Black Friday College Football Player Props
Click on any pick or team logo in the table to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
It’s Black Friday, and while sportsbooks don’t offer discounts, we have found a few props that we're getting a great deal on.
Read on to see which probability discounts we can take advantage of in our top college football player props for this Rivalry Week Black Friday slate.
TCU vs. Oklahoma
Emani Bailey
Under 93.5 Rushing Yards
By Doug Ziefel
This play is an extension of my betting guide for this matchup. While I dove deeper into the numbers there, essentially, there are two factors that make this under a strong play.
The first is the matchup.
The Sooners have been excellent in defending the run this season, as they rank 48th in yards per rush allowed, holding opposing ball carriers to an average of just 3.9 yards.
In addition to that, Oklahoma should be able to control the trenches when the Frogs are in possession, as they outrank TCU in Line Yards, 10 to 36.
Lastly, the game script is not indicative enough for Bailey to see ample touches. The Sooners offense has a significant edge, and they should be able to put up points and open up a lead. That means if the Frogs are trailing, they'll have to abandon the run game.
And it's not like TCU leans on the run game often anyway — it ranks 117th in rush rate on the season.
Pick: Emani Bailey Under 93.5 Rushing Yards
UTSA vs. Tulane
Joshua Cephas
Over 76.5 Receiving Yards
By Doug Ziefel
This is a huge matchup in the AAC, as both UTSA and Tulane are undefeated in conference play. While each of these teams boasts excellent defenses, there's one matchup that stands out.
The Green Wave have not been great against the pass this season, ranking 120th in opponent completion percentage allowed with those completions going for more than seven yards on average.
When you look at UTSA offensively, it's leaned more on the run, but that doesn't mean they can’t threaten opponents through the air. Senior quarterback Frank Harris has been tremendous this season and comes into this matchup ranked 34th nationally in QBR.
Harris has a great matchup here to boost his stats for the season, and he has a clear favorite target. Joshua Cephus is far and away the No.1 receiver on this team, as he has 40 more receptions than the next man.
Cephus is not only a target hog, but he’s averaging nearly 13 yards per reception. So, with his volume in this matchup, the chances of him going over this total are much higher than this price indicates.
Pick: Joshua Cephas Over 76.5 Receiving Yards
Texas Tech vs. Texas
Tahj Brooks
Under 103.5 Rushing Yards
By Doug Ziefel
The process for this selection is very similar to the one above, as we have a workhorse back who's in perhaps his toughest matchup of the season and will have the game script working against him.
Senior Tahj Brooks has put this Texas Tech offense on his back, racking up 250 carries on the season while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. However, we should see that average drop here, as the Longhorns rank seventh in the nation in yards per rush allowed, holding ballcarriers to 2.9 yards on average.
In addition to having a very tough matchup, Brooks and the Red Raiders will likely be playing behind in this matchup as two-touchdown underdogs.
So, while Brooks has gone over this total in an impressive 73% of games this season, he’s due for regression. Everything in this matchup points to him staying under his rushing total.
Pick: Tahj Brooks Under 103.5 Rushing Yards
