The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party may not be the official name of the Florida-Georgia rivalry anymore, but the SEC brings us one of the best neutral-site conference games in Week 10.
Georgia (6-1, 4-1 SEC) leads the all-time series 55-44-2, taking 6 of the previous 7 in this series.
Head coach Kirby Smart has dominated in 3 seasons since the pandemic, leading Georgia to a combined winning margin of 72 points since 2021.
If the Bulldogs beat Florida (4-3, 2-2), the only thing standing between them and a trip to the SEC Championship would be 2 games against Ole Miss and Tennessee.
Not many would have guessed Florida head coach Billy Napier would still be employed, much less heading to this game in Jacksonville with a winning record.
Florida enters the game as a 16-point underdog with a total of 52.
Let's take a look at my Florida vs. Georgia predictions and college football picks for Saturday, Nov. 2.
Florida vs Georgia Prediction
- Florida vs. Georgia Pick: First-Half Under 27.5
My Georgia vs. Florida bet is on both teams to stay under the first-half total, with the best line currently available at DraftKings, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
Florida vs Georgia Odds
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16 -110 | 52 -110 / -110 | +550 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16 -110 | 52 -110 / -110 | -800 |
- Florida vs Georgia Spread: Florida +16 (-110) · Georgia -16 (-110)
- Florida vs Georgia Over/Under: 52
- Florida vs Georgia Moneyline: Florida +550 · Georgia -800
Florida vs Georgia Preview
Florida Gators Betting Preview: Lagway Leading the Way
The simplified Florida defense will look to slow down a Georgia offense that has been on a warpath since losing to Alabama.
The Gators bottled up Kentucky's running game their last time out while limiting the passing game to 12-of-32 for 165 yards and a couple of interceptions.
Shutting down the Wildcats' passing attack still may not be as impressive as the Week 7 performance against Tennessee. The Gators kept Vols quarterback Nico Iamaleava to 169 passing yards, no touchdowns and an interception.
The latest availability report suggests freshman quarterback DJ Lagway will be working without a couple of key pieces on the offense. Wide receiver Eugene Wilson III continues to miss time, while running back Montrell Johnson Jr. is questionable.
Johnson's absence didn't stop the Gators from dominating Kentucky's defense on the ground, as freshman Jadan Baugh busted out for five touchdowns and 106 yards rushing.
#Gators RB Jadan Baugh becomes the first @GatorsFB player with five rushing touchdowns in a game since @TreyBurton8 scored five against Kentucky in 2010.
Ties the school record with Burton and Tim Tebow.pic.twitter.com/Fk8EHobGzP
— Zach Abolverdi (@ZachAbolverdi) October 20, 2024
Although Lagway has thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns, the mistakes have not been on the shoulders of the freshman. Through seven games, Lagway has nine big-time throws to two turnover-worthy plays.
The freshman has been solid in passing attempts with pressure, failing to record a turnover-worthy play in 29 dropbacks.
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview: Looking to Keep Momentum
Georgia returns to the scene of college football after smashing the top team in the country on its own field.
The Bulldogs were the more physical team in a 30-15 victory over Texas — the first game Georgia had played a full four quarters on both sides of the ball.
The real work begins after the bye week, keeping the same intensity that helped the offensive and defensive line dominate Texas.
Georgia's defense peppered Texas' offensive line with seven sacks and 10 tackles for loss, briefly knocking quarterback Quinn Ewers out of the game.
The Bulldogs stuffed the Longhorns' rushing attack 55% of the time on 20 attempts — nearly double the national average.
UGA defensive coordinator Glenn Schumann got the best out of his defense in passing downs, limiting Texas to an average of 1.9 yards per play. The Longhorns produced a 21% Success Rate on 34 passing-down attempts.
The offense didn't have as much success as the defense in Austin.
Quarterback Carson Beck threw three interceptions, recording his first game without a big-time throw since Week 2 against Tennessee Tech.
The senior continues to struggle against Cover 1 looks from opposing defenses, generating a low 42% Success Rate with a negative EPA (Expected Points Added) per Play.
Florida vs Georgia Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Florida and Georgia match up statistically:
Florida Offense vs. Georgia Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 21 | 19 |  |
| Line Yards | 72 | 50 | |
| Pass Success | 27 | 23 | |
| Havoc | 105 | 44 | |
| Finishing Drives | 48 | 20 | |
| Quality Drives | 86 | 28 | |
Georgia Offense vs. Florida Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 65 | 111 | |
| Line Yards | 90 | 75 | |
| Pass Success | 30 | 34 | |
| Havoc | 37 | 65 | |
| Finishing Drives | 18 | 28 | |
| Quality Drives | 20 | 57 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 80 | 13 |
| PFF Coverage | 76 | 43 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 11 | 8 |
| Middle 8 | 42 | 2 |
| Seconds per Play | 28.1 (89) | 27.4 (67) |
| Rush Rate | 56% (50) | 44% (116) |
Florida vs Georgia Pick & Prediction
There's reason to believe both defenses will have success against the opposing offenses.
Georgia has struggled to get the running game going in multiple games this season.
Although Florida sits outside the top 100 in Rushing Success Rate allowed, the Gators have been very successful in 113 snaps against inside zone. The Bulldogs use inside zone read by far more than any other run concept.
Beck failed to make a big-time throw against Florida last season, as UF defensive coordinator Austin Armstrong implemented multiple coverage schemes.
The Gators rank third nationally in preventing early-down explosives, ranking top-35 in overall opponent Pass and Rush EPA.
Georgia has made adjustments in-game throughout the season to create scoring, but the Gators offense should have an even tougher time creating opportunities.
UGA's defense will stymy Florida's passing attack, leading the nation in Passing Downs Success Rate allowed. The Bulldogs are top-40 in creating contested catches — an indicator that the Gators' best shot is the ground game with Lagway and Baugh.
However, the Bulldogs rank 30th in missed tackles, while will keep the Gators from gaining chunk yardage on the ground.
Neither Florida nor Georgia have found ways to put points on the board early, In fact, neither team ranks in the top 80 in first-quarter scoring.
The Bulldogs' secondary is sure to make Florida one-dimensional, Baugh should find some success on the ground.
Georgia will also use inside zone but will face a defense that has been successful in shutting the run concept down.
Action Network's Betting Power Ratings project Georgia as a 16-p0int favorite, leaving no value on the current side offerings.
With both teams having defensive advantages and a history of slow scoring, there might be enough inefficiency in the first half to keep the cocktail party going.
Pick: First Half Under 27.5 or Better
Florida vs Georgia Live: Start Time, TV Channel, How to Watch
| Location: | EverBank Field, Jacksonvolle, FL |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 2 |
| Kickoff Time: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ABC |
The Florida-Georgia rivalry continues in Jacksonville on Saturday, Nov. 2, at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Florida vs Georgia Betting Trends
- 49% of bets and 62% of the money are on Georgia to cover the spread
- 87% of bets and 84% of the money on the moneyline are on Georgia to win outright
- 69% of bets and 56% of the money are on the over
Betting trends via our live, updating NCAAF public betting & money percentages page.
Florida vs Georgia Weather
