UNC vs Clemson Odds & Pick: Bet Saturday’s Road Underdog

UNC vs Clemson Odds & Pick: Bet Saturday’s Road Underdog article feature image
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Grant Halverson/Getty Images. Pictured: North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye.

UNC vs Clemson Odds

North Carolina Logo
November 18
3:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
Clemson Logo
North Carolina Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+7.5
-115
59.5
-110o / -110u
+240
Clemson Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-7.5
-105
59.5
-110o / -110u
-300
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
BetMGM Logo

Let's dive into the UNC vs. Clemson odds and make a prediction for Saturday, Nov. 18.


The aspirations of an ACC Championship are still well within grasp. However, it's not for the team we all assumed would be in the hunt coming into this game as the North Carolina Tar Heels take on the Clemson Tigers.

North Carolina heads into this matchup third in the ACC. It will need to win out and have Louisville drop one of its final two games to make the conference title game.

While the Tar Heels have all the motivation, the Tigers have a rare opportunity to play spoiler. Clemson comes into this matchup playing its best ball of the season, having picked up back-to-back wins over Notre Dame and Georgia Tech.

Can it keep the hot streak going and cover the spread against the Tar Heels?

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North Carolina Tar Heels

What's helped the Tar Heels take the leap forward this season is their balanced offensive attack. Defensive units are always aware of Drake Maye and his receiving corps, but the rushing attack deserves respect, too.

North Carolina is 12th in rushing attempts per game with just over 41, but what's more impressive is that it ranks ninth in Rushing Success Rate. Much of that success has to do with the offensive line, as UNC sits 22nd in Offensive Line Yards, and that ranking suggests it will hold its own against the Tigers' front.

We should expect the ground game to be a crucial part of the Tar Heels scheme, as the Clemson secondary has been tremendous.

It will be the most formidable unit that Maye has faced this season, and he will be contained if North Carolina can't get it going early on the ground.


Legal sports betting is coming to North Carolina! Check out our NC state page for more information.


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Clemson Tigers

Clemson's offense came to life against Georgia Tech last week. The Tigers come off one of their best offensive performances of the season, as they racked up 465 total yards with 260 of them coming on the ground.

The Tigers will have the opportunity to find more success on the ground in this matchup. North Carolina ranks 88th in Rushing Success Rate Allowed and finds itself outranked in Line Yards, 101-54.

Clemson should give the Tar Heels a hefty dose of Will Shipley in this one, but ultimately, the game will fall on the arm of Cade Klubnik.

The Tigers' biggest issue this season has been red-zone efficiency, so even if they can sustain drives in this matchup, converting them into touchdowns is a big question mark.


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UNC vs Clemson

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how UNC and Clemson match up statistically:

North Carolina Offense vs. Clemson Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success97
Line Yards2231
Pass Success264
Havoc188
Finishing Drives3666
Quality Drives520
Clemson Offense vs. North Carolina Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success3688
Line Yards54101
Pass Success4263
Havoc4343
Finishing Drives8138
Quality Drives9257
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling3925
PFF Coverage299
Special Teams SP+4374
Middle 8757
Seconds per Play23.3 (11)25.6 (38)
Rush Rate53.0% (81)50.8% (91)

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UNC vs Clemson

Betting Pick & Prediction

Both of these teams come into this matchup highly motivated, but with both teams slated to have offensive success in this matchup, it may be wise to lean toward the more consistent unit.

While Clemson broke out offensively last week, it's had more than its fair share of issues, and carrying that success over to this week is a big ask.

In regards to North Carolina, we've seen it become an elite rushing offense that has an NFL-caliber quarterback under center.

Back the Tar Heels to keep this one close.

Pick: North Carolina +7.5 (Play to +7)

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About the Author
Doug Ziefel is a contributor for the Action Network. He specializes in College Fooball, College Basketball, and rooting for bad New York teams.

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