We effortlessly cashed two of our three player prop bets in our Week 2 article, hitting big on North Carolina wide receiver Josh Down over 5.5 catches and Iowa State quarterback Brock Purdy under 1.5 passing touchdowns.
Here are four more big ones for Week 3, thanks to our pals over at PrizePicks, which is available in 30 states.
Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez, 184.5 Passing Yards
Martinez never lived up to the hype of a player who opened 6-1 to win the Heisman in 2019. But my goodness, this is a soft number to exploit.
Only one quarterback has passed for more than 200 yards and rushed for at least 100 more in multiple games this season: You're reading about him.
Martinez has flown over this passing total in 5-of-6 dating back to last year, averaging 222.7 yards per contest over that span.
Big, bad Oklahoma owns the fourth-shortest odds to win the national title, but this defense is Swiss cheese. It was supposed to be the X-Factor in 2021, only to get lit up for close to 300 yards and three tuddys by Tulane's Michael Pratt in Week 1.
Nebraska's a sizable 'dog, and Martinez will be in passing situations virtually all afternoon.
Pick: Over 184.5
Michigan State QB Payton Thorne, 209.5 Passing Yards
Let's stick with Big Ten quarterbacks and go over the total on Thorne's passing yards.
Michigan State's offense is tops in the country in Line Yards and fourth in Rushing Success, but it's Thorne's arm that will make plays against Miami Saturday.
The Hurricanes' secondary has been spotty, ranking 105th in Passing Success Rate and 110th in Finishing Drives. Michigan State's wide receiving corps is experienced, with the ability to win 1-on-1 matchups on the outside.
Despite putting up efficient rushing numbers, Sparty's still top-25 in Passing Success Rate.
As an underdog playing in a game with plenty of pace, Thorne should shatter this number, just as he did last weekend with a 280-yard outing.
Pick: Over 209.5
Michigan RB Blake Corum, 92.5 Rushing Yards
I promise this will be the last Big Ten prop.
Michigan can utilize Corum in a variety of ways, but running backs coach Mike Hart would be wise to let Jim Harbaugh keep the do-it-all athlete in the backfield.
Corum's coming off Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week honors after pasting Washington for 171 rushing yards and three touchdowns. He's crossed the century mark on the ground in both games this fall.
He'll split time with Hassan Haskins and freshman Donovan Edwards this weekend versus Northern Illinois but will get the lion's share of carries. Corum owns a 77.4% backfield dominator rating and has registered the third-most yards per play (2.4) of all rushers in the 2023 class.
Michigan's averaging 6.8 yards per carry — good for ninth nationally — and draws the easiest opponent on its entire schedule.
The good times will keep rolling before conference play opens up next week.
Pick: Over 92.5
West Virginia QB Jarret Doege, 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Big spot to fade Doege here.
The West Virginia quarterback's been held to one or zero touchdowns in three of his last four games dating back to last year. The lone exception came against Long Island, which was a 47-point 'dog to the Mountaineers last week.
West Virginia should be able to run the ball — Virginia Tech's defense ranks 127th in Line Yards and 105th in Rushing Success — but good luck finding success through the air: The Hokies are 25th in Passing Success Rate and fourth in Havoc, two weeks removed from making Sam Howell and North Carolina look like a grade-school offense.
Pick: Under 1.5
