It's time to dive into the Indiana vs. Purdue odds and find pick for Saturday's Old Oaken Bucket rivalry game.
Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers Odds
| Indiana Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 55 -110o / -110u | +175 |
| Purdue Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 55 -110o / -110u | -210 |
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Throw out the records in this one. This is about pride. This is about the state of Indiana. And this is about the Old Oaken Bucket.
With both Indiana and Purdue sitting at 3-8 for the season, there will be no bowl game for either program.
Ryan Walters has had to face his fair share of challenges in Year 1, but there is still hope for the future of his tenure moving forward.
Meanwhile, in Bloomington, there is speculation that this could be Tom Allen's final game as head coach of the Hoosiers. Whether that proves to be the case or not, this IU team should be inspired playing for him.
Let's discuss where the betting value lies with Purdue currently sitting as a 3.5-point home favorite.
Indiana Hoosiers
The schedule has not done Indiana any favors in 2023.
Residing in the Big Ten East, the Hoosiers have had to face the trio of Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State. They also had to play a top-10 opponent in Louisville in nonconference play.
Surprisingly enough, Indiana was actually competitive in all of those games aside from Michigan.
When the Hoosiers faced lesser Big Ten opponents like Rutgers, Illinois and Michigan State, they failed to make the big plays in the fourth quarter.
All of that leads to explain their 3-8 record.
When Indiana had success under Allen, the backbone of the team was its defense. This season, however, the Hoosiers rank outside the top 100 in both Defensive Rush and Pass Success.
An inability to get opponents off the field has put added pressure on an offense that was always going to be limited.
Indiana has played better football in recent weeks, so there's reason to believe IU could put together one of its better performances of the year Saturday in West Lafayette.
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Purdue Boilermakers
Transition is always difficult in college football, and Ryan Walters was dealt a tough hand to begin his head coaching career at Purdue.
Texas QB transfer Hudson Card was a nice pickup in the portal, but the Boilers lost a ton of talent from a team that won the Big Ten West a year ago.
Purdue also lost a bunch of close games early in the year, otherwise this could be a team competing for the postseason.
Similar to Indiana, the Boilermakers are weak in the secondary and have been shredded by teams with a prominent passing attack.
The offense has had its moments, but there is a lack of overall playmakers on the perimeter. Card missed last week against Northwestern, so his status will be worth monitoring up until kickoff.
Can the Boilermakers' offensive line win in the trenches against the IU front? Doing so would allow Purdue to lean on the ground game and take some heat off of Card or backup Ryan Browne.
Indiana vs Purdue
Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Indiana and Purdue match up statistically:
Indiana Offense vs. Purdue Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 103 | 59 | |
| Line Yards | 31 | 49 | |
| Pass Success | 54 | 94 | |
| Havoc | 66 | 72 | |
| Finishing Drives | 125 | 106 | |
| Quality Drives | 75 | 97 | |
Purdue Offense vs. Indiana Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 51 | 121 | |
| Line Yards | 41 | 121 | |
| Pass Success | 82 | 117 | |
| Havoc | 104 | 67 | |
| Finishing Drives | 121 | 90 | |
| Quality Drives | 73 | 96 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 45 | 55 |
| PFF Coverage | 112 | 131 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 84 | 129 |
| Middle 8 | 132 | 88 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.6 (60) | 25.8 (42) |
| Rush Rate | 54.3% (68) | 53.7% (65) |
Indiana vs Purdue
Betting Pick & Prediction
In a battle between two below-average teams, I'd naturally side with the Hoosiers here catching more than a field goal.
When you throw in the fact that Card's status is unknown, as well as the possibility of this being Allen's final game, the play becomes more clear on the Hoosiers.
Despite the struggles, Allen has not lost his locker room, and I'd expect Indiana to throw the kitchen sink at the Boilermakers here in a game where it has absolutely nothing to lose.
Purdue's offense should really struggle if Card can't go, and even if he is available, he will likely not be at full strength.
Give me Indiana as a road dog in a game I think it wins outright.
