LSU vs. Alabama odds have been open for several weeks now, but with the game on Saturday, the entire betting market is starting to take shape.
The Tide are listed at -6.5 or -6 at pretty much every sportsbook after opening -7 on Sunday. Two weeks ago, they were -9.5 and in the summer, Alabama was -16.
The over/under sits at 64.5 and 65 at some books, up about a point from the Sunday openers.
The Action Network's college football power ratings, kept by Collin Wilson, make Alabama -7.5 at home against LSU. Without a healthy Tagovailoa, we believe Alabama would be a very small favorite, around -1 or a pick'em.
That's of course the biggest angle in this game — Tua's health. Bettors saw early value in the uncertainty and happily took the Tigers at +7 or higher.
From a betting perspective, Alabama holds the edge in this series with an 8-5-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2005, including covering five of the past six matchups per our Bet Labs data.
Bama has also been favored in 11 of those 14 games, going 7-4 ATS when giving points, but just 1-1-1 ATS when an underdog.
On the other hand, the Tide are 3-3-1 ATS at home, and 5-2 ATS when playing in Baton Rouge.
Alabama has not been a home underdog since 2007 against LSU, and without Tagovailoa, the Tide could be again on Saturday.