Liberty's Malik Willis cashed his rushing total, Tennessee's Hendon Hooker shattered his passing yards in the first half and we cruised to our second straight winning week last Saturday.
Two quarterbacks came through for us in Week 10, and another pair make our list this Saturday.
However, we start with one running back who is particularly primed to blow away market expectations in Week 11.
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Missouri RB Tyler Badie Over/Under 85.5 Rushing Yards
Don't let South Carolina's star-studded pass rush distract you from its bottom-of-the-barrel run defense.
The Gamecocks give up close to five yards per pop on the ground. They've surrendered 5.8 on average over the last three and avoided disaster on the stat sheet Saturday by forcing Florida into passing situations.
Missouri ranks top-20 nationally in pass-play percentage, but it has tried to be more balanced over the last three, running a pure 50-50 split.
Gee, getting one of the best rushers in the country involved sounds like an ideal game plan.
Among draft-eligible running backs, only Michigan State's Kenneth Walker and Iowa State's Breece Hall have create more Yards per Team Play this season than Badie's 2.11. That's pretty solid company.
The 5-foot-8 senior has been a one-man wrecking crew, owning one of the best Backfield Dominator ratings in the nation (78.4%), per Campus 2 Canton.
Badie is chasing the program's all-time, single-season rushing record, and the mission begins Saturday against a defense that has allowed five rushers to surpass the century mark this fall.
Pick: Over 85.5 Rushing Yards
Ole Miss QB Matt Corral Over/Under 261.5 Passing Yards
I'll bet on the Texas A&M pass defense against Corral, whose Heisman odds are tumbling by the week.
Corral utilizes the big play to boost his passing numbers. He averages just north of 20 completions per game, but 13.8 yards per completion is the 23rd-best clip in the country.
The Aggies, meanwhile, are third nationally in yards per reception allowed (9.5) and have squandered just 165.7 yards through the air per game over the last three.
Corral attempted 30 or more passes in three straight to kick off 2021 but has topped that number only twice over the previous five.
Pick: Under 261.5 Passing Yards
Louisville QB Malik Cunningham Over/Under 234.5 Passing Yards
Cunningham has been excellent on the ground recently.
After failing to hit the 100-yard hump as a runner in six straight games out of the gates, he's crushed the number in two of his previous three, including a season-high 134 yards in a loss vs. Clemson last Saturday.
As a result, it's sapped the passing game.
A Louisville offense that posts 30 pass attempts per game this season has watched that number dip to 22.7 over that span, the 13th-lowest mark in the nation. Cunningham ha
s barely averaged better than 10 completions over that span.
Syracuse's defense, meanwhile, is 36th in Pass Success and owns a top-five unit in Big Play.
Cunningham might need excess volume to get over the number, and I'm not sure it'll be there.
Pick: Under 234.5 Passing Yards
