Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Odds
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -115 | 67 -110o / -110u | +225 |
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -105 | 67 -110o / -110u | -265 |
I've said this for a long time, but I firmly believe Bedlam is one of the best rivalries in all of college football.
I don't care that the all-time series is lopsided in OU's favor. In a state without pro sports, this game means a ton to the people of Oklahoma.
I will surely miss this matchup when Oklahoma heads to the SEC, and this very well could be the last time these two teams meet in Norman for some time because of that pending departure. What does that mean? Soak this one in.
Now enough nostalgia — let's get into where the betting value lies in Bedlam 2022.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Mike Gundy's Cowboys have been a fascinating team to follow all season.
The Pokes got off to a 5-0 start and then led by 14 points in the fourth quarter against TCU in their sixth game of the year. Oklahoma State squandered that lead and has since been absolutely decimated by injuries, resulting in three losses in a five-week span.
Despite all of that, this team has stayed together and managed to knock off both Texas and Iowa State at Boone Pickens Stadium in the midst of that injury-filled stretch.
At 7-3, OK State would need a ton of help to make the Big 12 Championship game, but there's still plenty of motivation to end the season strong and beat the rival Sooners.
The Cowboys have gotten a little bit healthier in recent weeks, and it looks like quarterback Spencer Sanders will be good to go on Saturday night.
The fourth-year starter is the heart and soul of this Cowboy team, and the offense looked abysmal the last two weeks without him. Sanders checked himself into the Iowa State game in the second half and led the Pokes back to knock off the Cyclones.
Sanders' familiarity with the offense allows OSU to go uptempo and gives offensive coordinator Kasey Dunn the full playbook at his disposal, which will be critical in this matchup.
Wideouts Braydon Johnson and Jaden Bray are also expected to play Saturday, which is big against a Sooner secondary that has been vulnerable all season.
Defensively, the Cowboys have been a far better unit at home than compared to away from Stillwater. This group has struggled to tackle at times and has allowed a ton of big plays.
Collin Oliver really put pressure after the quarterback last week, and the sophomore will need to do more of the same against the OU offensive line.
Dylan Gabriel has turned the ball over pretty regularly all season when he has been pressured, so OSU can really help itself if it generates some pass rush.
Oklahoma Sooners
Brent Venables' first year in Norman has not gone according to plan. The Sooners sit at 5-5, so they need to win Saturday night or next week in Lubbock to reach bowl eligibility.
Fighting for a bowl bid is not exactly what the Sooner faithful are used to. There's no one clear reason why it's the reality in 2022, but inconsistent play on both sides of the ball is certainly a large part of it.
Gabriel has looked better after returning from a concussion, but the UCF transfer has been really careless with the ball in multiple tight games.
Oklahoma needs to get its playmakers going on the outside, as the Cowboys defense can be had on the back end.
Defensively, the Sooners rank outside the top 85 in the country in both Pass and Rush Success, which is shocking given the fact that Venables is viewed as one of the elite defensive minds in the sport.
Oklahoma's defense also ranks 105th nationally in Finishing Drives, meaning that most of the time opponents are scoring touchdowns when they cross the 40-yard line.
If the Sooners can't do a better job of tightening up near the goal line, it could be another long night for OU Saturday.
Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Oklahoma State and Oklahoma match up statistically:
Oklahoma State Offense vs. Oklahoma Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 115 | 91 | |
| Line Yards | 114 | 53 | |
| Pass Success | 45 | 88 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 88 | 110 | |
| Havoc | 57 | 48 | |
| Finishing Drives | 24 | 105 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Oklahoma Offense vs. Oklahoma State Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 25 | 47 | |
| Line Yards | 7 | 14 | |
| Pass Success | 46 | 50 |  |
| Pass Blocking** | 12 | 39 | |
| Havoc | 29 | 57 | |
| Finishing Drives | 68 | 58 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 115 | 65 |
| PFF Coverage | 80 | 84 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 13 | 32 |
| Seconds per Play | 21.4 (5) | 21.2 (4) |
| Rush Rate | 49.3% (95) | 59.5% (25) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Betting Pick
I will gladly back the Pokes getting over a touchdown on the road in this rivalry matchup.
It's hard to put a number on how much Sanders means to this offense, and getting him back in the lineup puts so much more pressure on OU's defense.
Gabriel and the Sooner offense will certainly be able to move the ball at times in this one, but I see no reason why the Cowboys can't keep pace.
Oklahoma State also has a sizable special teams advantage in this matchup, which is important to note in a rivalry game where funky things always seem to happen.
Gundy has made his thoughts about OU moving to the SEC clear, and he will have his team fully focused for this road test. Give me the Pokes to cover this number in a game they can absolutely win outright.
Pick: Oklahoma State +7.5 |
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