Iowa vs UCLA Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, November 8

Iowa vs UCLA Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, November 8 article feature image
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Starting soon
Odds Updating Soon
Matchup - 11/09 2:00am UTCSpreadTotalMoneyline
-6.5-110
o44.5-110
-237
+6.5-110
u44.5-110
+190

Iowa (6-3) fans are having a joyous season after finally being introduced to this brand-new concept known as offense. The Hawkeyes fired their "nepo-baby" and hired former Western Michigan head coach Tim Lester to turn the offense around.

The Hawkeyes rank fourth in the Big 10, averaging 30.8 points per game. They have already scored 277 points this season through nine games after only scoring 216 points last season in 14 games.

UCLA (3-5) has not had the same welcome to the Big Ten conference as Oregon. The Bruins and new coach Deshaun Foster have struggled to a 3-5 season in their new home, although they are coming off road back-to-back wins.

Both teams enter Friday night off consecutive victories, but only one will be able to carry over momentum and make it three.

Iowa is a 6-point favorite on the spread with a 44.5-point over/under. The game kicks off at 9 p.m. ET and can be streamed live on FOX.

Read on for my Iowa vs UCLA predictions and college football picks for their NCAAF Week 11 game.


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Iowa vs UCLA Prediction

My Iowa vs UCLA best bet is on the Hawkeyes to cover as six-point favorites, with the best line available at bet365.


Iowa vs UCLA Odds

Iowa Logo
Friday, Nov. 8
9 p.m. ET
FOX
UCLA Logo
Iowa Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-6
-110
44.5
-110 / -110
-240
UCLA Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+6
-110
44.5
-110 / -110
+195
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Iowa vs UCLA Point Spread: Iowa -6 (-110) · UCLA +6 (-110)
  • Iowa vs UCLA Total: Over/Under 44.5
  • Iowa vs UCLA Moneyline: Iowa -240 · UCLA +195


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Iowa vs UCLA Preview

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Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview: Offense? What's That?

The switch to Lester dramatically improved this offense, and the Hawkeyes' recent quarterback change made the improvement even more significant.

After Cade McNamara continued to demonstrate subpar play, the team finally switched to Northwestern transfer Brendan Sullivan, immediately scoring 40 points in back-to-back games.

Sullivan offers much more upside as a runner and now forms a dynamic backfield with star running back Kaleb Johnson. The Big Ten's leading rusher is averaging 142.1 yards per game. He is second in the nation in rushing, averaging 7.5 yards per carry.

Johnson has 19 rushing touchdowns on the year and has scored in every game. He has multiple scores in seven of his nine games and is in line for another monster game against this defense.

We have come to know the Hawkeyes for having a world-beater defense, but they have taken a slight step backward, especially against the run. However, they do not allow big plays and tighten up when opponents get into scoring range.

This defense is still well-coached under Phil Parker and does all the little things correctly. This team doesn’t make many mistakes and ranks in the top 10 in the country in coverage grade and tackling.


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UCLA Bruins Betting Preview: Poor Two-Way Play

UCLA could have used a quarterback upgrade this offseason but stuck with the returning Ethan Garbers.

He continues to be a below-average quarterback. On the season, Garbers has thrown just 10 touchdowns with nine interceptions and is averaging less than 250 yards per game.

Despite returning both of their top receivers, the Bruins have gotten nothing out of Logan Loya and J. Michael Sturdivant. Tight end Moliki Matavao is the team’s leading receiver with just 38 yards per game.

The running game is even worse. It’s been no more than a brisk power walk.

TJ Harden leads the team with 226 total yards in eight games. He has one rushing score. As a team, the Bruins have just three rushing touchdowns all season and are averaging a measly 2.8 yards per carry. They rank dead last in the country with just 73.9 rushing yards per game. That is shocking, considering they promoted their running backs coach to head coach.

Speaking of bad, this defense is a mess.

They lost defensive coordinator D’Anton Lynn and a ton of NFL talent, especially up front. Last year’s stout unit has fallen to 122nd nationally. They rank outside the top 100 against the run, which could be a problem in this matchup.


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Iowa vs UCLA

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Iowa and UCLA match up statistically:

Iowa Offense vs. UCLA Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success42111
Line Yards5272
Pass Success10487
Havoc4576
Finishing Drives72124
Quality Drives70125
UCLA Offense vs. Iowa Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success13494
Line Yards13373
Pass Success5442
Havoc10560
Finishing Drives11937
Quality Drives6013
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling854
PFF Coverage571
Special Teams SP+1766
Middle 82624
Seconds per Play29.8 (123)30.7 (127)
Rush Rate64% (8)45% (122)

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Iowa vs UCLA Pick & Prediction

Iowa has the best offense in this game by a wide margin. I have worked at Action Network for five years, and that is a sentence I have never written.

Iowa ranks in the top half of the Big 10 in yards per play and has looked even better with Sullivan under center. Iowa already has a top-10 rush rate, and Sullivan adds another element as a dual-threat quarterback.

Johnson is one of the best running backs in the country and should have another terrific day against this UCLA defense. As the Hawkeyes move the ball down the field, UCLA has been awful at preventing finishing drives, leading to Iowa turning long drives into touchdowns.

Iowa's biggest weakness this season has been defending the run. In each of their Big 10 losses, they allowed over 200 yards rushing. That shouldn’t be an issue in this one, though, as the Bruins have the worst rushing offense in the country. Their run game is non-existent.

That will leave things up to Garbers and this passing attack against a Hawkeyes secondary that ranks fifth in the country in Pro Footbal Focus's Coverage Grade. Iowa has a big advantage on both sides of the ball, and the Hawkeyes have an advantage in special teams as they always do.

Even traveling to the West Coast, Iowa has a big advantage in this matchup.

Pick: Iowa -6 (-110, bet365) | Play to -7 (-110)


Iowa vs UCLA Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How To Watch

Location:Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
Date:Friday, Nov. 8
Kickoff Time:9 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:FOX

Iowa vs UCLA will be played at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California, on Friday, Nov. 8, at 9 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on FOX.



Iowa vs UCLA Weather

Get the latest coverage on NCAAF Weather.
About the Author
Mike grew up in Connecticut but now lives in Pennsylvania and is a graduate of Penn State. He loves hockey and college football and thinks there is nothing better than a Big Ten game with Beth Mowins calling inside runs and punts on a cold and rainy Saturday.

Follow Mike Ianniello @Ianniello21 on Twitter/X.

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