The best way to bet on New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M is the over/under Saturday of college football Week 12.
In a battle of the Aggies, New Mexico State (2-7) will travel to face Texas A&M (7-2) on November 16 for a 7:45 p.m. ET kick.
Both teams are off blowout losses. New Mexico State lost, but covered against Western Kentucky. A&M, meanwhile, was embarrassed as a favorite vs. South Carolina, losing by 24.
Texas A&M is in a tricky spot, laying close to 40 points to a non-conference opponent. Here's the top pick and New Mexico State vs Texas A&M prediction.
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Prediction
- New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M Pick:Over 54.5
My prediction is a high-scoring game that goes over 54.5 points.
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Odds
| N. Mexico St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+39 -110 | 54 -110o / -110u | |
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-39 -110 | 54 -110o / -110u | |
- New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Point Spread: New Mexico State +39 (-110) · Texas A&M -39 (-110)
- New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Total: Over/Under 54
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Preview
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview: A Poor Season
Only two teams rank worse than New Mexico State in Collin Wilson's Power Ratings: Kennesaw State and Kent State.
The Aggies are 2-7 overall and haven't been fun for bettors against the spread, covering just three of nine games. In fact, two of New Mexico State's three wins against the closing line have come in the last three weeks, featuring an upset win over Louisiana Tech.
Offensively, the Aggies are in the bottom 10 in yards per play. They're the worst unit in college football in Pass Success and will rely on the ground game.
Defensively, New Mexico doesn't stand much of a chance. If you serve any chance of stopping anyone, on any given week, you better have either a pass rush or great corners; the Aggies have neither.
They fall near the basement nationally in both Havoc and Pass Success, hence why they've gone over the total in five straight.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview: Offensive Power
Texas A&M followed up a signature win vs. LSU with an absolute dud vs. South Carolina.
Mike Elko's club may not be anything to write home about against the spread (3-6 ATS), but the Aggies were — and likely still are — thinking CFP before the surprise rout to the Gamecocks.
Texas A&M is highly regarded in Power Ratings, ranking just outside the top 10 nationally. The Aggies offense has scored 38 points or more in three of the last four home games. Overs have been the theme, as A&M's riding a 4-0 streak entering Week 12.
An SEC offense that ranks No. 7 in Havoc allowed and top-40 in Line Yards should be able to just line up and generate chunks vs. a New Mexico State defense that surrenders Quality Drives at one of the worst clips in the country.
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how New Mexico State and Texas A&M match up statistically:
New Mexico State Offense vs. Texas A&M Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 28 | 26 |  |
| Line Yards | 30 | 6 | |
| Pass Success | 133 | 54 | |
| Havoc | 86 | 11 | |
| Finishing Drives | 75 | 23 | |
| Quality Drives | 123 | 59 | |
Texas A&M Offense vs. New Mexico State Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 44 | 63 | |
| Line Yards | 38 | 75 | |
| Pass Success | 61 | 124 | |
| Havoc | 7 | 132 | |
| Finishing Drives | 51 | 57 | |
| Quality Drives | 61 | 127 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 53 | 107 |
| PFF Coverage | 103 | 84 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 14 | 7 |
| Middle 8 | 129 | 38 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.3 (45) | 28.6 (104) |
| Rush Rate | 62% (19) | 63% (11) |
New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Pick & Prediction
Using Bet Labs, we've tracked sharp money landing on the over, indicating professional interest in a high-scoring contest.
Saturday may boast a prototypical hangover spot for a team like A&M, off a blowout loss and now laying a ton of points. Opponents at minimum have to be formidable; Texas A&M can keep a rather vanilla game plan and move the ball against one of the worst defenses in the country.
New Mexico State's defense allows close to seven yards per play and more than 220 yards on the ground.
Texas weather conditions promise to be favorable, which could facilitate higher scoring.
New Mexico State is one of only 14 teams averaging 4.6 yards per play or fewer this season. However, the Aggies are trending up better than any bottom-feeder, averaging 5.1 yards per play in the last three.
The over is a smart play at 54.5, and I'd keep the recommendation there, as 55 is key to totals.
Pick: Over 54.5
How to Watch New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Live: Start Time, TV Channel, Location
| Location: | Kyle Field, College Station, TX |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 16 |
| Kickoff Time: | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | SEC Network |
