College Football Playoff Odds for Texas vs. Arizona State
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13 -108 | 52 -110o / -110u | -520 |
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13 -112 | 52 -110o / -110u | +390 |
There's no better way to kick off 2025 than the Peach Bowl, where the Big 12 champion Arizona State Sun Devils (11-2) take on the Texas Longhorns (12-2).
ASU had a nice long break throughout December after destroying Iowa State to capture the Big 12 title. It's been a surprising season for the Sun Devils, as many pundits and fans had them nowhere near where they are.
Texas has been a perennial favorite in the college football landscape dating back to before the season. However, the Longhorns lost to Georgia in the SEC Championship in their first season in the conference. Coach Steve Sarkisian has done a phenomenal job building this program, and he looks to take it to new heights in 2025.
Let’s dive into our College Football Playoff predictions, picks and same-game parlay for Wednesday, Jan. 1.
College Football Playoff Predictions, Picks for Texas vs. Arizona State
- Arizona State +12.5
- Under 51.5
- Quintrevion Wisner Under 96.5 Rushing Yards
- Cam Skattebo Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
Parlay Odds: +700 (Caesars)
Please always remember to bet responsibly. SGPs are long shots for a reason.
Spread: Arizona State +12.5
The Sun Devils have yet to play a team that has been ranked as high as Texas. Their strongest competitor was 14th-ranked BYU, which they beat by a score of 28-23.
In both of Arizona State’s losses, it's lost by 10 points or less. Additionally, it’s also the best team in the country against the spread, with an 11-2 record. For Texas, it’s usually a crapshoot, as it’s only 8-6 ATS.
The one aspect that has set the Devils apart is their defense, only allowing 21.3 points per game, good for 21st in the country.
They’re also exceptional at stopping the run. Linebacker Caleb McCullough tied for the team lead in tackles for loss, as well as lineman Clayton Smith, who posted 5.5 TFL with a forced fumble.
I still think Texas wins because the Longhorns are the superior team, but Arizona State seems to trend more toward covering.
Over/Under: Under 51.5
Texas has continuously found ways to hit the under this season, including four out of its past five games.
For a team that has been amongst the most dominant all season, the Longhorns have a 4-8-1 over/under record and have reached under the 51.5 threshold nine times. Arizona State went under five times.
Quinn Ewers tends to be a polarizing quarterback. He’s had a solid overall season, completing 66% of his passes and throwing for over 2,800 yards, but in his final three games, he’s had turnover troubles, with four of them.
Arizona State may not be one of the most dynamic passing defenses, but it has done an elite job all season at preventing explosives, something that Ewers looks for quite a bit.
One of his favorite targets, Isaiah Bond, will be returning from an ankle injury he suffered in the SEC Championship. The question is, will Bond be hampered?
Ewers has also had success throwing to Matthew Golden and Ryan Wingo, who each average 16 yards per carry, but I’m betting on the Sun Devils’ defense to limit the explosives and force Ewers to look for check-downs and screens.
Texas Player Prop: Quintrevion Wisner Under 96.5 Rushing Yards
Wisner has been such a huge part of what Texas has been building.
After a slow start to the season, Wisner broke out once conference play began and had rushed for over 110 yards in three of the final four games played.
It seems like the perfect storm for another big game out of Wisner, right? Well, as Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast!”
Over the final stretch of the season, Arizona State has been elite against the run, only allowing 114 per game in the final three games.
Additionally, the Sun Devils rank 28th in Rush Success Rate allowed, 20th in explosiveness allowed and first in PPA. I can’t foresee the run game working at all in this game, forcing Ewers to look to his receivers.
Arizona State Player Prop: Cam Skattebo Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
Talk about one of the more underappreciated players in the country. Skattebo has been a wrecking ball all season, raking up over 1,500 rushing yards, averaging six yards per carry and 19 rushing touchdowns.
It’s not like he’s been destroying bad teams either, as he’s posted over 140 rushing yards three times against ranked teams this season — most notably against Iowa State in the Big 12 Championship.
Texas has been a decent program at stopping the run, but it’s susceptible to letting up a big game to running backs who get a ton of volume.
Ja’Kobi Jackson of Florida and Trevor Etienne of Georgia both rushed for over 100 yards against Texas with at least 15 carries.
Skattebo thrives on volume, and he breaks tackles like it’s no one’s business. With 92 forced missed tackles and 4.1 yards after contact, I feel very confident in backing Skattebo’s over.
