The annual Florida (4-3, 2-2 SEC) vs. Georgia (6-1, 4-1) matchup takes place in Jacksonville, Florida, at EverBank Field.
Last season, Georgia whooped the Gators 43-20, where Carson Beck threw for 315 yards and two touchdowns.
The Bulldogs have had their typical exceptional season, with a 6-1 record and most recently defeating No. 1 ranked Texas 30-15 before heading on a bye.
For the past couple of seasons, Florida has been in a bit of disarray.
Since 2021, the Gators have posted a 21-24 record, toiling away in the perils of mediocrity. This season, that trend continues, as they’re 4-3, but one more loss brings them right back at .500 football.
Let’s dive into my Georgia vs. Florida picks and SGP and cash in on this +625 parlay I built on BetMGM.
Georgia vs. Florida Odds
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | -700 |
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | +500 |
- Florida vs. Georgia Spread: Florida +14.5 · Georgia -14.5
- Florida vs. Georgia Over/Under: 52.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Florida vs. Georgia Moneyline: Florida +500 · Georgia -700
Georgia vs. Florida Picks, Predictions, Same-Game Parlay
- Florida +14.5
- Over 52.5
- Carson Beck Over 300 Passing Yards
Parlay Odds: +625
Please always remember to bet responsibly. SGPs are long shots for a reason.
Spread: Florida +14.5
I’ve been back and forth on this, and I decided that 14.5 is too big of a number for me.
If you go back to Florida’s schedule, it’s managed to stay alive in all of its conference matchups. Not once did the Gators lose by 14.5 or more this season. They lost to Tennessee in overtime, 23-17 and lost to Texas A&M 33-20. In the rest of the SEC games, they won by 17 or more.
Even though I think Florida’s a bit of a mess (once it gets rid of Billy Napier, it’ll be in better shape), I think freshman DJ Lagway is a solid quarterback. Graham Mertz’s college career is over after his knee injury, and Lagway has shown he’s capable of carrying the load, as seen in Week 8 against Kentucky.
I don’t see Florida winning because Georgia is too good, but I think the Gators can at least keep this battle close.
Over/Under: Over 52.5
When you look at the trends this season, you’d be surprised to find out that the majority of Georgia’s games actually have hit the under. The Bulldogs are 2-5 this season against the over and Florida is 4-3.
So it seems like a coin-flip for this prop, but let’s factor in that both of these programs are well-rested and fresh off a bye.
To add, in the last three games, Georgia has averaged 34 points per game, with Florida averaging a smidge under 30.
Georgia also allows an average of 19 points per game, whereas Florida allows 26, which adds up to 45.
As I mentioned, this is most likely a coin-flip pick. But, given that both have gone through a bye, I anticipate the ball to be moved around quite a bit.
Georgia Player Prop: Carson Beck Over 300 Passing Yards
Beck has had an interesting season. I don’t think he’s as surgical as he was last season, where he completed 72% of his passes, but 66% this season isn’t too shabby either.
Regardless, Beck has had two games where he threw for over 300 yards. Ironically, in both of those games, he threw for over 400 as well. However, given the state of Florida’s pass defense, with the injury to DB Jason Marshall, I think 300 is attainable.
Georgia, while armed with two solid running backs in Trevor Etienne and Nate Frazier, runs the ball at a very low rate (95th). Additionally, since beating Kentucky in Week 3, Beck has attempted 40 or more passes on three separate occasions.
As long as he continues chucking the ball at a high rate, he has a solid three-man corps to throw to. Arian Smith, Dominic Lovett, and Dillon Bell have all been key contributors and it seems like all three are getting better as the season wears on.
