Michigan State vs. Pitt Odds
| Michigan State Odds | +4 |
| Pitt Odds | -4 |
| Over/Under | 63.5 |
| Date | Dec. 30 |
| Location | Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia |
Michigan State is set to take on Pitt in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 30 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
Find our expert's projected spread and total, a recap of each team's seasons, plus more information on the 2021 Peach Bowl below.
Michigan State vs. Pitt Projected Odds
| Michigan State Spread | +5 |
| Pitt Spread | -5 |
| Over/Under | 65.4 |
These Michigan State vs. Pitt projections are based on Collin Wilson's college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.
How Michigan State Reached the Peach Bowl
It was a dream season for Mel Tucker and his team, one that earned him a 10-year, $95 million contract.
The Spartans went 10-2, highlighted by a win over Michigan at home. They spent much of the latter half of the season ranked inside the top 10. After Tucker went 2-5 in his inaugural season, it finally looks like the Spartans are back to being a national power.
If you haven’t heard about Kenneth Walker III yet, you probably live under a rock or shouldn’t be betting on college football.
Walker is a Heisman candidate and will likely win the Doak Walker Award as the nation’s top running back. He ran for 1,636 yards (second nationally) and 18 touchdowns (fifth) this season. Walker led the nation in rushing yards per attempt among running backs with at least 200 carries.
Michigan State got it done by running the football and stopping the run on defense. Quarterback Payton Thorne has been solid but isn’t going to light it up through the air. It’s the pass defense that has been Michigan State’s kryptonite all season long. Sparty finished dead last (130th out of 130th) in the FBS in passing yards allowed and passing yards allowed per game and it really wasn’t close.
MSU had a great year against the spread with an 8-3-1 record.
How Pitt Reached the Peach Bowl
Say hello to your somewhat surprising ACC champions!
Pittsburgh dropped just two games this season to Western Michigan and Miami by a combined seven points, but got it rolling when it mattered most with five straight wins to end the season, including a 45-21 stomping of Wake Forest in the ACC Championship Game.
The Panthers were also very friendly to bettors this season, posting an 8-4 against-the-spread record.
And want to impress your friends and/or co-workers at the water cooler heading into bowl season? Did you know that Pittsburgh closed as a favorite in all 12 of its games this season?
Michigan State vs. Pitt Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Michigan State and Pitt match up statistically:
Michigan State Offense vs. Pitt Defense
 |  Offense |  Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 45 | 17 | |
| Line Yards | 75 | 8 | |
| Pass Success | 36 | 58 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 30 | 43 | |
| Big Play | 38 | 80 | |
| Havoc | 48 | 10 | |
| Finishing Drives | 70 | 56 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pitt Offense vs. Michigan State Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 49 | 58 | |
| Line Yards | 36 | 30 | |
| Pass Success | 7 | 106 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 25 | 28 |  |
| Big Play | 15 | 83 | |
| Havoc | 17 | 71 | |
| Finishing Drives | 8 | 37 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 103 | 41 |
| Coverage | 87 | 61 |
| Middle 8 | 52 | 1 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 115 | 35 |
| Plays per Minute | 42 | 100 |
| Rush Rate | 55.9% (60) | 48.6% (104) |
Peach Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info
- Date: Dec. 30
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV Info: ESPN
