Week 13 College Football Player Prop Picks
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8 p.m. | |
| 8:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Feast Week rages on, which means we have some tasty squares to hit up on Rivalry Saturday.
This week, I’m targeting a Peach State passing total, an ACC receiving prop, and fading a superstar in the Civil War out West.
North Carolina vs. NC State
Kevin Concepcion
Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 65.5)
North Carolina State has quietly reeled off five of six consecutive wins. A big part of that surge has been their improved play on offense.
Brennan Armstrong has rekindled his dual-threat abilities, and when he does put the ball in orbit, he’s targeting Kevin Concepcion. The true freshman has hit double-digit targets in four games this season and is averaging 8.5 across his last six games.
North Carolina’s defense has been a pleasant surprise this season. The Tar Heels were coming off a historically bad 2022 season and have improved their pass defense from 116th to 82nd.
But despite this significant improvement, UNC is still susceptible to the big play through the air. North Carolina has surrendered 17 pass plays of 30-plus yards this season (75th), and Concepcion has hit a play of 25-plus yards in six of his last nine starts.
In recent games, NC State has also featured Conception heavily in the run game.
But I’m hoping UNC can grab an early lead and force Armstrong and NC State’s offensive coordinator Robert Anae into a pass-heavy script.
Pick: Kevin Concepcion Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (Play to 65.5)
Georgia vs. Georgia Tech
Haynes King
Over 165.5 Passing Yards (Play to 170.5)
Haynes King has four starts with 280-plus passing yards this season. All four starts came in pass-friendly game-script situations. Two came against Louisville and Ole Miss in high-scoring losses, another in a blowout win over South Carolina State, and one 287-yard outing against North Carolina in a high-scoring win.
This game will play out as a Georgia blowout win, aligning with a high-volume passing game for King as they play catchup for three-plus quarters.
Despite elite personnel, Georgia still allows 178 passing yards per game because opponents must abandon the run by the second quarter in most games.
Case in point, last season as a massive underdog and a game-manager at quarterback, Georgia Tech threw for 191 yards on 35 attempts in a 37-14 loss between the hedges.
King has a higher ceiling than last year’s starter in this game, the sparsely used Zach Gibson, and has proven he thrives (statistically) in spots like this.
Pick: Haynes King Over 165.5 Passing Yards (Play to 170.5)
