Last week, Colorado crashed my bowl projections. This week, I have Texas projected in the College Football Playoff, Alabama not even playing in a New Year’s Six bowl and Rutgers bowl-bound.
These are some wild and wacky times in college football.
In my projected College Football Playoff field, Texas bumped Washington out of my final four, joining Georgia, Michigan and Florida State.
I don’t have the Pac-12 in the playoff, but three Pac-12 teams — Washington, USC and Oregon — headed to New Year’s Six bowls.
Besides Texas’ quick climb, there are more changes in my projections. Besides Rutgers — yes, again, Rutgers — new schools I have in this week’s bowl projections are Cincinnati, Purdue, Georgia Southern and Louisiana Tech.
And, remember, if you don’t like my projections, don’t worry — they’ll be different next week.
Here are my Week 3 projections, and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
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CFP National Championship Prediction
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College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
![]() Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA ![]() Michigan PK ![]() Florida State | ![]() Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA ![]() Georgia -3.5 ![]() Texas |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
![]() Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ ![]() Oregon -24.5 ![]() Fresno State | ![]() Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA ![]() Washington ![]() Ohio State -1 |
![]() Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL ![]() UNC ![]() Penn State -6.5 | ![]() Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX ![]() Oklahoma ![]() USC -3 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
![]() Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL ![]() Alabama -12 ![]() Maryland | ![]() ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL ![]() Notre Dame -3 ![]() Tennessee | ![]() Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ ![]() San Diego St. PK ![]() NIU | ![]() Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN ![]() LSU -13 ![]() Minnesota | ![]() AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN ![]() Kentucky -12 ![]() BYU | ![]() Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX ![]() Duke -1.5 ![]() Colorado | ![]() TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL ![]() Arkansas ![]() Clemson -4.5 | ![]() Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX ![]() Kansas State ![]() Utah -4 | ![]() Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL ![]() Louisville ![]() UCF -6 | ![]() Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY ![]() Pittsburgh ![]() Wisconsin -10 | ![]() Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA ![]() Wake Forest ![]() Tulane -9.5 | ![]() TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX ![]() Texas A&M -16 ![]() Oklahoma St. | ![]() Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA ![]() Miami ![]() Oregon State -2.5 | ![]() Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC ![]() Ole Miss -13.5 ![]() NC State | ![]() Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD ![]() Syracuse -4 ![]() Memphis | ![]() Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ ![]() Michigan St. ![]() Kansas -5 | ![]() First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX ![]() S. Carolina -6.5 ![]() Air Force | ![]() Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI ![]() Illinois -12 ![]() Ohio | ![]() EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI ![]() UNLV ![]() SMU -10.5 | ![]() Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV ![]() UCLA -4 ![]() Iowa | ![]() 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL ![]() S. Alabama -11.5 ![]() LA Tech | ![]() Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID ![]() Boise State -13 ![]() Miami OH | ![]() Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX ![]() TCU ![]() Missouri -3 | ![]() Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL ![]() App State -7 ![]() Navy | ![]() Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL ![]() Mississippi St. -3.5 ![]() Purdue | ![]() Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL ![]() Auburn -15.5 ![]() Rutgers | ![]() Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL ![]() Florida -8 ![]() Cincinnati | ![]() Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX ![]() Marshall -8 ![]() E. Michigan | ![]() Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC ![]() Georgia Southern ![]() Rice -2 | ![]() Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA ![]() Texas Tech -11 ![]() Arizona | ![]() LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA ![]() Washington St. -9.5 ![]() Wyoming | ![]() New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM ![]() San Jose St. ![]() UTSA -9 | ![]() Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL ![]() Coastal Carolina ![]() Toledo -8 | ![]() New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA ![]() Troy -2 ![]() WKU | ![]() Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Nassau, Bahamas ![]() C. Michigan ![]() Liberty -10.5 |