You can hit as many legs in a parlay as possible, but if you’re one short, it doesn’t matter. We’ve been one leg short in several parlays and converted on another, so it's time to regain that mojo from when we won.
We have an incredible Big 12 matchup where the Kansas State Wildcats head to Boulder to take on the Colorado Buffaloes.
K-State had a chance to rest up after making mincemeat out of Oklahoma State by a score of 42-20. Avery Johnson threw for a season-best 259 yards and three touchdowns in the win.
Similarly, Colorado is coming off a bye week after a convincing win over UCF, 48-21. Shedeur Sanders continues to show that he’s one of the top quarterbacks in the FBS, throwing for 290 yards and three touchdowns with an 80% completion rate.
So, let's get to my Kansas State vs. Colorado predictions, where I built out a same-game parlay on FanDuel at +719 odds.
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Kansas State WIldcats Odds
| Kansas State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 55.5 -110o / -110u | -150 |
| Colorado Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 55.5 -110o / -110u | +126 |
Colorado vs. Kansas State Picks, Predictions, Same-Game Parlay
- Kansas State -3.5 (-110)
- Over 55.5 (-118)
- Shedeur Sanders Over 296.5 Passing Yards (-114)
- Avery Johnson Over 72.5 Rush Yards (-114)
Parlay Odds: +719
Please always remember to bet responsibly. SGPs are long shots for a reason.
Spread: Kansas State -3.5
In nearly every facet, Kansas State holds the advantage here.
Johnson is only going to get better and is a legitimate threat both in the air and on the ground. He’s completing 61% of his passes, which is pretty mediocre, but he’s averaging 7.3 yards per carry — an extremely impressive for a college quarterback.
Kansas State is an extremely well-rounded program that can attack opponents from all angles of the field.
However, the run game is where the Wildcats will stomp you. Between Johnson, DJ Giddens and Dylan Edwards, K-State is fifth in the FBS, averaging 244 yards per game.
Against the run, Colorado has been fairly successful, but against dual-threat QBs, it’s folded under pressure (more on that later). Not only do I think K-State dominates on the ground, but I think it eventually pulls away with a substantial lead.
Over/Under: Over 55.5
The cat’s out of the bag. Both of these teams like to score.
When the Wildcats are out of Manhattan, which hasn’t been often, they have allowed their opponents to score an average of 32.5 points per game.
If you factor in that Colorado can sling the ball, it’s a recipe for a high-scoring game. Most of the Buffs offense is centered around Sanders and his ability to throw for distance, and they've worked wonders.
You can’t ignore the aerial weapons Sanders has at his disposal. Travis Hunter, Jimmy Horn and LaJohntay Wester are all legitimate receivers who can create elite separation.
When you take into account that K-State is among the worst programs at allowing explosive plays through the air, this only gives credence to the over.
Colorado Player Prop: Shedeur Sanders Over 296.5 Passing Yards
I'll admit, when I saw this number open at 308.5, I was very turned off. But then, when I saw that 308.5 is essentially a cakewalk for Sanders, I warmed up to it.
However, this number keeps dropping, and as of writing, it's at 296.5. I'm curious as to what oddsmakers know that we don't.
In three games this season, Sanders has cleared that mark and just missed it last week by throwing for 290 yards. It’s not like he throws the ball willy-nilly either — he’s completing passes at a 70% rate.
Hunter, Horn, Wester and Will Sheppard are really easy targets for Sanders against a secondary that’s OK at best. Depending on how much pressure K-State offers, I don’t think Sanders will have a problem throwing for more than 296 yards.
Kansas State Player Prop: Avery Johnson Over 72.5 Pass Yards
I’m fascinated with Johnson’s skill set.
The Wildcats have such a dynamic run game, and Johnson’s a big part of that. They’re ninth in PPA and 12th in explosiveness.
I contemplated picking Giddens’ total instead, but after seeing how much Colorado has struggled against quarterbacks who can run, Johnson was an easy choice.
The three times the Buffaloes have played a dual-threat quarterback, they’ve allowed over 70 rushing yards. North Dakota State's Cam Miller ran for 92 yards, Baylor's Sawyer Robertson ran for 92 and UCF's KJ Jefferson ran for 98.
I don’t think I need to tell you that Johnson’s a better runner than all three of them. Against Oklahoma State, he only ran five times and averaged 12 yards per carry.
It’s never a guarantee for quarterbacks to post those numbers, especially since a recorded sack is considered a loss of rush yards in college. But Johnson has proved that won’t affect his numbers.
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