For the fifth straight season on our college football betting podcast (now Big Bets on Campus), Collin Wilson and I pick our two favorite moneyline underdogs for each week's slate.
After three sweeps in four weeks, we only came away with a split last weekend with Notre Dame getting to the window but Texas A&M coming up just short.
For Week 10, we are rolling with an afternoon short home conference dog and a nonconference road pup in prime time.
If you're feeling lucky, a parlay of both pays just over 6-1 odds.
- 2018-21: 49-83 +4.1 units
- 2022: 9-9 +7.93 units
- Overall: 56-92 +12.03 units
Stuckey: Kansas +110
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
PK -112 | 63.5 -109o / -112u | -112 |
| Kansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
PK -109 | 63.5 -109o / -112u | -109 |
Fresh off of a bye, the Jayhawks will catch the Cowboys in their second straight road game after a brutal stretch of five high-profile Big 12 matchups in the month of October.
The gas tank has to be nearing empty, and the injuries are mounting.
On offense, the Pokes could be without starting quarterback Spencer Sanders (Mike Gundy's son, Gunnar, would start if so) in addition to their top back, a pair of starting wide receivers and multiple starting linemen.
To make matters worse, the status of three starting defensive backs and their best defensive tackle remain in doubt.
Also, with an extra week to prepare, Kansas' staff will likely have new wrinkles to add to its brilliant offensive scheme which is a nightmare to prepare for with all of its pre-snap deception and skill-position versatility.
I expect an abundance of success for the Kansas offense against a porous and likely undermanned Oklahoma State defense. Plus, the early down metrics suggest even rougher waters ahead.
Kansas quarterback Jalon Daniels could return, but the offense has run just as smoothly with Jason Bean. The scheme is truly the engine for an offense that just doesn't allow negative plays.
I expect a great crowd and inspired effort from the Jayhawks, who will look to avenge last year's embarrassing 55-3 loss. More importantly, a win will get the program to bowl eligibility for the first time since 2008.
For what it's worth, Lance Leipold is 22-7-1 against the spread (75.9%) in home conference games as a head coach. He's the second-most profitable coach out of 410 in this situation since 2005.
Pick: Kansas ML +110 |
Wilson: James Madison +250
| James Madison Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | +250 |
| Louisville Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | -320 |
Louisville finds itself in a tough spot after an upset win over Wake Forest with Clemson on deck. Meanwhile, James Madison comes off of a bye, which allowed the Dukes to presumably get healthier after a few key injuries.
The most important injury is at quarterback, as Todd Centeio missed last game with an injury, which resulted in a completely inept output in a loss to Marshall. The Colorado State transfer has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the country and leads the nation in big-time throw rate, per PFF.
I'm assuming he'll play following a bye, especially since he did go through warmups two weeks ago prior to the Marshall game.
Also, James Madison has an elite run defense that actually leads the country in a number of categories, including yards per carry allowed (2.0). That will help tremendously against Louisville's run-heavy offense.
There's also a major disparity in tackling between these two clubs. James Madison ranks in the top 20 nationally in that department, while Louisville sits on the opposite end of the spectrum in the bottom 20.
This is a tricky spot and matchup for Louisville if Centeio suits up, which I think he does.
Pick: James Madison ML +250 |
