College football's Week 7 has arrived, and as the conference season heats up, fans are treated with better and better matchups every week.
This week, I have identified four moneyline underdogs that are worth considering to pull off an upset, and depending on your risk tolerance, playing in a round robin or a parlay.
While I've had some success with long-shot parlays in the past, a round robin can also be an effective way of betting underdogs.
Last week, this article hit two out of our four legs, paying out the 2s in our round robin at +670 odds. Over the last two weeks, we have hit five of eight plus-money ML underdog bets in this column.
Let's do it again, so here's my college football round robin and parlay, including Week 7 picks.
Remember, this is an extreme long shot for a reason — please bet responsibly.
College Football Round Robin & Parlay Odds
- By 2's: +456
- By 3's: +1264
- 4-Leg Parlay: +3720
Leg #1: USC ML vs. Penn State (+180)
Penn State has risen all the way up to fourth nationally in the polls, and its spotless resume in the win/loss column is deserving of that.
Historically, this's been a good time to consider fading James Franklin's squads.
A closer look at the Nittany Lions reveals that it hasn't been as easy as their 4-0 record might indicate.
Penn State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four outings, letting both Illinois and UCLA hang around in Happy Valley much longer than they should have.
The worst Penn State performance of the season thus far came against Bowling Green back in Week 2. The Falcons found success through the air, throwing 39 times for 254 yards.
Pass defense checks out as Penn State's biggest vulnerability, as the Nittany Lions rank just 41st nationally in that category. That means USC's 32nd-ranked pass offense has a slight advantage.
In two games at home this year (Wisconsin, Utah State), USC has outscored its opponents 86-21. Miller Moss threw for 308 yards in the Trojans' win over the Badgers, and they'll be looking to air it out here.
That's a good game plan for an upset in Los Angeles.
Leg #2: LSU ML vs. Ole Miss (+136)
LSU has won seven straight games in Death Valley against Ole Miss, winning by an average margin of 13.2 points per game in that span.
Overall, the Tigers have won 13 consecutive contests at home, good enough for the third-longest active streak in college football.
This is a good spot to go against a Lane Kiffin-led program, as Ole Miss has been horrid on the road against good teams under his guidance.
Ole Miss is just 1-7 in its last eight games on the road against ranked teams.
Last week's bounce back win over South Carolina disguises a pass offense that's looked clunky. Jaxson Dart only completed 14 passes and didn't record a touchdown pass in that game.
Ole Miss WR Tre Harris, the NCAA's leader in receiving yards this year (885), left the game with a lower body injury.
And while Ole Miss is banged up, LSU is coming off a bye. Two weeks of prep for Brian Kelly at home against Kiffin? Yes, please.
Leg #3: Cincinnati ML at UCF (+136)
Despite Hurricane Milton passing through Florida earlier this week, this game will go on as scheduled.
It features two teams trending directly in opposite directions.
Cincy had won two straight before hanging tough with Texas Tech on the road in a 44-41 loss. That loss looks even better after Texas Tech went on the road and beat Arizona.
Cincy had a bye last week to get healthy, and that should help.
On the other side, UCF is floundering. The Knights got destroyed at Colorado before following it up with a disastrous effort at Florida in which they trailed 24-3 at halftime.
The one thing Cincy does well maps perfectly with UCF's biggest weakness; Cincinnati ranks 12th nationally in pass success rate, while UCF's pass defense ranks just 123rd.
Expect the Bearcats to pull away.
Leg #4: Colorado ML vs. Kansas State (+145)
A Kansas State team that went to Provo and lost by 29 points at BYU three weeks ago looks to get right on the road against Colorado this week.
That's easier said than done, as Deion Sanders' team has taken on a new identity in recent weeks.
Colorado averaged 5.2 yards per rushing play in its blowout victory over UCF, which ranks third nationally in defensive rushing success rate. It remains to be seen if that will continue, but it's a great sign for the Buffaloes.
This team still wants to throw the ball first though, and that will be a good plan against a Kansas State secondary that's been short on answers.
Wildcats safety Marques Sigle draws the slot assignment, and Sigle hasn't broken up a pass yet this season on 159 coverage snaps.
Corners Keenan Garber and Jacob Parrish will draw the terrifying Travis Hunter assignment, and on the season, these two have allowed 34 catches on 51 targets.
Shedeur Sanders should be salivating, and Kansas State QB Avery Johnson won't be able to make enough plays to keep up.
