]() Mississippi St. -6.5 ![]() Air Force | ![]() Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI ![]() Michigan St. -2 ![]() Toledo | ![]() EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI ![]() UNLV ![]() SMU -10.5 | ![]() Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV ![]() UCLA -2.5 ![]() Iowa | ![]() 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL ![]() S. Alabama -2.5 ![]() Ohio | ![]() Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID ![]() Boise State -10.5 ![]() Miami OH | ![]() Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX ![]() TCU PK ![]() Arkansas | ![]() Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL ![]() Georgia Southern -1.5 ![]() Navy | ![]() Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL ![]() Missouri -5.5 ![]() Illinois | ![]() Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL ![]() Auburn -14 ![]() West Virginia | ![]() Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL ![]() S. Carolina -12.5 ![]() Army | ![]() Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX ![]() App State -4 ![]() Rice | ![]() Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC ![]() Coastal Carolina -3 ![]() Liberty | ![]() Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA ![]() Oklahoma St. ![]() Arizona -5.5 | ![]() LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA ![]() Washington St. -9.5 ![]() Wyoming | ![]() New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM ![]() San Jose St. ![]() Troy -4.5 | ![]() Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL ![]() Marshall -10 ![]() E. Michigan | ![]() New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA ![]() Georgia St. ![]() WKU -1.5 | ![]() Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Nassau, Bahamas ![]() C. Michigan -0.5 ![]() FIU |