Every weekend in the month of November can be deemed "Elimination Saturday" in the SEC. This time, the elimination game will be between the Georgia Bulldogs (7-1, 5-1 SEC) and Ole Miss Rebels (7-2, 3-2). Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia has played the role of Jekyll and Hyde perfectly through eight games, losing at Alabama after an embarrassing first quarter while dominating in every aspect on the road at Texas. Head coach Kirby Smart will hit the road once again to take on another SEC rival that's beginning to peak.
Ole Miss has long led our Havoc Rankings over the past month, generating plenty of activity in the opponent's backfield. Head coach Lane Kiffin still has an outside chance at an SEC Championship appearance and College Football Playoff run.
Georgia enters Oxford as a 2.5-point favorite, a year removed from winning by five possessions while putting more than 50 points on the board against Ole Miss. The over/under, meanwhile, sits at 54.5.
Let's dive into my Georgia vs. Ole Miss predictions and college football picks for Saturday, Nov. 9.
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, Picks
- Georgia vs. Ole Miss Pick: Georgia Team Total Under 27.5
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Odds, Line, Spread
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -112 | 54.5 -105o / -115u | -137 |
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -108 | 54.5 -105o / -115u | +114 |
- Georgia vs. Ole Miss Spread: Georgia -2.5, Ole Miss +2.5
- Georgia vs. Ole Miss Over/Under: 54.5 Total Points
- Georgia vs. Ole Miss Moneyline: Georgia ML -137, Ole Miss ML +114
Georgia vs. Ole Miss College Football Betting Preview
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview
The biggest question heading into Week 10 is if Georgia could maintain the same level of physicality from the win at Texas. Smart spoke often about the inability to play a full four-quarter game, costing the Bulldogs a loss at Alabama earlier this season.
Georgia powered over Florida in the run game, generating a 68% Success Rate on 31 carries.
Although Bulldogs running back Trevor Etienne suffered a rib injury, the former Gator is not listed on the Georgia availability report for Week 11.
While the rushing attack was on point, quarterback Carson Beck logged a third consecutive horrendous game. Beck has thrown eight interceptions over the last three games against the defenses of Mississippi State, Texas and Florida.
Pressure is an issue, as Beck's turnover-worthy play rate moves from 2.7% to 10.3% with a crowded pocket. Despite Georgia's offensive line ranking top-10 in pass blocking, 23-of-66 pressures this season have come in the last two games.
The Georgia defense posted stellar numbers across the board against Florida, an expected result considering the quarterback injuries to the Gators. Florida averaged 3.4 overall yards per play and created just one methodical drive on 15 offensive possessions.
However, the Bulldogs lacked in Havoc plays with just two sacks and six tackles for loss. Both sacks were supplied by edge rusher Chaz Chambliss, currently in a tie as the best-graded defender on defense.
The other player is linebacker Smael Mondon Jr. who has not played since Week 5 but positively showed up on Georgia's availability report as questionable.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
Ole Miss continues to be the most Havoc-minded defense in the nation. A strip sack and scoop-and-score against Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green was one of many Havoc plays the Rebels provided in a victory over the Razorbacks.
Ole Miss is the top team in the nation in terms of playing in the opponent's backfield, ranking No. 1 in tackles for loss by a wide margin.
Outside linebacker Suntarine Perkins is the name to watch against the Georgia offense, as he leads the team in pressures.
Suntarine Perkins with the 3rd down stop :shark:@suntarine | #HottyToddypic.twitter.com/9l3P2FP4V9
— Ole Miss Football (@OleMissFB) October 5, 2024
The availability report for Ole Miss had an unexpected name that could have a negative impact on the offense against Georgia. Wide receiver Tre Harris — the team's most important offensive piece — has missed action due to injury since Week 7 against LSU.
While Harris' "doubtful" designation for the Georgia game was not a surprise, fellow wide receiver Jordan Watkins being listed sent a shock into the Rebels' odds.
Watkins hauled in five touchdown catches against Arkansas after recording only 11 in five seasons of college football before that.
Center Reece McIntyre is also listed as questionable. The sixth-year senior has taken 615-of-678 snaps at center for the season, as well as over 1,300 snaps in his Ole Miss career.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Ole Miss and Georgia match up statistically:
Georgia Offense vs. Ole Miss Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 58 | 10 | |
| Line Yards | 77 | 10 | |
| Pass Success | 25 | 19 | |
| Havoc | 42 | 1 | |
| Finishing Drives | 17 | 5 | |
| Quality Drives | 34 | 7 | |
Ole Miss Offense vs. Georgia Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 26 | 21 | |
| Line Yards | 40 | 35 | |
| Pass Success | 4 | 20 | |
| Havoc | 46 | 52 | |
| Finishing Drives | 31 | 16 | |
| Quality Drives | 6 | 24 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 9 | 3 |
| PFF Coverage | 26 | 49 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 3 | 2 |
| Middle 8 | 3 | 26 |
| Seconds per Play | 27.4 (70) | 23.1 (6) |
| Rush Rate | 44% (115) | 53% (67) |
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Best Bets and Pick
Based on the handicap of the Ole Miss defense against the Georgia offense, there's reason to believe the steam on the Rebels in the market was sharp in early-week wagering.
Beck has crumbled under pressure this season, as defenses have learned to create pressure with just four defenders.
The soft spot on the Ole Miss defense has been coverage. The Rebels' top-10 ranks in Defensive Quality Drives and Finishing Drives are heavily assisted by a chaotic defensive line and string fundamentals — not the coverage.
The injuries for the Rebels on the offensive side of the ball are massive, making a play on Ole Miss a pre-kick decision.
McIntyre must be cleared to play on the offensive line. If he's not, sophomore Brycen Sanders would be expected to fill in with his 65 career snaps at center.
More importantly, Watkins and Harris represent 36% of quarterback Jaxson Dart's target share and 57% of all receiving touchdowns.
If McIntyre, Watkins and Harris were to play in this game, the bet would be on Ole Miss.
The most stable variable in the game is the Ole Miss defense harassing Beck. With Etienne off the availability report, the Bulldogs could try to establish the rush early in the game to take the pressure off their signal-caller.
However, Ole Miss has dominated inside zone read — Georgia's primary run concept heading into this game.
Keep tabs on Ole Miss' offensive injuries, but bet on the Rebels defense to create plenty of Havoc.
Pick: Georgia Team Total Under 27.5
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Channel, Start Time, Streaming, How to Watch
| Location: | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 9 |
| Kickoff Time: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ABC |
Georgia travels to Oxford, Mississippi, on Saturday to face Ole Miss at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Betting Trends
- 72% of bets and 58% of the money on the moneyline are on Georgia to win outright
Betting trends via our live, updating NCAAF public betting & money percentages page.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Weather
